BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 27 Conference: (4-1) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength = 51.15
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 08/28/2009 Away W 56.84 21 10 4A 37 ( 1- 8) Southeast Polk 2.29 8.71 nc
2 09/04/2009 Away W 61.52 42 14 4A 43 ( 1- 8) Newton 6.97 21.03 nc
3 09/11/2009 Home W 57.73 27 7 4A 38 ( 3- 6) Sioux City North 3.18 16.82 nc
4 09/18/2009 Away L 46.51 7 35 4A 9 (10- 2) Ankeny -8.04 -19.96 nc
5 09/25/2009 Home W * 50.48 47 23 4A 42 ( 2- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt -4.07 28.07
6 10/02/2009 Home W * 61.44 24 12 4A 30 ( 6- 4) Des Moines Lincoln 6.89 5.11
7 10/09/2009 Away W * 55.47 52 6 4A 48 ( 0- 9) Des Moines North 0.92 * 45.08
8 10/16/2009 Home L * 29.51 21 44 4A 25 ( 7- 4) Des Moines East -25.03 2.03
9 10/23/2009 Away W * 80.83 69 0 4A 45 ( 1- 8) Des Moines Hoover 26.28 * 42.72
10 10/28/2009 Home L 45.16 13 28 4A 18 ( 6- 5) Johnston -9.39 -5.61
Averages 54.55 32.3 17.9
Best game: 80.83 = 69 point win over Des Moines Hoover
Worst game: 29.51 = 23 point loss to Des Moines East
Team stdev: 13.33