BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 12 Conference: (5-0) Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength = 78.77
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 08/29/2008 Home L 70.10 10 39 4A 4 ( 8- 3) Southeast Polk -6.21 -22.79 non-district
2 09/05/2008 Home W 73.21 21 14 4A 20 ( 3- 6) Newton -3.11 10.11 non-district
3 09/12/2008 Away L 70.21 19 20 4A 28 ( 4- 6) Sioux City North -6.10 5.10 non-district
4 09/19/2008 Home L 67.69 17 56 4A 2 (11- 2) Ankeny -8.63 * -30.37 non-district
5 09/26/2008 Away W * 70.61 51 28 4A 43 ( 1- 8) Des Moines Roosevelt -5.71 28.71
6 10/03/2008 Away W * 87.67 45 27 4A 27 ( 4- 6) Des Moines Lincoln 11.36 6.64
7 10/10/2008 Home W * 80.26 41 7 4A 39 ( 2- 7) Des Moines North 3.95 * 30.05
8 10/17/2008 Away W * 81.15 21 13 4A 18 ( 5- 5) Des Moines East 4.84 3.16
9 10/24/2008 Home W * 65.95 37 6 4A 46 ( 0- 9) Des Moines Hoover -10.37 * 41.37
10 10/29/2008 Home W 98.45 35 12 4A 15 ( 6- 4) CB Jefferson 22.14 0.86
11 11/03/2008 Away L 74.16 21 56 4A 1 (14- 0) WDM Valley -2.16 * -32.84
Averages 76.31 28.9 25.3
Best game: 98.45 = 23 point win over Council Bluffs Jefferson
Worst game: 65.95 = 31 point win over Des Moines Hoover
Team stdev: 9.81