BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Pella

Class: 3A Class Rank: 11 Conference: (7-0) Overall: (12-1) Overall Strength =   98.22

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/29/2008 Home    W    66.43  21   18   3A   50 ( 3- 6) Washington            -27.26 *   30.26  non-district        
  2 09/05/2008 Away    W    77.66  35   30   3A   44 ( 4- 6) Oskaloosa             -16.04     21.04  non-district        
  3 09/12/2008 Home    W * 105.65  20    0   3A   23 ( 9- 2) Centerville            11.95      8.05                      
  4 09/19/2008 Away    W *  82.50  35   14   3A   54 ( 3- 6) Chariton              -11.19 *   32.19                      
  5 09/26/2008 Home    W *  86.26  25    7   3A   45 ( 4- 5) Carlisle               -7.43     25.43                      
  6 10/03/2008 Away    W * 103.20  29    0   3A   43 ( 6- 4) Grinnell                9.50     19.50                      
  7 10/10/2008 Home    W *  86.72  45   13   3A   56 ( 0- 9) Tama South Tama        -6.97 *   38.97                      
  8 10/17/2008 Away    W * 107.03  58    7   3A   55 ( 3- 6) Knoxville              13.34 *   37.66                      
  9 10/24/2008 Home    W *  89.62  31    3   3A   48 ( 5- 5) Norwalk                -4.08 *   32.08                      
 10 10/29/2008 Home    W   116.62  61   14   3A   44 ( 4- 6) Oskaloosa              22.93     24.07                      
 11 11/03/2008 Home    W   106.33  35   14   3A   24 ( 9- 2) Williamsburg           12.64      8.36                      
 12 11/07/2008 Home    W    98.79  19    5   3A   18 (11- 1) Mount Pleasant          5.10      8.90                      
 13 11/17/2008 Neutral L    91.21  20   37   3A    2 (13- 1) Decorah                -2.49    -14.51                      
      Averages              93.70  33.4 12.5

Best game:  116.62 = 47 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game:  66.43 = 3 point win over Washington
Team stdev:  14.07