BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 18 Conference: (4-1) Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength = 104.40
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 09/01/2006 Home W 110.24 21 3 4A 34 ( 6- 3) Sioux City North 6.78 11.22
2 09/08/2006 Home L 83.52 14 49 4A 7 (10- 2) WDM Valley -19.95 -15.05
3 09/15/2006 Away L 101.91 7 10 4A 16 ( 9- 1) Newton -1.55 -1.45
4 09/21/2006 Away W * 96.14 44 0 4A 48 ( 0- 9) Des Moines Hoover -7.32 * 51.32
5 09/29/2006 Home W * 126.86 52 27 4A 24 ( 6- 3) Des Moines Roosevelt 23.40 1.60
6 10/06/2006 Away W * 103.29 49 6 4A 47 ( 1- 8) Des Moines North -0.17 * 43.17
7 10/13/2006 Home W * 102.71 28 15 4A 27 ( 5- 4) Des Moines East -0.75 13.75
8 10/20/2006 Home L * 100.70 20 24 4A 19 ( 7- 3) Des Moines Lincoln -2.76 -1.24
9 10/26/2006 Away W 109.25 36 26 4A 23 ( 6- 5) Sioux City East 5.79 4.21
10 11/01/2006 Away L 99.99 21 42 4A 5 (11- 2) Runnells SE Polk -3.47 -17.53
Averages 103.46 29.2 20.2
Best game: 126.86 = 25 point win over Des Moines Roosevelt
Worst game: 83.52 = 35 point loss to West Des Moines Valley
Team stdev: 11.06