BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 9 Conference: (5-0) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength = 73.48
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 09/05/2003 Home W 92.63 49 0 4A 35 ( 3- 6) Sioux City East 17.42 * 31.58
2 09/12/2003 Away L 55.93 7 14 4A 20 ( 3- 6) Marshalltown -19.27 12.27
3 09/19/2003 Home L 46.45 13 38 4A 11 ( 6- 4) Newton -28.76 3.76
4 09/26/2003 Away W 82.67 25 24 4A 4 ( 5- 4) WDM Dowling 7.46 -6.46
5 10/03/2003 Home W * 63.70 53 0 4A 48 ( 0- 9) Des Moines North -11.51 * 64.51
6 10/10/2003 Away W * 86.07 62 21 4A 36 ( 3- 6) Des Moines Lincoln 10.86 30.14
7 10/17/2003 Home W * 81.03 22 6 4A 17 ( 7- 3) Des Moines East 5.82 10.18
8 10/24/2003 Away W * 78.47 63 16 4A 45 ( 1- 8) Des Moines Hoover 3.27 * 43.73
9 10/31/2003 Home W * 78.09 45 0 4A 41 ( 2- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt 2.89 * 42.11
10 11/05/2003 Home W 103.45 51 19 4A 11 ( 6- 4) Newton 28.24 3.76
11 11/10/2003 Away L 58.79 14 36 4A 3 (11- 1) Ankeny -16.42 -5.58
Averages 75.21 36.7 15.8
Best game: 103.45 = 32 point win over Newton
Worst game: 46.45 = 25 point loss to Newton
Team stdev: 17.11