BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
-----------------------------------------------
Fredericksburg
Class: A Class Rank: 5 Conference: (7-1) Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength = 78.33
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 09/06/2002 Away W 90.90 58 8 A 52 ( 3- 6) Dunkerton 13.04 * 36.96
2 09/13/2002 Home L 69.64 13 21 1A 21 ( 6- 3) Denver -8.22 0.22
3 09/20/2002 Home W * 71.68 35 6 A 46 ( 4- 5) Lansing Kee -6.18 * 35.18
4 09/27/2002 Away L * 68.80 30 32 A 14 ( 7- 2) Riceville -9.06 7.06
5 10/04/2002 Home W * 66.00 20 12 A 28 ( 6- 3) Postville -11.86 19.86
6 10/11/2002 Home W * 68.97 57 14 A 61 ( 1- 8) Tripoli -8.89 * 51.89
7 10/18/2002 Away W * 104.57 42 14 A 16 ( 9- 2) Elgin Valley 26.71 1.29
8 10/25/2002 Away W * 86.28 47 6 A 45 ( 3- 6) Sumner 8.42 * 32.58
9 10/31/2002 Neutral W * 67.69 69 16 A 67 ( 0- 9) Maynard West Central -10.17 * 63.17
10 11/06/2002 Home W 74.42 26 6 A 37 ( 6- 3) Greene -3.44 23.44
11 11/11/2002 Neutral W * 101.79 26 0 A 16 ( 9- 2) Elgin Valley 23.93 2.07
12 11/15/2002 Neutral W 89.20 25 15 A 4 (10- 2) Marengo Iowa Valley 11.34 -1.34
13 11/22/2002 Neutral L 52.24 0 52 A 1 (12- 1) Manning -25.62 -26.38
Averages 77.86 34.5 15.5
Best game: 104.57 = 28 point win over Elgin Valley
Worst game: 52.24 = 52 point loss to Manning
Team stdev: 15.37