BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Adair-Casey

Class: 8 Class Rank: 9 Conference: (8-1) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength =  107.11

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    L    83.09  26  63    8   3 (10- 2) East Mills            -18.54    -18.46                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    L    65.22   8  80    8   1 (13- 0) Tabor Fremont-Mills   -36.41 *  -35.59                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    W * 106.11  68  16    8  44 ( 2- 7) Afton East Union        4.48 *   47.52                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    W * 126.23  56  17    8  19 ( 8- 4) Anita CAM              24.60     14.40                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W * 135.13  80  40    8  10 (12- 2) Murray                 33.50      6.50                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    W *  99.31  54  12    8  43 ( 4- 6) Mormon Trail           -2.32 *   44.32                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    W * 109.05  50  13    8  30 ( 5- 6) Lenox                   7.42     29.58                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    W *  85.75  74  13    8  58 ( 0- 9) Ankeny Christian      -15.88 *   76.88                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    W * 112.23  56   8    8  39 ( 3- 6) Lamoni                 10.59 *   37.41                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    W   108.29  56   7    8  40 ( 5- 6) Thornburg Tri-County    6.65 *   42.35                      
 11 10/31/2011 Home    W * 110.04  58  32    8  19 ( 8- 4) Anita CAM               8.41     17.59                      
 12 11/04/2011 Home    L *  79.13  54  70    8  10 (12- 2) Murray                -22.50      6.50                      
      Averages             101.63  53.3 30.9

Best game:  135.13 = 40 point win over Murray
Worst game:  65.22 = 72 point loss to Tabor Fremont-Mills
Team stdev:  20.14