BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.35

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
11/01/2019   4A    9 ( 6- 3) Ankeny                 4A    7 ( 7- 2) Southeast Polk        124.88    3.95  62%   0.30  51%   0.78  52%
11/01/2019   4A   10 ( 6- 3) CR Prairie             4A    3 ( 6- 3) Waukee                113.07   16.24  90%  12.26  83%   9.53  77%
11/01/2019   4A    5 ( 7- 2) Bettendorf             4A   12 ( 6- 3) Marion Linn-Mar       109.29  -14.45  87%  -8.66  75%   3.58  61%
11/01/2019   4A   11 ( 6- 3) Fort Dodge             4A    4 ( 8- 1) CR Kennedy            108.22   18.37  92%  12.10  83%  17.57  91%
11/01/2019   4A   18 ( 6- 3) Urbandale              4A    8 ( 8- 1) Ankeny Centennial     100.26   20.47  94%  15.07  88%  16.12  89%
11/01/2019   4A   21 ( 6- 3) Des Moines Roosevelt   4A    2 ( 8- 1) WDM Dowling            99.31   30.24  99%  21.11  95%  18.24  92%
11/01/2019   4A   14 ( 5- 4) Dubuque Senior         4A    6 ( 9- 0) Cedar Falls            98.98   19.78  94%  19.62  94%  21.30  95%
11/01/2019   4A   20 ( 6- 3) Indianola              4A    1 ( 9- 0) WDM Valley             94.84   39.88 100%  30.84  99%  25.30  98%
11/01/2019   3A    4 ( 9- 0) Independence           3A   10 ( 7- 2) Pella                 113.81   -4.26  63%  -2.02  56%  -0.37  51%
11/01/2019   3A   11 ( 7- 2) Glenwood               3A    5 ( 8- 1) Norwalk               113.41    6.79  70%   5.43  66%   0.78  52%
11/01/2019   3A    3 ( 8- 1) CR Xavier              3A    9 ( 8- 1) Eldridge North Scott  110.71   -5.76  67%  -6.72  70%  -2.15  57%
11/01/2019   3A   12 ( 7- 2) Washington             3A    2 ( 9- 0) Western Dubuque       107.37   14.22  86%   9.56  77%  11.71  82%
11/01/2019   3A    8 ( 7- 2) Harlan                 3A   14 ( 8- 1) Dallas Center-Grimes  105.01   -6.11  68%  -7.91  73% -21.26  95%
11/01/2019   3A   13 ( 7- 2) Carlisle               3A    6 ( 8- 1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  104.10   11.63  82%  11.63  82%  14.29  87%
11/01/2019   3A   20 ( 7- 2) Iowa City Liberty      3A    7 ( 9- 0) Solon                  96.61   16.80  90%  14.78  87%  16.86  90%
11/01/2019   3A   36 ( 6- 3) Oskaloosa              3A    1 ( 8- 1) CB Lewis Central       72.63   38.08 100%  36.53 100%  29.90  99%
11/01/2019   2A    6 ( 6- 3) Spirit Lake            2A    2 ( 9- 0) Clear Lake            102.19    9.52  77%   6.19  68%  10.62  79%
11/01/2019   2A    9 ( 8- 1) Greene County          2A   15 ( 8- 1) Des Moines Christian   92.87   -5.13  65%   2.64  58%  -4.40  63%
11/01/2019   2A    5 ( 8- 1) Waterloo Columbus      2A    8 ( 6- 3) Williamsburg           92.02   -5.15  66%  -7.76  73%  -6.37  69%
11/01/2019   2A   10 ( 5- 4) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   2A    4 ( 9- 0) Algona                 86.76   17.46  91%  15.27  88%   8.16  74%
11/01/2019   2A   14 ( 6- 3) West Marshall          2A    3 ( 9- 0) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG    86.68   20.60  94%  12.91  84%   8.97  76%
11/01/2019   2A   26 ( 6- 3) Monticello             2A   28 ( 6- 3) West Liberty           81.92   -0.81  53%   0.24  51%   1.92  56%
11/01/2019   2A   21 ( 7- 2) Prairie City-Monroe    2A    7 ( 8- 1) Van Horne Benton       78.35   12.51  83%  14.17  86%  10.66  80%
11/01/2019   2A   16 ( 6- 3) Tipton                 2A    1 ( 9- 0) Waukon                 76.87   24.73  97%  27.52  98%  26.85  98%
11/01/2019   1A    5 ( 8- 1) Western Christian      1A    7 ( 9- 0) Treynor                91.70   -9.54  77% -10.83  80%  -2.26  57%
11/01/2019   1A    8 ( 8- 1) Underwood              1A    3 ( 8- 1) Hawarden West Sioux    85.33   20.12  94%  23.78  97%  26.99  98%
11/01/2019   1A    9 ( 7- 2) Iowa City Regina       1A   15 ( 8- 1) Mediapolis             84.83   -8.02  73%  -9.00  76%  -4.19  63%
11/01/2019   1A   17 ( 7- 2) North Linn             1A   10 ( 9- 0) West Branch            79.99   12.67  84%  13.31  85%  15.46  88%
11/01/2019   1A   13 ( 7- 2) Mount Ayr              1A    6 ( 9- 0) South Cent Calhoun     75.74   19.29  93%  20.26  94%  14.20  86%
11/01/2019   1A   18 ( 5- 4) Pella Christian        1A    4 ( 9- 0) Van Meter              74.93   30.56  99%  22.45  96%  10.79  80%
11/01/2019   1A   11 ( 8- 1) Panora Panorama        1A    2 ( 9- 0) Dike-New Hartford      69.71   32.01  99%  32.69  99%  29.65  99%
11/01/2019   1A    1 ( 8- 1) Inwood West Lyon       1A   16 ( 5- 4) Osage                  68.27  -37.79 100% -38.02 100% -32.72  99%
11/01/2019    A    4 ( 8- 1) Grundy Center           A   11 ( 7- 2) Belle Plaine           82.96   -7.02  71%  -3.73  61%   7.41  72%
11/01/2019    A    8 ( 8- 1) Brooklyn BGM            A    3 ( 8- 1) Earlham                81.50   15.64  89%   8.94  76%   6.67  70%
11/01/2019    A    6 ( 7- 2) Edgewood-Colesburg      A    2 ( 9- 0) Saint Ansgar           77.51   23.48  97%  18.46  92%  21.52  95%
11/01/2019    A   14 ( 7- 2) South Winneshiek        A    5 ( 9- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac      77.23   13.66  86%  12.06  83%  11.80  82%
11/01/2019    A   19 ( 6- 3) Neola Tri-Center        A   13 ( 8- 1) South O'Brien          74.20    6.93  70%   3.84  62%  -5.49  66%
11/01/2019    A   22 ( 7- 2) Sloan Westwood          A   12 ( 8- 1) Woodbury Central       66.93   12.43  83%  12.56  84%  22.97  96%
11/01/2019    A   17 ( 6- 3) IKM-Manning             A    1 ( 9- 0) Britt West Hancock     60.54   41.14 100%  33.71 100%  25.77  98%
11/01/2019    A   32 ( 5- 4) Leon Central Decatur    A    7 ( 9- 0) Traer North Tama       49.85   25.49  98%  25.63  98%   7.74  73%
11/01/2019    8   13 ( 8- 1) Coon Rapids-Bayard      8   11 ( 6- 1) Tabor Fremont-Mills    90.60    3.55  61%   2.83  59%   1.15  54%
11/01/2019    8   17 ( 7- 2) Wyoming Midland         8   15 ( 7- 2) Victor HLV             80.04    3.02  59%   5.73  67%  10.84  80%
11/01/2019    8    3 ( 8- 1) Easton Valley           8    7 ( 7- 2) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     79.76  -21.59  95% -24.23  97% -19.07  93%
11/01/2019    8   10 ( 7- 2) New London              8    1 ( 9- 0) Don Bosco              78.12   37.52 100%  34.36 100%  26.41  98%
11/01/2019    8    6 ( 7- 2) Anita CAM               8   12 ( 8- 1) Lamoni                 73.66   -7.98  73% -18.71  93% -23.85  97%
11/01/2019    8   14 ( 7- 2) Rockford                8    2 ( 9- 0) Turkey Valley          71.88   37.19 100%  32.93  99%  26.21  98%
11/01/2019    8    8 ( 8- 1) Harris-Lake Park        8    4 ( 9- 1) Audubon                71.02   10.92  80%  22.67  96%  31.80  99%
11/01/2019    8   23 ( 7- 2) East Mills              8    5 ( 9- 0) Remsen St Mary         65.01   28.47  99%  22.59  96%  11.90  82%