BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Lake Mills

Class: 1A Class Rank: 44 Conference: (9-13-0) Overall: (19-45-0) Overall Strength =   85.71

 N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Away    L    88.29  20  21    8 14 (39-30) Northwood-Kensett       2.58     -3.58                      
 2 09/02/2011 Home    L    65.86   0  43    A  7 (48-28) Britt West Hancock    -19.85    -23.15                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    L    71.85   0  42   ZZ  1 ( 4- 5) Garner-Hayfield       -13.86    -28.14                      
 4 09/16/2011 Away    W   103.92  27  19    A 28 (41-29) Ackley AGWSR           18.21    -10.21                      
 5 09/23/2011 Away    L    89.64   0  35   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford       3.93    -38.93                      
 6 09/30/2011 Home    L *  83.55   0  37   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar           -2.16    -34.84                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    L    70.32   6  32    A 27 (39-34) Nashua-Plainfield     -15.39    -10.61                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    L *  65.19  21  35   1A 50 (19-44) Sheffield West Fork   -20.53      6.53                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    L    77.63   8  47   2A 17 (49-24) Aplington AP           -8.08    -30.92                      
10 08/24/2012 Home    L *  63.19  22  38   1A 50 (19-44) Sheffield West Fork   -22.53      6.53                      
11 08/31/2012 Away    W *  87.31  28  20   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring    1.59      6.41                      
12 09/07/2012 Away    W    93.95  34   7   ZZ 20 ( 2-16) Burnside Southeast W    8.23     18.77                      
13 09/14/2012 Home    L    76.28  14  34    A 22 (38-32) Mason City Newman      -9.43    -10.57                      
14 09/21/2012 Home    W   134.38  41   0    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme         48.66     -7.66                      
15 09/28/2012 Away    L    86.18  14  40    A  7 (48-28) Britt West Hancock      0.46    -26.46                      
16 10/05/2012 Home    L    64.17   0  35   ZZ  7 (17-13) Gowrie Prairie Valle  -21.54    -13.46                      
17 10/12/2012 Away    L    56.92   7  46    A 28 (41-29) Ackley AGWSR          -28.79    -10.21                      
18 10/19/2012 Away    L    79.86   7  41    A  5 (57-20) Algona Garrigan        -5.85    -28.15                      
19 08/30/2013 Away    L *  80.50  18  20   1A 50 (19-44) Sheffield West Fork    -5.21      3.21  ND                  
20 09/06/2013 Home    W * 102.99  41  14   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring   17.28      9.72  ND                  
21 09/13/2013 Home    W   108.71  45   0   ZZ 19 ( 2- 7) Burnside Southeast W   22.99     22.01                      
22 09/20/2013 Away    L    84.60  28  43    A 22 (38-32) Mason City Newman      -1.11    -13.89                      
23 09/27/2013 Away    L    80.69   8  24    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme         -5.02    -10.98                      
24 10/04/2013 Home    W   162.86  54   0    A  7 (48-28) Britt West Hancock     77.15    -23.15                      
25 10/11/2013 Away    L    88.48   8  22   ZZ  7 (17-13) Gowrie Prairie Valle    2.77    -16.77                      
26 10/18/2013 Home    L    67.61   6  31    A 28 (41-29) Ackley AGWSR          -18.10     -6.90                      
27 10/25/2013 Home    L    83.55   8  35    A  5 (57-20) Algona Garrigan        -2.16    -24.84                      
28 08/29/2014 Away    L    88.69  20  28    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme          2.98    -10.98                      
29 09/05/2014 Home    L    96.86  28  40    A  7 (48-28) Britt West Hancock     11.15    -23.15                      
30 09/12/2014 Away    L *  80.87   6  49   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar           -4.85    -38.15                      
31 09/19/2014 Home    W *  99.99  32   8   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring   14.28      9.72                      
32 09/26/2014 Home    W * 130.79  55   0   1A 52 (14-50) Eagle Grove            45.08      9.92                      
33 10/03/2014 Away    L *  91.49   6   9 1 1A 35 (18-39) Pocahontas Area         5.78     -8.78                      
34 10/10/2014 Home    L    74.55   0  36    A  5 (57-20) Algona Garrigan       -11.16    -24.84                      
35 10/17/2014 Away    W * 108.50  38  12   1A 50 (19-44) Sheffield West Fork    22.79      3.21                      
36 10/24/2014 Home    L *  88.86  38  62   1A 13 (46-28) Emmetsburg              3.15    -27.15                      
37 10/29/2014 Away    L    87.97  12  46   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek        2.26    -36.26                      
38 08/28/2015 Home    L    45.38   0  48    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme        -40.34     -7.66   ND                 
39 09/04/2015 Away    L    73.18   0  39    A  7 (48-28) Britt West Hancock    -12.54    -26.46   ND                 
40 09/11/2015 Home    L *  73.55   0  47   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar          -12.16    -34.84                      
41 09/18/2015 Away    L *  77.31  12  14   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring   -8.41      6.41                      
42 09/25/2015 Away    W *  83.10  28  24   1A 52 (14-50) Eagle Grove            -2.61      6.61                      
43 10/02/2015 Home    L *  49.17   0  42   1A 35 (18-39) Pocahontas Area       -36.54     -5.46                      
44 10/09/2015 Away    L    81.86  28  60    A  5 (57-20) Algona Garrigan        -3.85    -28.15   ND                 
45 10/16/2015 Home    L *  62.19  15  32   1A 50 (19-44) Sheffield West Fork   -23.53      6.53                      
46 10/23/2015 Away    L *  88.17  14  42   1A 13 (46-28) Emmetsburg              2.46    -30.46                      
47 08/26/2016 Away    W * 123.50  41   0   1A 50 (19-44) Sheffield West Fork    37.79      3.21  ND                  
48 09/02/2016 Home    L    81.28  23  38    A 22 (38-32) Mason City Newman      -4.43    -10.57  ND                  
49 09/09/2016 Away    W   106.69  31  21    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme         20.98    -10.98                      
50 09/16/2016 Home    L    64.89   0  48    A  3 (49-30) Denver                -20.82    -27.18                      
51 09/23/2016 Away    W    83.77  34  26   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      -1.94      9.94                      
52 09/30/2016 Home    W    92.38  28   7    A 49 (17-47) Conrad BCLUW            6.67     14.33                      
53 10/07/2016 Away    W *  86.31  13   6   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring    0.59      6.41                      
54 10/14/2016 Home    L   104.66  10  24   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek       18.94    -32.94                      
55 10/21/2016 Home    W   114.19  26  12   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg   28.48    -14.48                      
56 08/25/2017 Home    W *  88.19  21  12   1A 50 (19-44) Sheffield West Fork     2.47      6.53   ND                 
57 09/01/2017 Away    L    95.60  31  35    A 22 (38-32) Mason City Newman       9.89    -13.89   ND                 
58 09/08/2017 Home    L    86.38  14  21    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme          0.66     -7.66                      
59 09/15/2017 Away    L    86.20   0  30    A  3 (49-30) Denver                  0.49    -30.49                      
60 09/22/2017 Home    W    84.46  20   8   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      -1.25     13.25                      
61 09/29/2017 Away    L    70.69  34  38    A 49 (17-47) Conrad BCLUW          -15.02     11.02                      
62 10/06/2017 Home    L *  62.99  21  34   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring  -22.72      9.72                      
63 10/13/2017 Away    L    77.97   0  44   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek       -7.74    -36.26                      
64 10/20/2017 Away    L    74.50  17  46   1A 25 (33-34) SumnerFredericksburg  -11.21    -17.79                      
      Averages              85.71  18.1 28.9

Best game:  162.86 = 54 point win over Britt West Hancock
Worst game:  45.38 = 48 point loss to Belmond-Klemme
Team stdev:  19.83