BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 2 Conference: (5-0) Overall: (10-1) Overall Strength =  103.82

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W   108.10  50   14   4A   26 ( 3- 6) CB Lincoln              7.97     28.03                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    W   113.91  30    7   4A    8 ( 5- 4) Indianola              13.77      9.23                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    91.11  19   15   4A    9 ( 5- 4) Runnells SE Polk       -9.03     13.03                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W    83.29  14   10   4A   17 ( 1- 8) Marshalltown          -16.84     20.84                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W *  98.46  55    0   4A   43 ( 0- 9) Des Moines Lincoln     -1.68 *   56.68                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W * 107.33  35    6   4A   19 ( 5- 4) Des Moines East         7.20     21.80                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W *  92.32  42    6   4A   35 ( 1- 8) Des Moines Hoover      -7.82 *   43.82                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W *  96.66  42   15   4A   29 ( 3- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   -3.48 *   30.48                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W *  87.30  40    9   4A   36 ( 2- 7) Des Moines North      -12.83 *   43.83                      
 10 10/31/2001 Home    W   129.84  48   20   4A    5 ( 8- 2) Newton                 29.70     -1.70                      
 11 11/05/2001 Away    L    93.18  33   41   4A    3 (10- 2) Ankeny                 -6.96     -1.04                      
      Averages             100.14  37.1 13.0

Best game:  129.84 = 28 point win over Newton
Worst game:  83.29 = 4 point win over Marshalltown
Team stdev:  13.57