BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 21 Conference: (4-1) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength =   62.68

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/02/2005 Home    W    73.73  20    0   4A   33 ( 3- 6) Sioux City North        9.36     10.64                      
  2 09/09/2005 Away    W    59.17  48    7   4A   47 ( 0- 9) CB Jefferson           -5.19 *   46.19                      
  3 09/16/2005 Away    L    59.45  14   17   4A   24 ( 4- 5) Johnston               -4.92      1.92                      
  4 09/23/2005 Home    L    66.55  20   49   4A    2 (13- 0) WDM Valley              2.19 *  -31.19                      
  5 09/30/2005 Home    W *  63.62  55   13   4A   46 ( 1- 8) Des Moines North       -0.75 *   42.75                      
  6 10/07/2005 Away    L *  56.20   7   21   4A   12 ( 8- 2) Des Moines Lincoln     -8.17     -5.83                      
  7 10/14/2005 Home    W *  61.51  18    7   4A   39 ( 3- 6) Des Moines East        -2.86     13.86                      
  8 10/21/2005 Away    W *  76.56  73   12   4A   48 ( 0- 9) Des Moines Hoover      12.20 *   48.80                      
  9 10/28/2005 Home    W *  62.50  35   27   4A   35 ( 4- 5) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.87      9.87                      
      Averages              64.37  32.2 17.0

Best game:   76.56 = 61 point win over Des Moines Hoover
Worst game:  56.20 = 14 point loss to Des Moines Lincoln
Team stdev:   6.81