BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Calmar South Winneshiek

Class: 1A Class Rank: 5 Conference: (27-1-0) Overall: (60-18-0) Overall Strength =  120.31

 N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Home    W   103.43  31  24    8  8 (51-22) Turkey Valley         -16.88     23.88                      
 2 09/02/2011 Away    W   140.62  43  32   2A  4 (54-24) Waukon                 20.31     -9.31                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    W * 121.19  21   0   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg    0.88     20.12                      
 4 09/16/2011 Away    W * 125.57  38   0   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                   5.26     32.74                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    W   114.52  46  30   2A 33 (29-36) Monticello             -5.80     21.80                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    W   113.21  20  17   ZZ  3 (12- 7) West Union North Fay   -7.10     10.10                      
 7 10/07/2011 Home    W   149.10  46   0   ZZ  6 (10-10) Cascade                28.79     17.21                      
 8 10/14/2011 Away    W * 119.77  50   6   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      -0.54     44.54                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    L    87.81   0  37   2A  7 (55-23) Dyersville Beckman    -32.50     -4.50                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    W   129.82  12   6   2A  9 (56-21) New Hampton             9.51     -3.51                      
11 10/31/2011 Away    L    89.81   6  41   2A  7 (55-23) Dyersville Beckman    -30.50     -4.50                      
12 08/24/2012 Home    W   115.01  48  26    A 27 (39-34) Nashua-Plainfield      -5.30     27.30                      
13 08/31/2012 Home    W   136.43  48   8    8  8 (51-22) Turkey Valley          16.12     23.88                      
14 09/07/2012 Away    W * 105.50  24  22   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg  -14.81     16.81                      
15 09/14/2012 Home    W   133.89  36  15    A  3 (49-30) Denver                 13.58      7.42                      
16 09/21/2012 Away    W   139.87  28  12   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar           19.55     -3.55                      
17 09/28/2012 Home    W   119.90  42  29   ZZ  3 (12- 7) West Union North Fay   -0.42     13.42                      
18 10/05/2012 Away    L    90.62   6  45   2A  4 (54-24) Waukon                -29.69     -9.31                      
19 10/12/2012 Home    W * 120.46  48   0   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac       0.14     47.86                      
20 10/19/2012 Away    W * 125.57  44   6   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                   5.26     32.74                      
21 10/24/2012 Home    W * 110.01  38  31   1A 21 (49-25) Hudson                -10.30     17.30                      
22 10/29/2012 Home    L    86.31  22  49   2A 17 (49-24) Aplington AP          -34.00      7.00                      
23 08/30/2013 Away    W   149.32  66  13    A 27 (39-34) Nashua-Plainfield      29.01     23.99  ND                  
24 09/06/2013 Away    W   143.75  50   6    8  8 (51-22) Turkey Valley          23.43     20.57  ND                  
25 09/13/2013 Home    W * 106.19  34  28   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg  -14.12     20.12                      
26 09/20/2013 Away    W   130.20  46  32    A  3 (49-30) Denver                  9.89      4.11                      
27 09/27/2013 Home    W   164.55  58  14   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar           44.24     -0.24                      
28 10/04/2013 Away    L   123.15  34  44   2A  2 (46-14) North Fayette Valley    2.84    -12.84                      
29 10/11/2013 Home    L    74.31   0  52   2A  4 (54-24) Waukon                -46.00     -6.00                      
30 10/18/2013 Away    W * 151.77  76   0   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      31.46     44.54                      
31 10/25/2013 Home    W * 146.25  68   6   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                  25.94     36.06                      
32 10/30/2013 Home    W   121.51  46  20   1A 30 (31-33) South Hamilton          1.20     24.80                      
33 11/04/2013 Away    W * 143.64  36  17   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford      23.33     -4.33                      
34 11/08/2013 Away    L    98.15  14  49   2A  2 (46-14) North Fayette Valley  -22.16    -12.84                      
35 08/29/2014 Away    W   151.62  34  12   2A  4 (54-24) Waukon                 31.31     -9.31                      
36 09/05/2014 Neutral W   146.88  56  21    A  6 (57-20) Wapsie Valley          26.56      8.44                      
37 09/12/2014 Home    W * 116.46  44   0   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      -3.86     47.86                      
38 09/19/2014 Away    W   134.82  18   7   2A  9 (56-21) New Hampton            14.51     -3.51                      
39 09/26/2014 Away    W * 147.50  44   0   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg   27.19     16.81                      
40 10/03/2014 Home    W * 132.25  60  12   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                  11.94     36.06                      
41 10/10/2014 Away    W * 133.64  28  19   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford      13.33     -4.33                      
42 10/17/2014 Home    W * 146.46  66  14   1A 31 (35-33) Guttenberg CR          26.14     25.86                      
43 10/24/2014 Home    W * 142.01  52  13   1A 21 (49-25) Hudson                 21.70     17.30                      
44 10/29/2014 Home    W   118.05  46  12   1A 44 (19-45) Lake Mills             -2.26     36.26                      
45 11/03/2014 Home    W   111.47  38  14   1A 37 (24-43) Stanwood North Cedar   -8.84     32.84                      
46 11/07/2014 Home    W * 148.33  34   7   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford      28.02     -1.02                      
47 11/15/2014 Neutral L    95.81  18  56   1A  1 (89- 7) Iowa City Regina      -24.50    -13.50                      
48 08/28/2015 Home    L   102.31   6  30   2A  4 (54-24) Waukon                -18.00     -6.00   ND                 
49 09/04/2015 Away    W   135.53  36  14    A  6 (57-20) Wapsie Valley          15.22      6.78   ND                 
50 09/11/2015 Away    W * 101.77  50  24   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac     -18.54     44.54                      
51 09/18/2015 Home    W   122.50   8   6   2A  9 (56-21) New Hampton             2.19     -0.19   ND                 
52 09/25/2015 Home    W * 140.19  48   8   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg   19.88     20.12                      
53 10/02/2015 Away    W *  98.57  24  13   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                 -21.74     32.74                      
54 10/09/2015 Home    L *  98.33   0  23   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford     -21.98     -1.02                      
55 10/16/2015 Away    W *  99.77  28  26   1A 31 (35-33) Guttenberg CR         -20.54     22.54                      
56 10/23/2015 Away    W * 108.33  14  12   1A 21 (49-25) Hudson                -11.98     13.98                      
57 10/28/2015 Home    W   144.90  48   0   1A 27 (41-28) Alburnett              24.59     23.41                      
58 11/02/2015 Away    L   110.87   6  19   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar           -9.45     -3.55                      
59 08/26/2016 Home    W   126.22  16   0    A  6 (57-20) Wapsie Valley           5.91     10.09  was 08/19 now 08/26 site change AND  ND
60 09/02/2016 Away    L   113.87  20  30   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar           -6.45     -3.55  ND                  
61 09/09/2016 Away    L    91.20   6  31    A  3 (49-30) Denver                -29.11      4.11                      
62 09/16/2016 Home    W *  92.46  28   8   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac     -27.86     47.86                      
63 09/23/2016 Away    W   112.69  38   0    A 49 (17-47) Conrad BCLUW           -7.62     45.62                      
64 09/30/2016 Home    W   103.99  34   6   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring  -16.32     44.32                      
65 10/07/2016 Home    W * 134.19  40   6   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg   13.88     20.12                      
66 10/14/2016 Away    W   101.37  24  10   1A 44 (19-45) Lake Mills            -18.94     32.94                      
67 10/21/2016 Home    W   113.38  31  11    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme         -6.94     26.94                      
68 10/28/2016 Away    L    84.24   8  26   1A 26 (42-27) Bellevue              -36.07     18.07                      
69 08/25/2017 Away    L    94.53   8  27    A  6 (57-20) Wapsie Valley         -25.78      6.78   ND                 
70 09/01/2017 Home    L    97.55  12  35   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar          -22.76     -0.24   ND                 
71 09/08/2017 Home    L   107.89  22  27    A  3 (49-30) Denver                -12.42      7.42                      
72 09/15/2017 Away    W * 125.77  50   0   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac       5.46     44.54                      
73 09/22/2017 Home    W   109.38  50  12    A 49 (17-47) Conrad BCLUW          -10.93     48.93                      
74 09/29/2017 Away    W   122.31  49   6   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring    1.99     41.01                      
75 10/06/2017 Away    W * 143.50  40   0   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg   23.19     16.81                      
76 10/13/2017 Home    W   128.05  44   0   1A 44 (19-45) Lake Mills              7.74     36.26                      
77 10/20/2017 Away    W   132.69  36   0    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme         12.38     23.62                      
78 10/27/2017 Away    L   129.47  21  27   1A  1 (89- 7) Iowa City Regina        9.16    -15.16                      
      Averages             120.31  33.4 17.2

Best game:  164.55 = 44 point win over Saint Ansgar
Worst game:  74.31 = 52 point loss to Waukon
Team stdev:  20.00