BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 32 Conference: (2-2) Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =  141.49

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/17/2012 Home    L   154.53   0  27   4A   6 ( 9- 3) WDM Valley             10.83 *  -37.83                      
  2 08/24/2012 Away    W   155.63  34  21   3A  39 ( 5- 5) Keokuk                 11.94      1.06                      
  3 08/31/2012 Home    W   138.90  33   3   3A  55 ( 2- 7) Mount Pleasant         -4.79 *   34.79                      
  4 09/07/2012 Home    L   139.31  26  47   4A  18 ( 6- 4) Des Moines East        -4.38    -16.62                      
  5 09/14/2012 Away    L   134.38   7  26   4A  25 ( 6- 5) Indianola              -9.31     -9.69                      
  6 09/21/2012 Away    L * 129.24   7  49   4A  14 ( 7- 4) Marshalltown          -14.46    -27.54                      
  7 09/28/2012 Home    W * 159.08  21   3   4A  33 ( 1- 9) Mason City             15.39      2.61                      
  8 10/05/2012 Away    L * 153.12   7  41   4A   4 ( 9- 3) WDM Dowling             9.43 *  -43.43                      
  9 10/19/2012 Home    W * 154.28  54  17   4A  46 ( 1- 8) Des Moines Hoover      10.59     26.41                      
 10 10/24/2012 Away    L   118.47   0  55   4A   9 ( 8- 3) Waukee                -25.23    -29.77                      
      Averages             143.70  18.9 28.9

Best game:  159.08 = 18 point win over Mason City
Worst game: 118.47 = 55 point loss to Waukee
Team stdev:  13.63