BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Pella

Class: 3A Class Rank: 9 Conference: (7-0) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength =  114.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Home    L    71.99  14  41   3A  22 ( 5- 4) Newton                -41.95     14.95                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    W   116.02  42  16   3A  43 ( 2- 7) Knoxville               2.09     23.91                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    W * 109.83  47   0   3A  62 ( 1- 8) Chariton               -4.11 *   51.11                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    W * 118.59  31  14   3A  21 ( 8- 3) Oskaloosa               4.66     12.34                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W * 120.54  53   0   3A  59 ( 2- 7) Centerville             6.60 *   46.40                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W * 115.39  46   7   3A  51 ( 4- 5) Mount Pleasant          1.46 *   37.54                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    W * 127.96  40  14   3A  17 ( 7- 3) Keokuk                 14.02     11.98                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    W * 136.52  43   0   3A  36 ( 5- 5) Fairfield              22.59     20.41                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    W * 108.76  56   6   3A  61 ( 2- 7) Fort Madison           -5.18 *   55.18                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    W   106.08  41  20   3A  41 ( 4- 6) Perry                  -7.86     28.86                      
 11 10/31/2011 Home    W   123.87  17   0   3A  12 ( 9- 2) Norwalk                 9.94      7.06                      
 12 11/07/2011 Away    L   111.68  13  25   3A   2 (12- 1) Adel ADM               -2.25     -9.75                      
      Averages             113.94  36.9 11.9

Best game:  136.52 = 43 point win over Fairfield
Worst game:  71.99 = 27 point loss to Newton
Team stdev:  15.80