BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.11

Composite = weighted composite of 6 subrankings: 3 based on win/loss-only models and 3 based on game-margin models

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Composite   Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
10/26/2018   4A   10 ( 7- 2) CR Prairie             4A    8 ( 7- 2) Johnston              117.13   -0.92  53%   4.86  64%   1.70  55%   0.42  51%
10/26/2018   4A   11 ( 4- 5) Southeast Polk         4A    3 ( 9- 0) Ankeny Centennial     116.54   30.26  99%  20.74  94%  11.46  81%   5.64  66%
10/26/2018   4A    9 ( 7- 2) Fort Dodge             4A    1 ( 7- 2) WDM Dowling           110.90   10.68  79%  21.37  95%  15.78  88%   6.78  69%
10/26/2018   4A   13 ( 5- 4) Pleasant Valley        4A    7 ( 8- 1) Bettendorf            101.73   19.74  93%  14.10  86%  14.56  86%  15.77  88%
10/26/2018   4A   12 ( 5- 4) Ankeny                 4A    2 ( 9- 0) WDM Valley            100.79   32.34  99%  27.21  98%  23.91  96%  21.38  95%
10/26/2018   4A   14 ( 6- 3) CR Kennedy             4A    5 ( 8- 1) Iowa City West         94.43   20.60  94%  23.57  96%  21.71  95%  20.23  94%
10/26/2018   4A   16 ( 6- 3) Indianola              4A    4 ( 9- 0) Cedar Falls            88.29   36.11 100%  29.54  99%  27.47  98%  35.44 100%
10/26/2018   4A   17 ( 6- 3) Urbandale              4A    6 ( 7- 2) Waukee                 84.09   17.21  90%  25.33  97%  26.65  98%  24.38  97%
10/26/2018   3A    4 ( 7- 2) Western Dubuque        3A    5 ( 9- 0) Solon                 109.19    7.87  72%  -5.96  67%  -4.98  65%  -6.89  70%
10/26/2018   3A   12 ( 8- 1) Clear Creek-Amana      3A    8 ( 7- 2) Decorah                97.30    0.06  50%   6.86  70%   8.11  73%  13.42  84%
10/26/2018   3A    9 ( 8- 1) Waverly-Shell Rock     3A    3 ( 8- 1) Eldridge North Scott   96.79   13.81  85%  18.00  91%  16.01  89%  13.50  85%
10/26/2018   3A    6 ( 7- 2) Harlan                 3A   13 ( 8- 1) Oskaloosa              92.64   -2.87  59%  -9.18  76% -11.59  81%  -4.87  64%
10/26/2018   3A   15 ( 7- 2) Sioux City Heelan      3A    7 ( 8- 1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   90.11   13.12  84%  12.75  83%  13.84  85%  15.76  88%
10/26/2018   3A   11 ( 8- 1) Pella                  3A    1 ( 9- 0) CR Xavier              89.53   28.90  99%  39.55 100%  28.57  98%  26.33  98%
10/26/2018   3A   10 ( 7- 2) Spencer                3A   20 ( 6- 3) Norwalk                86.85  -11.43  81% -13.79  85% -11.36  80% -13.80  85%
10/26/2018   3A   26 ( 6- 3) Carroll                3A    2 ( 9- 0) CB Lewis Central       66.18   44.46 100%  56.07 100%  39.62 100%  38.47 100%
10/26/2018   2A    4 ( 7- 2) Spirit Lake            2A    2 ( 8- 1) Boyden-Hull-R Valley  101.84   11.65  81%  15.38  88%   6.15  68%   5.88  67%
10/26/2018   2A   13 ( 8- 1) Greene County          2A    7 ( 8- 1) Van Horne Benton       91.86    5.18  65%   9.60  76%   2.69  58%   1.09  53%
10/26/2018   2A    5 ( 8- 1) Algona                 2A    9 ( 6- 3) Cresco Crestwood       88.88  -10.43  78%  -7.15  70%  -7.42  71%  -6.12  68%
10/26/2018   2A   11 ( 7- 2) West Marshall          2A   14 ( 6- 3) Williamsburg           88.44   -6.32  68%  -1.26  54%  -3.16  59%   0.45  51%
10/26/2018   2A   10 ( 6- 3) LaPorte City Union     2A    3 ( 8- 1) Waukon                 86.04   16.17  89%  14.50  86%  13.35  84%   9.72  77%
10/26/2018   2A   20 ( 8- 1) Chariton               2A   12 ( 6- 3) West Liberty           74.69   -0.56  52%   9.36  76%  10.63  79%  10.94  79%
10/26/2018   2A   22 ( 7- 2) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG    2A   15 ( 7- 2) Southeast Valley       71.82   10.22  78%  11.33  80%  12.59  83%  20.81  94%
10/26/2018   2A   23 ( 5- 4) Carroll Kuemper        2A    1 ( 9- 0) Prairie City-Monroe    61.10   38.86 100%  44.43 100%  35.07 100%  28.35  98%
10/26/2018   1A    8 ( 7- 2) Inwood West Lyon       1A    3 ( 9- 0) South Cent Calhoun     85.83   15.37  88%  16.32  89%   7.87  72%  -3.51  60%
10/26/2018   1A    2 ( 8- 1) West Branch            1A    9 ( 7- 2) Osage                  84.46  -11.21  80% -17.70  91% -12.97  84%  -4.83  64%
10/26/2018   1A   10 ( 6- 3) Pella Christian        1A    7 ( 8- 1) Wilton                 83.24    5.24  65%   7.00  70%   4.31  63%   3.65  61%
10/26/2018   1A   11 ( 7- 2) SumnerFredericksburg   1A    6 ( 9- 0) Van Meter              78.44   24.22  97%  16.87  90%  13.06  84%  16.36  89%
10/26/2018   1A   27 ( 7- 2) Mount Ayr              1A   13 ( 9- 0) Truro Interstate-35    63.05   21.38  95%  13.30  84%  12.83  83%   7.39  71%
10/26/2018   1A   15 ( 8- 1) Mediapolis             1A    1 ( 9- 0) Bellevue               61.74   30.58  99%  31.67  99%  28.70  98%  32.21  99%
10/26/2018   1A   18 ( 8- 1) Treynor                1A    4 ( 8- 1) Hawarden West Sioux    60.58   19.70  93%  29.73  99%  30.96  99%  32.31  99%
10/26/2018   1A   20 ( 7- 2) South Hamilton         1A    5 ( 9- 0) Dike-New Hartford      59.48   30.92  99%  30.98  99%  31.23  99%  36.43 100%
10/26/2018    A    8 ( 8- 1) Traer North Tama        A    9 ( 7- 2) Mason City Newman      78.97   -9.26  76%  -1.08  53%  -5.02  65% -13.42  84%
10/26/2018    A   11 ( 7- 2) Wapsie Valley           A    6 ( 9- 0) Algona Garrigan        78.14   17.78  91%   6.57  69%   7.45  71%   4.42  63%
10/26/2018    A   20 ( 8- 1) Brooklyn BGM            A    5 ( 8- 1) Edgewood-Colesburg     73.05    6.96  70%  15.05  87%  10.24  78%   5.50  66%
10/26/2018    A    4 ( 7- 2) Akron-Westfield         A   18 ( 8- 1) Sloan Westwood         71.82    1.46  54% -12.22  82% -10.28  78% -10.53  79%
10/26/2018    A    3 ( 7- 2) Britt West Hancock      A   13 ( 8- 1) Hinton                 71.13   -5.60  66%  -9.79  77% -13.12  84% -20.18  94%
10/26/2018    A   17 ( 7- 2) Riverside Highland      A    7 ( 7- 2) Durant                 67.91    9.19  76%  11.14  80%  13.06  84%  16.16  89%
10/26/2018    A   21 ( 7- 2) Alta-Aurelia            A    2 ( 9- 0) Avoca AHSTW            67.69   21.94  95%  20.95  94%  12.08  82%   6.87  70%
10/26/2018    A   23 ( 7- 2) Lynnville-Sully         A    1 ( 9- 0) Hudson                 52.24   33.95  99%  28.32  98%  27.32  98%  32.18  99%
10/26/2018    8    8 ( 8- 1) Northwood-Kensett       8    1 ( 9- 0) Westside Ar-We-Va     105.12   18.16  91%  25.31  97%  11.89  81%   4.68  64%
10/26/2018    8   12 ( 8- 1) Newell-Fonda            8    9 (10- 0) Southeast Warren       96.38   14.38  86%   3.33  60%  11.32  80%  16.71  90%
10/26/2018    8   25 ( 8- 1) Rockford                8   13 ( 8- 1) Turkey Valley          91.97   -0.81  52%  15.80  88%   4.12  62% -11.27  80%
10/26/2018    8   10 ( 8- 1) Central City            8    4 ( 8- 1) Don Bosco              88.05    9.70  77%  15.17  87%  23.34  96%  15.73  88%
10/26/2018    8   18 ( 7- 2) Lenox                   8    2 ( 8- 1) Tabor Fremont-Mills    76.97   22.37  95%  29.84  99%  30.92  99%  35.73 100%
10/26/2018    8   23 ( 7- 2) Stanton                 8    5 ( 8- 1) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    73.17   18.23  91%  30.92  99%  31.03  99%  13.77  85%
10/26/2018    8   28 ( 9- 1) Wyoming Midland         8    6 ( 9- 0) Marengo Iowa Valley    72.68   25.44  97%  32.61  99%  27.89  98%  36.41 100%
10/26/2018    8    7 ( 8- 1) New London              8   32 ( 7- 2) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     69.19  -27.38  98% -39.69 100% -36.80 100% -27.95  98%