BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    0.66

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
10/23/2020   4A   12 ( 2- 3) CR Kennedy             4A    6 ( 4- 3) Dubuque Senior        119.94   13.36  87%  12.58  85%  11.99  84%
10/23/2020   4A   15 ( 3- 4) Indianola              4A   16 ( 3- 4) Johnston              118.57   -2.46  58%  -0.59  52%   0.43  51%
10/23/2020   4A   24 ( 1- 5) Ankeny Centennial      4A   21 ( 6- 1) Sioux City East       108.47    2.98  60%   1.57  55%   3.97  63%
10/23/2020   4A   17 ( 1- 4) Marion Linn-Mar        4A    7 ( 5- 2) Waukee                107.59   20.73  96%  20.72  96%  19.83  95%
10/23/2020   4A   18 ( 3- 4) CR Washington          4A    8 ( 4- 2) Cedar Falls           106.38   25.08  98%  22.52  97%  29.45  99%
10/23/2020   4A   20 ( 3- 4) Fort Dodge             4A   19 ( 3- 4) Waterloo West         105.94    1.65  55%  -4.17  64%   0.13  50%
10/23/2020   4A   23 ( 3- 4) Muscatine              4A   13 ( 4- 2) Bettendorf            102.57   14.32  88%  14.49  89%   9.90  80%
10/23/2020   4A   14 ( 2- 4) WDM Valley             4A   26 ( 5- 2) CB Lincoln             98.43  -16.59  92% -15.69  90% -14.90  89%
10/23/2020   4A   27 ( 2- 2) Iowa City Liberty      4A    5 ( 6- 1) Dubuque Hempstead      94.36   36.02 100%  29.66  99%  32.39 100%
10/23/2020   4A   22 ( 2- 3) Iowa City High         4A    1 ( 4- 0) Iowa City West         92.52   41.72 100%  36.49 100%  36.49 100%
10/23/2020   4A   25 ( 3- 4) Marshalltown           4A   11 ( 5- 1) Urbandale              92.32   22.10  97%  23.67  98%  22.49  97%
10/23/2020   4A   30 ( 2- 6) Davenport Central      4A   10 ( 7- 0) Pleasant Valley        85.75   35.22 100%  31.53 100%  24.81  98%
10/23/2020   4A   29 ( 3- 3) Davenport North        4A    3 ( 4- 2) CR Prairie             79.46   43.48 100%  43.95 100%  48.01 100%
10/23/2020   4A   32 ( 2- 4) Ames                   4A    4 ( 6- 0) Southeast Polk         73.47   48.67 100%  46.06 100%  42.38 100%
10/23/2020   4A   36 ( 3- 4) Sioux City North       4A    9 ( 5- 1) WDM Dowling            51.83   55.54 100%  57.46 100%  55.50 100%
10/23/2020   4A   37 ( 2- 5) CB Jefferson           4A    2 ( 6- 1) Ankeny                 35.49   75.74 100%  74.75 100%  67.70 100%
10/23/2020   3A   16 ( 5- 3) Humboldt               3A   17 ( 5- 2) Spencer               124.84   -0.22  51%  -0.21  51%  -1.15  54%
10/23/2020   3A   19 ( 5- 3) Carlisle               3A   15 ( 6- 0) Dallas Center-Grimes  120.35    3.34  61%  -3.13  60%  -5.52  68%
10/23/2020   3A   18 ( 5- 3) Bondurant-Farrar       3A    7 ( 7- 0) Harlan                119.57   11.88  84%   9.74  79%   8.36  76%
10/23/2020   3A   14 ( 5- 3) Western Dubuque        3A    2 ( 8- 1) West Delaware         116.80   22.91  97%  19.92  95%  22.51  97%
10/23/2020   3A   21 ( 6- 2) Nevada                 3A    3 ( 7- 1) Huxley Ballard        116.07   20.64  96%  14.00  88%  18.41  94%
10/23/2020   3A   23 ( 5- 2) Dubuque Wahlert        3A   11 ( 6- 1) Decorah               109.94   12.83  86%  14.81  89%  17.89  93%
10/23/2020   3A   32 ( 7- 1) Fort Madison           3A   27 ( 6- 2) Grinnell              106.88    8.47  76%   9.26  78%   1.50  55%
10/23/2020   3A   26 ( 6- 2) Winterset              3A    9 ( 5- 2) Pella                 106.82   16.88  92%  16.31  91%  23.41  97%
10/23/2020   3A   24 ( 3- 3) Mason City             3A    6 ( 7- 0) Webster City          101.40   18.56  94%  31.46 100%  32.84 100%
10/23/2020   3A   34 ( 3- 4) Marion                 3A    4 ( 7- 0) CR Xavier              95.81   28.77  99%  23.17  97%  20.87  96%
10/23/2020   3A   35 ( 3- 5) Storm Lake             3A   20 ( 5- 2) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   94.75   18.52  94%  19.31  95%  21.74  96%
10/23/2020   3A   33 ( 2- 5) Norwalk                3A    5 ( 6- 1) CB Lewis Central       92.56   28.19  99%  29.39  99%  28.13  99%
10/23/2020   3A   36 ( 5- 3) Central Clinton        3A    1 ( 7- 0) Davenport Assumption   87.68   50.48 100%  36.25 100%  39.20 100%
10/23/2020   3A   41 ( 2- 5) Denison-Schleswig      3A   12 ( 5- 2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   83.35   30.76  99%  28.13  99%  33.05 100%
10/23/2020   3A   44 ( 4- 3) Mount Pleasant         3A   13 ( 4- 1) Eldridge North Scott   83.04   32.54 100%  29.50  99%  30.30  99%
10/23/2020   3A   42 ( 4- 3) Keokuk                 3A    8 ( 7- 0) Washington             74.64   38.47 100%  38.23 100%  33.46 100%
10/23/2020   2A    8 ( 5- 3) Unity Christian        2A    1 ( 7- 0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  108.97   31.44 100%  25.50  98%  25.17  98%
10/23/2020   2A   16 ( 4- 3) Cresco Crestwood       2A   14 ( 5- 1) Monticello            108.08    3.59  62%   3.88  63%   4.75  65%
10/23/2020   2A   10 ( 6- 2) Sioux Center           2A    3 ( 6- 1) Inwood West Lyon      107.41   24.27  98%  22.44  97%  19.43  95%
10/23/2020   2A   18 ( 4- 2) West Liberty           2A   15 ( 7- 1) Mount Vernon          103.81    5.11  66%   5.35  67%  -1.25  54%
10/23/2020   2A   21 ( 4- 3) Tipton                 2A   22 ( 4- 3) Wellman Mid-Prairie   102.08    0.31  51%   2.84  59%   4.30  64%
10/23/2020   2A   17 ( 4- 3) Algona                 2A    7 ( 6- 1) Estherville LC        101.78   14.23  88%  13.42  87%   9.55  79%
10/23/2020   2A   24 ( 4- 4) Clarinda               2A   27 ( 6- 2) Greene County         100.35   -1.85  56%  -0.89  53%  -0.18  51%
10/23/2020   2A   20 ( 3- 5) Clear Lake             2A    4 ( 4- 2) Spirit Lake            90.67   24.98  98%  25.63  98%  29.94  99%
10/23/2020   2A   32 ( 4- 4) Iowa Falls-Alden       2A   13 ( 5- 1) Independence           86.64   19.07  94%  19.54  95%  19.40  95%
10/23/2020   2A   28 ( 4- 2) Forest City            2A    2 ( 5- 1) Waukon                 79.25   50.62 100%  39.75 100%  39.38 100%
10/23/2020   2A   35 ( 3- 5) Oelwein                2A    6 ( 5- 2) Solon                  77.06   30.97 100%  30.91  99%  30.89  99%
10/23/2020   2A   31 ( 3- 5) Anamosa                2A    5 ( 6- 1) Camanche               75.40   30.58  99%  35.49 100%  37.06 100%
10/23/2020   2A   38 ( 4- 4) WB-Notre Dame          2A   12 ( 7- 0) Williamsburg           74.43   26.64  99%  29.53  99%  29.86  99%
10/23/2020   2A   43 ( 4- 2) Des Moines Christian   2A   19 ( 6- 1) Atlantic               67.07   26.97  99%  25.74  98%  32.14 100%
10/23/2020   2A   40 ( 5- 3) Centerville            2A   11 ( 6- 1) West Marshall          62.88   32.99 100%  37.62 100%  43.23 100%
10/23/2020   2A   49 ( 4- 4) Saydel                 2A    9 ( 7- 0) Prairie City-Monroe    30.95   58.55 100%  59.90 100%  63.65 100%
10/23/2020   1A   14 ( 6- 2) Dike-New Hartford      1A    7 ( 6- 1) South Cent Calhoun    100.50   15.73  90%  13.31  87%   7.94  75%
10/23/2020   1A   22 ( 5- 3) Denver                 1A   17 ( 6- 2) Cascade               100.11    4.34  64%   1.29  54%  -4.72  65%
10/23/2020   1A   11 ( 6- 2) Woodward-Granger       1A    3 ( 7- 1) Underwood              99.56   19.32  95%  14.60  89%  20.42  96%
10/23/2020   1A   20 ( 6- 2) Mediapolis             1A   15 ( 5- 2) West Branch            95.47    5.43  67%   6.54  71%   5.03  66%
10/23/2020   1A   23 ( 4- 3) Belmond-Klemme         1A   13 ( 7- 0) Southeast Valley       92.89   10.65  81%  10.04  80%  12.95  86%
10/23/2020   1A   16 ( 4- 4) Guthrie Center GC-A-   1A    1 ( 7- 0) Van Meter              92.12   38.54 100%  27.77  99%  22.45  97%
10/23/2020   1A   30 ( 5- 3) Treynor                1A    9 ( 4- 3) Western Christian      91.19   24.24  98%  15.32  90%  13.64  87%
10/23/2020   1A   28 ( 2- 6) Carroll Kuemper        1A   10 ( 6- 1) Emmetsburg             90.57   22.85  97%  13.27  87%  16.07  91%
10/23/2020   1A   31 ( 4- 3) Durant                 1A   25 ( 5- 2) Dyersville Beckman     89.67    3.33  61%  -1.52  55%   3.44  61%
10/23/2020   1A   19 ( 6- 2) Eldora South Hardin    1A    4 ( 7- 0) South Hamilton         89.25   24.24  98%  19.23  95%  21.76  97%
10/23/2020   1A   26 ( 3- 4) Osage                  1A   12 ( 6- 1) Waterloo Columbus      84.18   16.56  92%  16.86  92%  16.06  91%
10/23/2020   1A   24 ( 5- 2) Sibley-Ocheyedan       1A    6 ( 5- 2) Hawarden West Sioux    83.81   26.07  99%  25.18  98%  28.78  99%
10/23/2020   1A   32 ( 6- 2) Truro Interstate-35    1A   18 ( 6- 1) Mount Ayr              81.51   15.87  91%  11.72  84%  11.27  83%
10/23/2020   1A    8 ( 6- 2) Panora Panorama        1A   29 ( 5- 3) Pella Christian        75.85  -25.78  98% -27.34  99% -31.37 100%
10/23/2020   1A   38 ( 5- 3) Eldon Cardinal         1A    5 ( 7- 0) Sigourney-Keota        67.44   47.28 100%  30.05  99%  31.05 100%
10/23/2020   1A   35 ( 3- 5) Lake View East Sac     1A    2 ( 7- 0) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG    62.44   60.53 100%  45.51 100%  40.21 100%
10/23/2020    A   14 ( 5- 3) Woodbury Central        A    9 ( 5- 2) CB St Albert          105.36    5.96  69%   0.63  52%   1.63  55%
10/23/2020    A   12 ( 5- 3) Lake Mills              A    7 ( 7- 1) South Winneshiek      100.32    6.97  72%   5.23  67%   6.68  71%
10/23/2020    A   18 ( 5- 2) Holstein Ridge View     A   22 ( 5- 3) South O'Brien          89.81   -2.60  59%  -2.53  58%  -4.12  63%
10/23/2020    A   21 ( 5- 2) Alburnett               A   17 ( 6- 2) Belle Plaine           88.97    4.75  65%   5.41  67%   8.80  77%
10/23/2020    A   25 ( 3- 4) LeMars Gehlen           A   15 ( 6- 2) Hartley HMS            85.68   10.92  82%  11.58  83%  19.10  94%
10/23/2020    A   11 ( 7- 1) Oakland Riverside       A   24 ( 5- 2) Lawton-Bronson         85.09  -13.20  86% -13.10  86% -16.16  91%
10/23/2020    A   33 ( 4- 3) Wapello                 A    4 ( 6- 1) Iowa City Regina       84.66   29.71  99%  15.08  90%  16.02  91%
10/23/2020    A   28 ( 3- 5) Nodaway Valley          A   10 ( 4- 1) Earlham                83.46   17.77  93%  13.88  88%  12.76  86%
10/23/2020    A   23 ( 5- 2) Sheffield West Fork     A    5 ( 7- 0) Saint Ansgar           81.74   21.89  97%  19.64  95%  25.05  98%
10/23/2020    A   20 ( 6- 2) Mason City Newman       A    8 ( 7- 1) Wapsie Valley          81.12   18.93  94%  21.44  96%  10.21  80%
10/23/2020    A   30 ( 3- 5) East Buchanan           A    3 ( 7- 1) Monona MFL-MarMac      72.86   30.99 100%  25.55  98%  20.85  96%
10/23/2020    A   29 ( 3- 5) IKM-Manning             A    2 ( 6- 1) Logan-Magnolia         72.66   32.00 100%  27.67  99%  24.40  98%
10/23/2020    A   34 ( 2- 6) Maquoketa Valley        A   16 ( 6- 2) Lisbon                 70.65   19.01  94%  21.19  96%  24.08  98%
10/23/2020    A   37 ( 3- 3) Madrid                  A    6 ( 7- 1) Britt West Hancock     66.15   33.38 100%  29.77  99%  31.88 100%
10/23/2020    A   41 ( 3- 5) Guttenberg CR           A   13 ( 7- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg     62.59   28.45  99%  27.55  99%  20.90  96%
10/23/2020    A   38 ( 4- 2) Ogden                   A    1 ( 7- 0) Grundy Center          52.25   58.17 100%  48.99 100%  47.07 100%
10/23/2020    8   11 ( 5- 2) Harris-Lake Park        8    9 ( 7- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    131.78    6.01  69%  -2.51  58%  -6.32  70%
10/23/2020    8   25 ( 6- 1) Woodbine                8   13 ( 4- 1) Tabor Fremont-Mills   127.95   21.76  97%  -0.23  51%  -0.80  53%
10/23/2020    8   12 ( 6- 2) Springville             8    5 ( 7- 1) Easton Valley         127.02   19.10  94%  22.35  97%  24.11  98%
10/23/2020    8   10 ( 4- 4) Kingsley-Pierson        8    4 ( 7- 1) Newell-Fonda          126.39   26.30  99%  20.68  96%  16.82  92%
10/23/2020    8   17 ( 7- 1) English Valleys         8   14 ( 6- 1) New London            105.94    4.92  66%   9.44  78%  12.28  85%
10/23/2020    8   20 ( 5- 2) North Iowa              8    6 ( 6- 1) Tripoli               104.16   29.45  99%  31.48 100%  34.55 100%
10/23/2020    8   31 ( 5- 3) Victor HLV              8   24 ( 7- 1) Brooklyn BGM          103.13    8.46  76%   6.77  71%   1.97  57%
10/23/2020    8   22 ( 5- 3) Ackley AGWSR            8    1 ( 6- 0) Don Bosco             101.84   63.20 100%  42.80 100%  49.45 100%
10/23/2020    8   16 ( 5- 3) Lansing Kee             8    3 ( 7- 1) Janesville             99.98   39.05 100%  35.91 100%  32.51 100%
10/23/2020    8   23 ( 5- 3) East Mills              8    8 ( 6- 0) Audubon                94.01   33.27 100%  35.35 100%  38.06 100%
10/23/2020    8   27 ( 4- 3) Lone Tree               8    7 ( 7- 0) Montezuma              92.96   37.18 100%  32.86 100%  35.74 100%
10/23/2020    8   39 ( 4- 3) Stanton-Essex           8   18 ( 7- 0) Anita CAM              86.65   30.00  99%  22.67  97%  22.34  97%
10/23/2020    8   40 ( 4- 4) Baxter                  8   15 ( 8- 0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     80.93   34.74 100%  23.02  97%  13.26  87%
10/23/2020    8   51 ( 3- 5) Collins-Maxwell         8   47 ( 7- 0) Martensdale-St Marys   77.07    9.73  79%  -3.01  60%   0.10  50%
10/23/2020    8   37 ( 4- 4) West Harrison           8    2 ( 7- 0) Remsen St Mary         64.52   73.95 100%  65.08 100%  58.25 100%
10/23/2020    8   59 ( 6- 2) Lamoni                  8   55 ( 7- 1) Southeast Warren       60.42    8.00  75%   6.65  71%  -0.57  52%