BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 12 Conference: (5-0) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength = 82.49
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 09/05/2002 Away W 92.45 24 14 4A 13 ( 4- 5) Sioux City East 6.13 3.87
2 09/13/2002 Home W 100.04 49 28 4A 16 ( 3- 6) Marshalltown 13.72 7.28
3 09/20/2002 Away L 48.57 0 51 4A 4 ( 8- 3) Newton -37.75 -13.25
4 09/27/2002 Home L 66.05 32 53 4A 6 ( 4- 5) WDM Dowling -20.27 -0.73
5 10/04/2002 Away W * 95.01 61 6 4A 39 ( 1- 8) Des Moines North 8.69 * 46.31
6 10/11/2002 Home W * 106.14 54 0 4A 36 ( 2- 7) Des Moines Lincoln 19.83 * 34.17
7 10/18/2002 Away W * 95.60 56 46 4A 11 ( 6- 4) Des Moines East 9.28 0.72
8 10/25/2002 Home W * 84.56 49 7 4A 45 ( 0- 9) Des Moines Hoover -1.76 * 43.76
9 11/01/2002 Away W * 104.74 63 35 4A 18 ( 5- 4) Des Moines Roosevelt 18.42 9.58
10 11/06/2002 Home L 70.01 14 42 4A 4 ( 8- 3) Newton -16.31 -11.69
Averages 86.32 40.2 28.2
Best game: 106.14 = 54 point win over Des Moines Lincoln
Worst game: 48.57 = 51 point loss to Newton
Team stdev: 18.93