BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Essex

Class: ZZ Class Rank: 60 Conference: ZZ Record: (6-12-0) Overall: (10-55-0) Overall Strength =   25.59

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2011 Home    W *   9.04  70  50   ZZ  72 (  2- 34-  0) Seymour               -16.56     36.56  was 08/26 now 08/27 
  2 09/02/2011 Away    L    19.38  32  58    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union       -6.21    -19.79                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    W *  39.64  10   0   ZZ  57 (  2- 16-  0) Villisca               14.05     -4.05                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L    24.59   6  69    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    -1.00 *  -62.00                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L *  20.50   6  48   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton                -5.10    -36.90                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L    23.00   8  47    A  37 ( 55- 40-  0) Sidney                 -2.59    -36.41                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    L *   9.55  12  44   ZZ  46 (  4-  5-  0) Grand Junction East   -16.05    -15.95                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    17.20  14  66    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills             -8.39    -43.61                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L *  26.72  32  47   ZZ  50 ( 11- 34-  0) Hamburg-Farragut Nis    1.13    -16.13                      
 10 08/18/2012 Home    W    56.84  40  14    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     31.24     -5.24                      
 11 08/24/2012 Home    L    39.41  13  34    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                  13.82    -34.82                      
 12 08/31/2012 Away    W *  56.40  47  36   ZZ  45 (  5- 14-  0) Corning                30.81    -19.81                      
 13 09/07/2012 Home    W *  39.83  34   6   ZZ  68 (  1- 11-  0) Council Bluffs Heart   14.24     13.76                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    L    32.13  16  75    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills     6.54 *  -65.54                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    L    35.98  16  46    8  19 ( 60- 40-  0) Anita CAM              10.38    -40.38                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    L *  58.50  16  20   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton                32.90    -36.90                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    L    21.00  24  65    A  37 ( 55- 40-  0) Sidney                 -4.59    -36.41                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    W *  90.72  49   0   ZZ  50 ( 11- 34-  0) Hamburg-Farragut Nis   65.13    -16.13                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    L *  24.10  46  48 1 ZZ  57 (  2- 16-  0) Villisca               -1.49     -0.51                      
 20 08/29/2014 Away    L    20.80  22  52    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                 -4.79    -25.21                      
 21 09/05/2014 Home    L   -12.16  10  64    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union      -37.76    -16.24                      
 22 09/12/2014 Away    L     9.96  12  66    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -15.64    -38.36                      
 23 09/19/2014 Home    L     9.98  26  82    8  19 ( 60- 40-  0) Anita CAM             -15.62    -40.38                      
 24 09/26/2014 Home    L *  14.95  34  78   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton               -10.64    -33.36                      
 25 10/03/2014 Away    L    21.54  30  74    A  37 ( 55- 40-  0) Sidney                 -4.05    -39.95                      
 26 10/10/2014 Home    L *  -9.82  38  86   ZZ  50 ( 11- 34-  0) Hamburg-Farragut Nis  -35.41    -12.59                      
 27 10/17/2014 Away    L    20.74  14  66    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills             -4.85    -47.15                      
 28 10/24/2014 Home    L    32.59  12  67    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills     7.00 *  -62.00                      
 29 08/28/2015 Home    W    57.26  34  24    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                 31.67    -21.67  ND                  
 30 09/04/2015 Away    L    -6.62  14  66    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union      -32.21    -19.79  ND                  
 31 09/11/2015 Home    L    -9.59   0  70    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                 -35.18    -34.82                      
 32 09/18/2015 Away    L    19.52  12  62    8  19 ( 60- 40-  0) Anita CAM              -6.07    -43.93                      
 33 09/25/2015 Away    L *  -1.50   8  72   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton               -27.10    -36.90                      
 34 10/02/2015 Home    W    74.00  66  54    A  37 ( 55- 40-  0) Sidney                 48.41    -36.41                      
 35 10/09/2015 Away    L *   6.72  20  55   ZZ  50 ( 11- 34-  0) Hamburg-Farragut Nis  -18.87    -16.13                      
 36 10/16/2015 Home    L    26.20  22  65    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills              0.61    -43.61                      
 37 10/23/2015 Away    L    45.13  16  62    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    19.54 *  -65.54                      
 38 08/26/2016 Away    L    -4.62   0  50    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union      -30.21    -19.79  ND                  
 39 09/02/2016 Home    L    24.41  12  48    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                  -1.18    -34.82  ND                  
 40 09/09/2016 Away    L *   8.84  20  38   ZZ  61 (  5- 68-  0) Clarinda Academy      -16.75     -1.25                      
 41 09/16/2016 Home    L    22.01   6  60    8   8 ( 73- 31-  0) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    -3.59    -50.41                      
 42 09/23/2016 Away    L    20.13   0  71    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    -5.46 *  -65.54                      
 43 09/30/2016 Home    L    35.98  18  48    8  19 ( 60- 40-  0) Anita CAM              10.38    -40.38                      
 44 10/07/2016 Away    L    25.74  16  63    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills              0.15    -47.15                      
 45 10/14/2016 Home    L    10.00  12  64    A  37 ( 55- 40-  0) Sidney                -15.59    -36.41                      
 46 10/21/2016 Home    W   105.50  76  20    8  37 ( 32- 59-  0) Woodbine               79.91    -23.91                      
 47 08/18/2017 Home    L    23.50  24  60    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                -2.09    -33.91  ND                  
 48 08/25/2017 Home    L    -4.16   0  46    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union      -29.76    -16.24  ND                  
 49 09/01/2017 Away    L    25.96  14  52    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                   0.36    -38.36  ND                  
 50 09/08/2017 Home    L *  -6.70  22  52   ZZ  61 (  5- 68-  0) Clarinda Academy      -32.29      2.29                      
 51 09/15/2017 Away    L    44.55   6  41    8   8 ( 73- 31-  0) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    18.96    -53.96                      
 52 09/22/2017 Home    L    33.59   0  54    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills     8.00 *  -62.00                      
 53 09/29/2017 Away    L    45.52  14  38    8  19 ( 60- 40-  0) Anita CAM              19.93    -43.93                      
 54 10/06/2017 Home    L    33.20   0  36    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills              7.61    -43.61                      
 55 10/13/2017 Away    L    25.54  16  56    A  37 ( 55- 40-  0) Sidney                 -0.05    -39.95                      
 56 10/20/2017 Away    L    -8.96  12  74    8  37 ( 32- 59-  0) Woodbine              -34.55    -27.45                      
 57 08/24/2018 Home    L    -2.51  28  70    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                -28.11    -13.89  ND                  
 58 08/31/2018 Away    L     6.03  40  60    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail          -19.56     -0.44  ND                  
 59 09/07/2018 Away    L    27.54  24  62    A  37 ( 55- 40-  0) Sidney                  1.95    -39.95                      
 60 09/14/2018 Home    L    29.59   8  66    8   4 ( 95- 18-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills     4.00 *  -62.00                      
 61 09/21/2018 Home    W *  65.30  68  26   ZZ  61 (  5- 68-  0) Clarinda Academy       39.71      2.29                      
 62 09/28/2018 Away    L *   2.50   8  68   ZZ  36 ( 43- 35-  0) Stanton               -23.10    -36.90                      
 63 10/05/2018 Away    L    20.59  54  90    8  34 ( 34- 56-  0) Griswold               -5.01    -30.99                      
 64 10/12/2018 Home    L    19.50  16  56    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                -6.09    -33.91                      
 65 10/19/2018 Home    L    29.20  16  56    8  12 ( 61- 38-  0) East Mills              3.61    -43.61                      
      Averages              24.95  21.7 53.3

Best game:  105.50 = 56 point win over Woodbine
Worst game: -12.16 = 54 point loss to Afton East Union
Team stdev:  23.23