BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fairfield

Class: 3A Class Rank: 5 Conference: (6-1) Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength =   89.76

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/03/2004 Home    W    90.16  51   36   3A   26 ( 4- 5) Tama South Tama        -0.00     15.00                      
  2 09/10/2004 Away    W    80.02  21   14   3A   40 ( 2- 7) Mount Vernon          -10.14     17.14                      
  3 09/17/2004 Away    W *  92.52  35   28   3A   11 ( 7- 2) Mount Pleasant          2.36      4.64                      
  4 09/24/2004 Home    W *  86.06  34   14   3A   45 ( 2- 7) Washington             -4.11     24.11                      
  5 10/01/2004 Home    W * 124.66  47    0   3A   23 ( 5- 4) Oskaloosa              34.49     12.51                      
  6 10/08/2004 Away    L *  77.71   0   21   3A    3 (10- 1) Chariton              -12.45     -8.55                      
  7 10/15/2004 Home    W *  97.49  62    6   3A   61 ( 1- 8) Fort Madison            7.32 *   48.68                      
  8 10/25/2004 Away    W *  86.92  48   13   3A   60 ( 1- 8) Keokuk                 -3.25 *   38.25                      
  9 10/29/2004 Home    T *  63.82   0    0   3A   46 ( 5- 3) Centerville           -26.35     26.35  rain and lightning – suspended in first quarter – declared tie
 10 11/03/2004 Away    W   100.82  30   16   3A   13 ( 8- 2) Van Horne Benton       10.66      3.34                      
 11 11/09/2004 Home    W * 106.67  17    6   3A    3 (10- 1) Chariton               16.51     -5.51                      
 12 11/15/2004 Neutral L    75.14  14   42   3A    2 (12- 1) Decorah               -15.02    -12.98                      
      Averages              90.17  29.9 16.3

Best game:  124.66 = 47 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game:  63.82 = tie with Centerville
Team stdev:  16.07