BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Wilton

Class: 1A Class Rank: 22 Conference: 1A-5 Record: (13-8-0) Overall: (62-37-0) Overall Strength =   77.16

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Home    L    74.38  21  28   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis             -2.68     -4.32                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    W   103.97  45  21   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        26.90     -2.90                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    L    67.10   0  35    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       -9.97    -25.03                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    W    98.29  48   6   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       21.22     20.78                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W   101.27  65  38   2A  30 ( 49- 52-  0) West Liberty           24.20      2.80                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W * 102.16  42   0   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                 25.10     16.90                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    W   116.26  48   0   2A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                 39.19      8.81                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    W   104.04  59   0    A  59 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      26.97     32.03                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    W    85.73  33   7   2A  41 ( 31- 61-  0) Camanche                8.67     17.33                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    W   100.59  42  20   2A  20 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    23.53     -1.53                      
 11 10/31/2011 Away    L    62.92   7  29   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -14.14     -7.86                      
 12 08/24/2012 Home    L    61.26  21  28   2A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                -15.81      8.81                      
 13 08/31/2012 Away    W   100.83  53  12   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       23.77     17.23                      
 14 09/07/2012 Home    W    97.42  28   7   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        20.36      0.64                      
 15 09/14/2012 Home    W *  94.38  35  28   1A   5 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch            17.32    -10.32                      
 16 09/21/2012 Away    W    71.91  26  14   2A  44 ( 32- 50-  0) Eddyville EBF          -5.15     17.15                      
 17 09/28/2012 Home    W    69.72  46  13   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -7.34     40.34                      
 18 10/05/2012 Away    L    70.10  18  50    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       -6.97    -25.03                      
 19 10/12/2012 Home    W *  76.16  28  12   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                 -0.90     16.90                      
 20 10/19/2012 Away    W    85.06  43  22    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                 7.99     13.01                      
 21 10/24/2012 Home    W   102.25  50  16    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              25.19      8.81                      
 22 10/29/2012 Away    L    47.77  20  48    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -29.29      1.29                      
 23 08/30/2013 Away    W    95.80  39  15   2A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                 18.74      5.26  ND                  
 24 09/06/2013 Home    W   100.29  44   0   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       23.22     20.78  ND                  
 25 09/13/2013 Away    W   107.97  41  13   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        30.90     -2.90                      
 26 09/20/2013 Away    W * 104.92  42  28   1A   5 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch            27.86    -13.86                      
 27 09/27/2013 Home    W   100.37  44   0   2A  44 ( 32- 50-  0) Eddyville EBF          23.31     20.69                      
 28 10/04/2013 Away    W    92.26  52   0   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         15.20     36.80                      
 29 10/11/2013 Home    L    80.55  27  45    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina        3.49    -21.49                      
 30 10/18/2013 Away    W * 104.70  57  16   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                 27.64     13.36                      
 31 10/25/2013 Home    W    89.51  35   6    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                12.45     16.55                      
 32 10/30/2013 Home    W    86.11  42  14    A  45 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar    9.04     18.96                      
 33 11/04/2013 Away    L    67.77  27  35    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -9.29      1.29                      
 34 08/29/2014 Home    L    42.13   6  56   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -34.93    -15.07                      
 35 09/05/2014 Away    W    70.83  25  14   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       -6.23     17.23                      
 36 09/12/2014 Away    L    50.61   6  33    A  16 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue              -26.46     -0.54                      
 37 09/19/2014 Home    W *  61.16  14  13   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -15.90     16.90                      
 38 09/26/2014 Home    W    82.51  34  12    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                 5.45     16.55                      
 39 10/03/2014 Away    L    50.92   7  41   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -26.14     -7.86                      
 40 10/10/2014 Away    L    35.79  14  50    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -41.27      5.27                      
 41 10/17/2014 Home    L *  31.38   0  56   1A   5 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch           -45.68    -10.32                      
 42 10/24/2014 Away    L    23.65  14  52    A  45 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar  -53.41     15.41                      
 43 08/29/2015 Away    L    53.67   0  42   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -23.39    -18.61  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
 44 09/04/2015 Home    L    53.29  20  23   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine      -23.78     20.78  ND                  
 45 09/11/2015 Home    W   101.06  27   0    A  16 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               24.00      3.00                      
 46 09/19/2015 Away    W *  77.70  28  14   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                  0.64     13.36  was 09/18 now 09/19 
 47 09/25/2015 Away    W    81.06  38  21    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                 3.99     13.01                      
 48 10/02/2015 Home    L    60.38  14  35   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -16.68     -4.32  ND                  
 49 10/09/2015 Home    W    75.25  24  17    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              -1.81      8.81                      
 50 10/16/2015 Away    L *  49.92  14  55   1A   5 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch           -27.14    -13.86                      
 51 10/23/2015 Home    W    68.11  17   7    A  45 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar   -8.96     18.96                      
 52 10/28/2015 Home    L    67.58  24  42   1A   8 ( 69- 37-  0) Pella Christian        -9.48     -8.52                      
 53 08/26/2016 Away    W    95.80  32   8   2A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                 18.74      5.26  ND                  
 54 09/02/2016 Home    W *  85.16  57  32   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                  8.10     16.90  ND                  
 55 09/09/2016 Away    W    87.04  42   0    A  59 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction       9.97     32.03                      
 56 09/16/2016 Home    W    75.97  35  18    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     -1.09     18.09                      
 57 09/23/2016 Away    W    95.83  36   0   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       18.77     17.23                      
 58 09/30/2016 Away    L    78.10  17  41    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina        1.03    -25.03                      
 59 10/07/2016 Home    W   101.51  48   7    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                24.45     16.55                      
 60 10/14/2016 Home    W    87.00  54   0   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     9.94     44.06                      
 61 10/21/2016 Away    L    72.97  28  35   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -4.10     -2.90                      
 62 08/25/2017 Home    W    78.26  24  14   2A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                  1.19      8.81  ND                  
 63 09/01/2017 Away    W *  76.70  20   7   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                 -0.36     13.36  ND                  
 64 09/08/2017 Home    W    76.49  48  13    A  59 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      -0.57     35.57                      
 65 09/15/2017 Away    W   110.52  54   6    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     33.45     14.55                      
 66 09/22/2017 Home    W    96.29  46   6   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       19.22     20.78                      
 67 09/29/2017 Home    L    56.55   7  49    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina      -20.51    -21.49                      
 68 10/06/2017 Away    W    89.06  38  13    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                11.99     13.01                      
 69 10/13/2017 Away    W    84.54  56   8   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     7.48     40.52                      
 70 10/20/2017 Home    W    82.42  36  30   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota         5.36      0.64                      
 71 10/27/2017 Away    W    91.61  28  14    A  16 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               14.54     -0.54                      
 72 11/03/2017 Away    L    67.10   0  35    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       -9.97    -25.03                      
 73 08/24/2018 Away    W *  77.70  27  13   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                  0.64     13.36  ND                  
 74 08/30/2018 Home    W *  93.56  50   8   1A  46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   16.50     25.50  was 08/31 now 08/30 AND  ND
 75 09/07/2018 Away    W    98.13  22   6   2A  20 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    21.07     -5.07  ND                  
 76 09/14/2018 Home    L    61.22  13  26   3A  40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton      -15.85      2.85  ND                  
 77 09/21/2018 Home    W   111.42  35   0   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        34.36      0.64                      
 78 09/28/2018 Away    W    93.06  35   6    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                15.99     13.01                      
 79 10/05/2018 Away    W   101.92  20   3   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis             24.86     -7.86                      
 80 10/12/2018 Home    W    67.49  34   8    A  59 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      -9.57     35.57                      
 81 10/19/2018 Home    W    93.00  60   0   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    15.94     44.06                      
 82 10/26/2018 Home    L    82.58  28  31   1A   8 ( 69- 37-  0) Pella Christian         5.52     -8.52                      
 83 08/30/2019 Home    L *  36.16   0  24   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -40.90     16.90  ND                  
 84 09/06/2019 Away    W *  94.10  46   7   1A  46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   17.04     21.96  ND                  
 85 09/13/2019 Home    L    44.59   6  40   2A  20 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie   -32.47     -1.53  ND                  
 86 09/20/2019 Away    L    43.76  14  48   3A  40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton      -33.30     -0.70  ND                  
 87 09/27/2019 Away    L    45.97   6  40   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -31.10     -2.90  Ended 4 min left in 3 rd qtr. Lightning
 88 10/04/2019 Home    L    53.51  14  21    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello               -23.55     16.55                      
 89 10/11/2019 Home    L    27.38   6  60   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -49.68     -4.32                      
 90 10/18/2019 Away    W    89.04  44   0    A  59 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      11.97     32.03                      
 91 10/25/2019 Away    W    70.54  42   8   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -6.52     40.52                      
 92 08/28/2020 Away    W    68.52  36  30    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     -8.55     14.55  ND                  
 93 09/05/2020 Home    L    71.08  20  26    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -5.98     -0.02  was 09/04 now 09/05 AND  ND
 94 09/11/2020 Away    L *  56.70  28  35   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -20.36     13.36                      
 95 09/18/2020 Home    L *  52.38   8  43   1A   5 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch           -24.68    -10.32                      
 96 09/25/2020 Away    L *  58.75   6  34   1A  12 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade               -18.31     -9.69                      
 97 10/02/2020 Home    L *  75.02  30  42   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     -2.04     -9.96                      
 98 10/09/2020 Away    W *  90.10  41   6   1A  46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   13.04     21.96                      
 99 10/16/2020 Away    L *  31.75   0  55   1A  12 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade               -45.31     -9.69                      
      Averages              77.16  29.6 21.7

Best game:  116.26 = 48 point win over Tipton
Worst game:  23.65 = 38 point loss to Stanwood North Cedar
Team stdev:  21.47