BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Moravia

Class: 8 Class Rank: 61 Conference: 8-4 Record: (12-15-0) Overall: (44-52-0) Overall Strength =   29.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    W    60.28  76  21   ZZ  69 (  2- 35-  0) Ankeny Christian       30.07     24.93                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    W    42.49  42  22    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail           12.28      7.72                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    W    -4.42  71  68   ZZ  72 (  2- 34-  0) Seymour               -34.63     37.63                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    W    29.18  58   8   ZZ  73 (  1- 26-  0) Farmington Harmony     -1.03     51.03                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W    44.55  44  20    8  65 ( 31- 62-  0) Tama Meskwaki          14.34      9.66                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    W    36.88  61  53   ZZ  58 ( 19- 45-  0) Des Moines Grandview    6.67      1.33                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L     9.17  33  54    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -21.04      0.04                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    W *  48.84  44  26    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     18.62     -0.62                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    W *   9.54  47  41    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -20.68     26.68                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    L    29.98  42  78    8  19 ( 60- 40-  0) Anita CAM              -0.24    -35.76                      
 11 08/17/2012 Home    L    -6.74   6  60    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                -36.95    -17.05                      
 12 08/24/2012 Away    L    23.38  28  50    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union       -6.83    -15.17                      
 13 08/31/2012 Home    L    17.77   7  50    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV            -12.44    -30.56                      
 14 09/07/2012 Home    L * -36.46   6  46    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -66.68     26.68                      
 15 09/14/2012 Away    L   -45.83   0  76    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -76.04      0.04                      
 16 09/21/2012 Home    L     7.70  14  53    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne         -22.52    -16.48                      
 17 09/28/2012 Away    L   -14.97   6  64    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                -45.19    -12.81                      
 18 10/05/2012 Away    L    22.10  34  36    8  65 ( 31- 62-  0) Tama Meskwaki          -8.12      6.12                      
 19 10/12/2012 Home    L *  -4.16   0  35    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -34.38     -0.62                      
 20 10/19/2012 Home    W    23.04  48  14   ZZ  72 (  2- 34-  0) Seymour                -7.18     41.18                      
 21 08/23/2013 Away    L   -17.20  14  82    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                -47.41    -20.59  ND                  
 22 08/30/2013 Home    L    -0.16   6  48    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union      -30.38    -11.62  ND                  
 23 09/06/2013 Away    L     0.31  16  80    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV            -29.90    -34.10                      
 24 09/13/2013 Away    L * -20.92  38  66    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -51.13     23.13                      
 25 09/20/2013 Home    L   -55.37   0  82    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -85.59      3.59                      
 26 09/27/2013 Away    L    -4.76   0  55    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne         -34.97    -20.03                      
 27 10/04/2013 Home    L   -12.51   0  52    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                -42.73     -9.27                      
 28 10/11/2013 Home    L   -31.45   6  58    8  65 ( 31- 62-  0) Tama Meskwaki         -61.66      9.66                      
 29 10/18/2013 Away    L * -21.62   6  62    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -51.84     -4.16                      
 30 10/25/2013 Away    W     5.58  13   0   ZZ  72 (  2- 34-  0) Seymour               -24.63     37.63  Forfeit             
 31 08/29/2014 Home    W *  31.54  40  12    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County    1.32     26.68                      
 32 09/05/2014 Away    L *  -1.43   6  37    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys       -31.65      0.65                      
 33 09/12/2014 Away    L    10.24  32  72    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne         -19.97    -20.03                      
 34 09/19/2014 Home    L     5.26  12  54    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                -24.95    -17.05                      
 35 09/26/2014 Home    W    53.18  74   0   ZZ  73 (  1- 26-  0) Farmington Harmony     22.97     51.03                      
 36 10/03/2014 Away    L    10.03  42  58    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail          -20.18      4.18                      
 37 10/10/2014 Home    L *  -5.16   6  42    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -35.38     -0.62                      
 38 10/17/2014 Away    L     4.17  16  42    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -26.04      0.04                      
 39 10/24/2014 Home    W    41.04  58   6   ZZ  72 (  2- 34-  0) Seymour                10.82     41.18                      
 40 08/28/2015 Away    W *  57.08  50   0    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   26.87     23.13  ND                  
 41 09/04/2015 Home    W *  91.02  77  12    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys        60.81      4.19  ND                  
 42 09/11/2015 Home    W    52.70  30  24    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne          22.48    -16.48                      
 43 09/18/2015 Away    W   106.80  76  20    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                 76.59    -20.59                      
 44 09/25/2015 Away    W    58.72  88  12   ZZ  73 (  1- 26-  0) Farmington Harmony     28.51     47.49                      
 45 10/02/2015 Home    W    54.49  66  34    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail           24.28      7.72                      
 46 10/09/2015 Away    W *  36.38  28  26    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars      6.16     -4.16                      
 47 10/16/2015 Home    W    89.63  69   6    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas         59.41      3.59                      
 48 10/23/2015 Away    W    84.77  89   6    8  67 (  5- 49-  0) Seymour SMU            54.56     28.44                      
 49 10/28/2015 Home    W    77.49  64  26    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 47.27     -9.27                      
 50 11/02/2015 Home    L     9.49  20  51    8  50 ( 41- 56-  0) Colo-NESCO            -20.72    -10.28                      
 51 08/26/2016 Away    W    73.03  47   0    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail           42.82      4.18  ND                  
 52 09/02/2016 Home    L    28.70  22  40    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne          -1.52    -16.48  ND                  
 53 09/09/2016 Home    L * -21.16   2  54    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -51.38     -0.62                      
 54 09/16/2016 Away    W    53.77  58   6    8  67 (  5- 49-  0) Seymour SMU            23.56     28.44                      
 55 09/23/2016 Home    L    52.77  28  36    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV             22.56    -30.56                      
 56 09/30/2016 Away    W    84.10  60   0    8  65 ( 31- 62-  0) Tama Meskwaki          53.88      6.12                      
 57 10/07/2016 Away    W *  66.08  73  14    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   35.87     23.13                      
 58 10/14/2016 Home    L    28.49  42  54    8  50 ( 41- 56-  0) Colo-NESCO             -1.72    -10.28                      
 59 10/21/2016 Away    W    78.17  78  30    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas         47.96      0.04                      
 60 08/18/2017 Home    W    99.49  66   6    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 69.27     -9.27  ND                  
 61 08/25/2017 Away    W   106.21  70   0    8  56 ( 13- 25-  0) Collins-Maxwell        75.99     -5.99  ND                  
 62 09/01/2017 Away    W    69.24  37  18    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne          39.03    -20.03  ND                  
 63 09/08/2017 Away    W *  82.38  60  12    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     52.16     -4.16                      
 64 09/15/2017 Home    W    51.23  53   0    8  67 (  5- 49-  0) Seymour SMU            21.02     31.98                      
 65 09/22/2017 Away    L    38.31  31  57    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV              8.10    -34.10                      
 66 09/29/2017 Home    W    75.55  77  22    8  65 ( 31- 62-  0) Tama Meskwaki          45.34      9.66                      
 67 10/06/2017 Home    W *  55.54  52   0    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   25.32     26.68                      
 68 10/13/2017 Away    W    52.04  30  22    8  50 ( 41- 56-  0) Colo-NESCO             21.82    -13.82                      
 69 10/20/2017 Home    W    78.63  68  16    8  62 ( 48- 44-  0) Melcher-Dallas         48.41      3.59                      
 70 10/27/2017 Away    L    31.28   0  62    8   3 (112- 10-  0) Don Bosco               1.06 *  -63.06                      
 71 08/24/2018 Away    W *  73.38  47   8    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     43.16     -4.16  ND                  
 72 08/31/2018 Home    L *   7.60   0  42    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London            -22.62    -19.38  ND                  
 73 09/07/2018 Away    L     8.66   8  46    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren      -21.55    -16.45                      
 74 09/14/2018 Home    W    77.49  52  14    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                 47.27     -9.27                      
 75 09/21/2018 Home    L    17.26  22  52    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                -12.95    -17.05                      
 76 09/28/2018 Away    L   -23.97   8  58    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail          -54.18      4.18                      
 77 10/05/2018 Away    W     9.77  30  22    8  67 (  5- 49-  0) Seymour SMU           -20.44     28.44                      
 78 10/12/2018 Home    L    15.84   8  34    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union      -14.38    -11.62                      
 79 10/19/2018 Away    L    41.96  20  42    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                  11.74    -33.74                      
 80 08/30/2019 Home    W *  69.84  51  12    8  58 ( 48- 49-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     39.62     -0.62  ND                  
 81 09/06/2019 Away    L *  -5.86  12  71    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London            -36.08    -22.92  ND                  
 82 09/13/2019 Home    L     4.12   8  47    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren      -26.10    -12.90                      
 83 09/20/2019 Away    L    38.03  21  26    8  51 ( 50- 51-  0) Murray                  7.81    -12.81                      
 84 09/27/2019 Away    L    18.80   0  32    8  40 ( 58- 40-  0) Lamoni                -11.41    -20.59                      
 85 10/04/2019 Home    W    60.49  51  13    8  64 ( 30- 51-  0) Mormon Trail           30.28      7.72                      
 86 10/11/2019 Home    W    38.23  52  12    8  67 (  5- 49-  0) Seymour SMU             8.02     31.98                      
 87 10/18/2019 Away    L    40.38  13  18    8  49 ( 42- 48-  0) Afton East Union       10.17    -15.17                      
 88 10/25/2019 Home    L    30.41  14  44    8  23 ( 62- 35-  0) Lenox                   0.20    -30.20                      
 89 08/28/2020 Home    L *  30.60  13  32    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London              0.38    -19.38                      
 90 09/04/2020 Home    L *   4.02  34  56    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys       -26.19      4.19                      
 91 09/11/2020 Away    L    35.61  21  36    8  43 ( 20- 17-  0) Baxter                  5.40    -20.40  ND                  
 92 09/18/2020 Home    L *  18.22  13  44    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO          -12.00    -19.00                      
 93 09/25/2020 Away    L *   5.76   7  71    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -24.46    -39.54                      
 94 10/03/2020 Home    L *  26.85  14  50    8  21 ( 63- 35-  0) Lone Tree              -3.36    -32.64  was 10/02 now 10/03 
 95 10/09/2020 Away    W *  48.08  53  12    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   17.87     23.13                      
 96 10/16/2020 Away    L * -13.43  13  56    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys       -43.65      0.65                      
      Averages              29.83  33.8 35.4

Best game:  106.80 = 56 point win over Lamoni
Worst game: -55.37 = 82 point loss to Melcher-Dallas
Team stdev:  35.58