BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ames

Class: 4A Class Rank: 29 Conference: (1-4) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =   50.81

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/28/2009 Home    L    47.16  17   30   4A   18 ( 6- 5) Johnston               -6.54     -6.46  nc                  
  2 09/04/2009 Home    L    41.51   7   18   4A   25 ( 7- 4) Des Moines East       -12.19      1.19  nc                  
  3 09/11/2009 Away    L *  40.49  17   34   4A   26 ( 7- 3) Fort Dodge            -13.21     -3.79                      
  4 09/18/2009 Away    L *  46.10  35   39   4A   33 ( 5- 5) Mason City             -7.60      3.60                      
  5 09/25/2009 Home    L *  39.59  14   34   4A   20 ( 6- 5) WDM Valley            -14.11     -5.89                      
  6 10/02/2009 Away    W *  79.09  38   28   4A   14 ( 7- 4) Waukee                 25.39    -15.39                      
  7 10/09/2009 Home    L *  42.99  35   60   4A   12 (13- 1) Marshalltown          -10.70    -14.30                      
  8 10/16/2009 Away    W    46.12  45   20   4A   47 ( 1- 8) CB Jefferson           -7.58 *   32.58  nc                  
  9 10/23/2009 Away    W    69.52  42    6   4A   43 ( 1- 8) Newton                 15.82     20.18  nc                  
 10 10/28/2009 Away    L    84.42  27   31   4A    2 (12- 1) WDM Dowling            30.72 *  -34.72                      
      Averages              53.70  27.7 30.0

Best game:   84.42 = 4 point loss to West Des Moines Dowling
Worst game:  39.59 = 20 point loss to West Des Moines Valley
Team stdev:  17.11