BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Wilton

Class: 1A Class Rank: 21 Conference: 1A-5 Record: (13-8-0) Overall: (62-37-0) Overall Strength =   77.28

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Home    L      74.48  21  28   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis             -2.70     -4.30                      
 2 09/02/2011 Away    W     104.10  45  21   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        26.92     -2.92                      
 3 09/09/2011 Away    L      67.23   0  35    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       -9.95    -25.05                      
 4 09/16/2011 Home    W      98.39  48   6   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       21.21     20.79                      
 5 09/23/2011 Away    W     101.40  65  38   2A 29 ( 50- 51-  0) West Liberty           24.22      2.78                      
 6 09/30/2011 Home    W * * 102.26  42   0   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                 25.08     16.92                      
 7 10/07/2011 Home    W     116.36  48   0   2A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                 39.18      8.82                      
 8 10/14/2011 Away    W     104.16  59   0    A 58 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      26.99     32.01                      
 9 10/21/2011 Home    W      85.82  33   7   2A 40 ( 31- 61-  0) Camanche                8.65     17.35                      
10 10/26/2011 Home    W     100.69  42  20   2A 18 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    23.51     -1.51                      
11 10/31/2011 Away    L      63.05   7  29   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -14.13     -7.87                      
12 08/24/2012 Home    L      61.36  21  28   2A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                -15.82      8.82                      
13 08/31/2012 Away    W     100.96  53  12   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       23.78     17.22                      
14 09/07/2012 Home    W      97.52  28   7   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        20.35      0.65                      
15 09/14/2012 Home    W * *  94.48  35  28   1A  4 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch            17.30    -10.30                      
16 09/21/2012 Away    W      72.04  26  14   2A 44 ( 32- 50-  0) Eddyville EBF          -5.13     17.13                      
17 09/28/2012 Home    W      69.72  46  13   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -7.45     40.45                      
18 10/05/2012 Away    L      70.23  18  50    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       -6.95    -25.05                      
19 10/12/2012 Home    W * *  76.26  28  12   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                 -0.92     16.92                      
20 10/19/2012 Away    W      85.18  43  22    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                 8.00     13.00                      
21 10/24/2012 Home    W     102.36  50  16    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              25.18      8.82                      
22 10/29/2012 Away    L      47.91  20  48    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -29.27      1.27                      
23 08/30/2013 Away    W      95.93  39  15   2A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                 18.75      5.25  ND                  
24 09/06/2013 Home    W     100.39  44   0   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       23.21     20.79  ND                  
25 09/13/2013 Away    W     108.10  41  13   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        30.92     -2.92                      
26 09/20/2013 Away    W * * 105.05  42  28   1A  4 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch            27.88    -13.88                      
27 09/27/2013 Home    W     100.47  44   0   2A 44 ( 32- 50-  0) Eddyville EBF          23.30     20.70                      
28 10/04/2013 Away    W      92.30  52   0   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         15.12     36.88                      
29 10/11/2013 Home    L      80.65  27  45    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina        3.48    -21.48                      
30 10/18/2013 Away    W * * 104.83  57  16   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                 27.65     13.35                      
31 10/25/2013 Home    W      89.61  35   6    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                12.43     16.57                      
32 10/30/2013 Home    W      86.21  42  14    A 44 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar    9.03     18.97                      
33 11/04/2013 Away    L      67.91  27  35    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -9.27      1.27                      
34 08/29/2014 Home    L      42.22   6  56   2A  6 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -34.95    -15.05                      
35 09/05/2014 Away    W      70.96  25  14   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       -6.22     17.22                      
36 09/12/2014 Away    L      50.74   6  33    A 15 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue              -26.44     -0.56                      
37 09/19/2014 Home    W * *  61.26  14  13   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -15.92     16.92                      
38 09/26/2014 Home    W      82.61  34  12    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                 5.43     16.57                      
39 10/03/2014 Away    L      51.05   7  41   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -26.13     -7.87                      
40 10/10/2014 Away    L      35.93  14  50    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -41.25      5.25                      
41 10/17/2014 Home    L * *  31.48   0  56   1A  4 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch           -45.70    -10.30                      
42 10/24/2014 Away    L      23.78  14  52    A 44 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar  -53.40     15.40                      
43 08/29/2015 Away    L      53.80   0  42   2A  6 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -23.38    -18.62  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
44 09/04/2015 Home    L      53.39  20  23   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine      -23.79     20.79  ND                  
45 09/11/2015 Home    W     101.17  27   0    A 15 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               23.99      3.01                      
46 09/19/2015 Away    W * *  77.83  28  14   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                  0.65     13.35  was 09/18 now 09/19 
47 09/25/2015 Away    W      81.18  38  21    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                 4.00     13.00                      
48 10/02/2015 Home    L      60.48  14  35   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -16.70     -4.30  ND                  
49 10/09/2015 Home    W      75.36  24  17    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              -1.82      8.82                      
50 10/16/2015 Away    L * *  50.05  14  55   1A  4 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch           -27.12    -13.88                      
51 10/23/2015 Home    W      68.21  17   7    A 44 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar   -8.97     18.97                      
52 10/28/2015 Home    L      67.70  24  42   1A  7 ( 70- 36-  0) Pella Christian        -9.47     -8.53                      
53 08/26/2016 Away    W      95.93  32   8   2A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                 18.75      5.25  ND                  
54 09/02/2016 Home    W * *  85.26  57  32   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                  8.08     16.92  ND                  
55 09/09/2016 Away    W      87.16  42   0    A 58 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction       9.99     32.01                      
56 09/16/2016 Home    W      76.09  35  18    A 43 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     -1.08     18.08                      
57 09/23/2016 Away    W      95.96  36   0   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       18.78     17.22                      
58 09/30/2016 Away    L      78.23  17  41    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina        1.05    -25.05                      
59 10/07/2016 Home    W     101.61  48   7    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                24.43     16.57                      
60 10/14/2016 Home    W      87.12  54   0   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     9.95     44.05                      
61 10/21/2016 Away    L      73.10  28  35   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -4.08     -2.92                      
62 08/25/2017 Home    W      78.36  24  14   2A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                  1.18      8.82  ND                  
63 09/01/2017 Away    W * *  76.83  20   7   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                 -0.35     13.35  ND                  
64 09/08/2017 Home    W      76.59  48  13    A 58 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      -0.58     35.58                      
65 09/15/2017 Away    W     110.66  54   6    A 43 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     33.49     14.51                      
66 09/22/2017 Home    W      96.39  46   6   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       19.21     20.79                      
67 09/29/2017 Home    L      56.65   7  49    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina      -20.52    -21.48                      
68 10/06/2017 Away    W      89.18  38  13    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                12.00     13.00                      
69 10/13/2017 Away    W      84.70  56   8   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     7.52     40.48                      
70 10/20/2017 Home    W      82.52  36  30   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota         5.35      0.65                      
71 10/27/2017 Away    W      91.74  28  14    A 15 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               14.56     -0.56                      
72 11/03/2017 Away    L      67.23   0  35    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       -9.95    -25.05                      
73 08/24/2018 Away    W * *  77.83  27  13   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                  0.65     13.35  ND                  
74 08/30/2018 Home    W * *  93.66  50   8   1A 46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   16.48     25.52  was 08/31 now 08/30 AND  ND
75 09/07/2018 Away    W      98.26  22   6   2A 18 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    21.08     -5.08  ND                  
76 09/14/2018 Home    L      61.31  13  26   3A 40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton      -15.87      2.87  ND                  
77 09/21/2018 Home    W     111.52  35   0   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        34.35      0.65                      
78 09/28/2018 Away    W      93.18  35   6    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                16.00     13.00                      
79 10/05/2018 Away    W     102.05  20   3   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis             24.87     -7.87                      
80 10/12/2018 Home    W      67.59  34   8    A 58 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      -9.58     35.58                      
81 10/19/2018 Home    W      93.12  60   0   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    15.95     44.05                      
82 10/26/2018 Home    L      82.70  28  31   1A  7 ( 70- 36-  0) Pella Christian         5.53     -8.53                      
83 08/30/2019 Home    L * *  36.26   0  24   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -40.92     16.92  ND                  
84 09/06/2019 Away    W * *  94.23  46   7   1A 46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   17.05     21.95  ND                  
85 09/13/2019 Home    L      44.69   6  40   2A 18 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie   -32.49     -1.51  ND                  
86 09/20/2019 Away    L      43.88  14  48   3A 40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton      -33.29     -0.71  ND                  
87 09/27/2019 Away    L      46.10   6  40   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -31.08     -2.92  Ended 4 min left in 3 rd qtr. Lightning
88 10/04/2019 Home    L      53.61  14  21    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello               -23.57     16.57                      
89 10/11/2019 Home    L      27.48   6  60   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -49.70     -4.30                      
90 10/18/2019 Away    W      89.16  44   0    A 58 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      11.99     32.01                      
91 10/25/2019 Away    W      70.70  42   8   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -6.48     40.48                      
92 08/28/2020 Away    W      68.66  36  30    A 43 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     -8.51     14.51  ND                  
93 09/05/2020 Home    L      71.20  20  26    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -5.98     -0.02  was 09/04 now 09/05 AND  ND
94 09/11/2020 Away    L * *  56.83  28  35   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -20.35     13.35                      
95 09/18/2020 Home    L * *  52.48   8  43   1A  4 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch           -24.70    -10.30                      
96 09/25/2020 Away    L * *  58.88   6  34   1A 11 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade               -18.30     -9.70                      
97 10/02/2020 Home    L * *  75.11  30  42   1A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     -2.07     -9.93                      
98 10/09/2020 Away    W * *  90.23  41   6   1A 46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   13.05     21.95                      
99 10/16/2020 Away    L * *  31.88   0  55   1A 11 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade               -45.30     -9.70                      
      Averages              77.28  29.6 21.7

Best game:  116.36 = 48 point win over Tipton
Worst game:  23.78 = 38 point loss to Stanwood North Cedar
Team stdev:  21.47