BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.15

Composite = weighted composite of 6 subrankings: 3 based on win/loss-only models and 3 based on game-margin models

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Composite   Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
10/27/2017   4A    7 ( 6- 3) Waukee                 4A    9 ( 7- 2) Ankeny Centennial     163.34    5.88  68%  -1.39  54%  -1.61  55%   8.14  74%
10/27/2017   4A    6 ( 6- 3) Southeast Polk         4A    8 ( 8- 1) Johnston              160.87    7.94  73%  -2.25  57%  -5.38  66% -10.54  79%
10/27/2017   4A   11 ( 7- 2) Pleasant Valley        4A    2 ( 8- 1) Bettendorf            157.80   15.38  88%  23.23  96%  13.51  85%   9.23  76%
10/27/2017   4A   10 ( 8- 1) CB Lewis Central       4A    5 ( 8- 1) WDM Valley            151.75   11.25  81%   9.67  77%  14.71  87%  13.53  85%
10/27/2017   4A   13 ( 8- 1) CR Prairie             4A    3 ( 8- 1) Cedar Falls           148.43    8.78  75%  17.26  91%  19.37  93%  18.65  93%
10/27/2017   4A    1 ( 8- 1) WDM Dowling            4A   14 ( 6- 3) Urbandale             147.45  -21.13  95% -25.78  98% -21.00  95% -10.57  79%
10/27/2017   4A   16 ( 6- 3) Davenport Central      4A   12 ( 8- 1) Eldridge North Scott  146.56   16.22  90%  12.86  84%  11.11  81%   6.39  69%
10/27/2017   4A   17 ( 5- 4) CR Washington          4A    4 ( 9- 0) Iowa City West        138.64   42.23 100%  28.00  99%  21.69  95%  19.34  93%
10/27/2017   3A    8 ( 8- 1) Carlisle               3A    2 ( 9- 0) Dallas Center-Grimes  150.06   13.71  86%   9.52  77%   1.12  53%  -7.95  73%
10/27/2017   3A    9 ( 8- 1) Glenwood               3A    4 ( 9- 0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  147.91   17.39  91%   7.58  72%   6.54  69%   2.74  58%
10/27/2017   3A    3 ( 8- 1) Waverly-Shell Rock     3A   11 ( 7- 2) West Delaware         147.60  -13.89  86%  -7.41  72%  -3.01  59%  -3.78  62%
10/27/2017   3A   12 ( 7- 2) Sioux City Heelan      3A    7 ( 8- 1) Harlan                144.20    8.46  74%   5.81  67%   8.73  75%  13.35  85%
10/27/2017   3A   13 ( 7- 2) Decorah                3A    1 ( 9- 0) Solon                 141.99   24.98  97%  28.19  99%  11.86  82%   9.75  78%
10/27/2017   3A   25 ( 8- 1) Washington             3A    6 ( 7- 2) Davenport Assumption  141.28   -3.67  61%  23.30  97%   7.01  71%   1.56  55%
10/27/2017   3A   15 ( 8- 1) Webster City           3A    5 ( 8- 1) Pella                 138.14    7.53  72%  13.71  86%  12.14  83%   6.75  70%
10/27/2017   3A   24 ( 6- 3) Oskaloosa              3A   10 ( 9- 0) CR Xavier             134.48   31.56  99%  16.55  90%  11.97  82%  16.35  90%
10/27/2017   2A    3 ( 8- 1) Waukon                 2A    5 ( 7- 2) Clear Lake            137.41   -8.97  76%  -4.27  63%   0.91  53%  -3.53  61%
10/27/2017   2A    9 ( 8- 1) Sioux Center           2A   11 ( 8- 1) South Cent Calhoun    131.98   -3.95  62%  -1.73  55%  -1.11  53%  -2.57  58%
10/27/2017   2A    6 ( 7- 2) Williamsburg           2A   10 ( 8- 1) Prairie City-Monroe   123.56   -2.54  58%  -3.22  60% -11.43  81% -10.39  79%
10/27/2017   2A   16 ( 6- 3) Dike-New Hartford      2A   12 ( 7- 2) New Hampton           121.48    4.22  63%   6.94  71%   5.17  66%   3.65  61%
10/27/2017   2A    8 ( 6- 3) LaPorte City Union     2A   15 ( 8- 1) Aplington AP          119.13    6.27  69%  -9.52  77% -10.67  80%  -7.10  71%
10/27/2017   2A   14 ( 6- 3) West Liberty           2A    4 ( 9- 0) Cascade               115.19   29.41  99%  14.93  88%  16.56  90%  10.05  78%
10/27/2017   2A   20 ( 7- 2) Carroll Kuemper        2A    1 ( 8- 1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   98.74   30.75  99%  44.98 100%  39.15 100%  31.47  99%
10/27/2017   2A   38 ( 6- 3) Centerville            2A    2 ( 8- 1) Mount Vernon           75.66   41.59 100%  47.62 100%  50.02 100%  39.34 100%
10/27/2017   1A   13 ( 6- 3) South Winneshiek       1A    4 ( 7- 2) Iowa City Regina      124.00    5.47  66%  18.44  92%  -0.12  50% -16.41  90%
10/27/2017   1A    8 ( 7- 2) Western Christian      1A    5 ( 8- 1) Avoca AHSTW           123.46    6.01  68%   9.50  77%   7.54  72%  19.07  93%
10/27/2017   1A   12 ( 8- 1) South Hamilton         1A    6 ( 8- 1) Denver                120.59    1.34  54%   7.44  72%   4.66  64%  -0.45  51%
10/27/2017   1A    7 ( 7- 2) Pleasantville          1A   14 ( 9- 0) West Branch           118.95   13.78  86%  -6.67  70%  -6.82  70%  -9.97  78%
10/27/2017   1A   24 ( 8- 1) Wilton                 1A   10 ( 8- 1) Bellevue              106.15   11.19  81%  16.67  90%  11.30  81%  13.19  85%
10/27/2017   1A   17 ( 7- 2) IKM-Manning            1A    1 ( 9- 0) Inwood West Lyon      101.46   45.67 100%  46.84 100%  38.11 100%  41.01 100%
10/27/2017   1A   25 ( 7- 2) Belmond-Klemme         1A    2 ( 9- 0) Van Meter              89.71   42.79 100%  42.14 100%  40.13 100%  42.49 100%
10/27/2017   1A   30 ( 5- 4) Sigourney-Keota        1A    3 ( 9- 0) Pella Christian        88.25   51.70 100%  42.48 100%  34.83 100%  32.66  99%
10/27/2017    A   14 ( 6- 3) Britt West Hancock      A    9 ( 9- 0) Algona Garrigan       120.58   23.80  97%   6.21  69%   0.19  51%  -7.11  71%
10/27/2017    A    6 ( 8- 1) Gladbrook-Reinbeck      A    4 ( 9- 0) Wapsie Valley         120.11   15.65  89%   4.02  62%   7.35  72%  -0.87  53%
10/27/2017    A   13 ( 8- 1) East Buchanan           A    8 ( 9- 0) Saint Ansgar          118.07   13.46  85%   8.50  75%   4.80  65%   9.35  77%
10/27/2017    A   12 ( 7- 2) LeMars Gehlen           A    3 ( 9- 0) Southwest Valley      111.14   28.44  99%  22.16  96%  16.27  90%  15.64  89%
10/27/2017    A   10 ( 8- 1) Packwood Pekin          A    7 ( 9- 0) Hudson                109.43   20.82  95%   9.36  77%  13.93  86%  12.04  83%
10/27/2017    A   16 ( 6- 2) New London              A    5 ( 8- 0) Lynnville-Sully       106.85   27.57  98%  17.21  91%  14.35  87%  18.56  93%
10/27/2017    A   18 ( 7- 2) Sioux Central           A    2 ( 9- 0) Hawarden West Sioux    92.53   37.61 100%  43.98 100%  42.09 100%  35.47 100%
10/27/2017    A   22 ( 7- 2) Sloan Westwood          A    1 ( 8- 1) CB St Albert           89.55   28.50  99%  48.52 100%  39.65 100%  34.39 100%
10/27/2017    8    5 ( 8- 1) Newell-Fonda            8    2 ( 9- 0) Audubon                88.65   13.97  86%  19.74  94%  12.57  84%  22.42  96%
10/27/2017    8   10 ( 7- 2) Tabor Fremont-Mills     8   14 ( 8- 1) Stanton                79.76    0.53  52%  -1.86  56%  -2.59  58% -11.61  82%
10/27/2017    8    9 ( 8- 1) Tripoli                 8   12 ( 8- 1) Riceville              76.45   -3.23  60%  -2.48  58%  -4.37  63%  -0.38  51%
10/27/2017    8   16 ( 8- 2) Lone Tree               8   13 ( 8- 2) Victor HLV             72.82   -3.93  62%   5.50  67%  -2.79  59%   9.40  77%
10/27/2017    8   17 ( 6- 3) Janesville              8   11 ( 7- 2) Wyoming Midland        63.45   14.42  87%   7.91  73%  15.26  88%  14.17  87%
10/27/2017    8   27 ( 5- 4) Lenox                   8    6 ( 9- 0) Sidney                 48.04   46.10 100%  36.48 100%  26.59  98%  17.02  91%
10/27/2017    8   29 ( 9- 1) Moravia                 8    1 ( 9- 0) Don Bosco              47.93   44.46 100%  65.31 100%  37.98 100%  25.99  98%
10/27/2017    8   20 ( 7- 2) Dunlap Boyer Valley     8    3 ( 8- 0) Remsen St Mary         43.71   45.62 100%  42.92 100%  49.79 100%  42.93 100%