BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Harlan
Class: 3A Class Rank: 16 Conference: (5-2) Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength = 105.52
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 08/19/2011 Away L 93.83 42 43 3A 34 ( 5- 4) Denison-Schleswig -12.76 11.76
2 09/04/2011 Home W 116.55 28 3 4A 32 ( 5- 5) CB Lincoln 9.97 15.03
3 09/09/2011 Away W * 107.85 42 6 3A 57 ( 1- 8) Glenwood 1.26 * 34.74
4 09/16/2011 Home L * 84.72 20 42 3A 13 ( 8- 3) Carroll -21.87 -0.13
5 09/23/2011 Home W * 105.75 21 14 3A 24 ( 3- 5) CB Lewis Central -0.84 7.84
6 09/30/2011 Away W * 108.58 38 28 3A 29 ( 4- 6) Atlantic 2.00 8.00
7 10/07/2011 Home W * 117.03 63 0 3A 63 ( 0- 9) Red Oak 10.44 * 52.56
8 10/14/2011 Away W * 122.53 41 14 3A 32 ( 3- 6) Winterset 15.95 11.05
9 10/21/2011 Home L * 82.06 20 42 3A 14 ( 8- 2) Creston COM -24.53 2.53
10 10/26/2011 Away W 119.31 35 30 3A 10 ( 8- 2) Sioux City Heelan 12.72 -7.72
11 10/31/2011 Home W 99.23 28 24 3A 30 ( 5- 7) Spencer -7.36 11.36
12 11/07/2011 Home W 132.55 28 7 3A 8 (11- 1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 25.96 -4.96
13 11/14/2011 Neutral L 95.64 14 35 3A 6 (11- 3) Decorah -10.94 -10.06
Averages 106.59 32.3 22.2
Best game: 132.55 = 21 point win over Boyden-Hull-Rock Valley
Worst game: 82.06 = 22 point loss to Creston-Orient-Macksburg
Team stdev: 15.06