BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    0.77

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
10/16/2020   3A   25 ( 2- 3) Mason City             3A   30 ( 4- 2) Gilbert                78.37    0.06  50%  -0.96  52%  -3.26  57%
10/16/2020   3A   29 ( 4- 3) Waverly-Shell Rock     3A   19 ( 4- 3) Western Dubuque        77.86    6.36  64%   5.94  63%   6.46  64%
10/16/2020   3A   31 ( 2- 4) Adel ADM               3A   17 ( 4- 3) Bondurant-Farrar       63.58   16.74  83%  16.17  82%  15.40  81%
10/16/2020   3A   32 ( 2- 4) Marion                 3A   27 ( 4- 3) Clear Creek-Amana      62.12   11.52  74%  12.12  75%  15.37  81%
10/16/2020   3A   38 ( 1- 5) LeMars                 3A   34 ( 2- 5) Storm Lake             62.03    5.19  61%   4.37  60%   6.85  65%
10/16/2020   3A   40 ( 1- 6) Alleman North Polk     3A   28 ( 5- 2) Winterset              57.65   18.97  86%  13.35  77%  13.19  77%
10/16/2020   3A   42 ( 3- 4) Van Horne Benton       3A   46 ( 3- 3) Mount Pleasant         56.24   -3.30  57%   0.93  52%  -0.59  51%
10/16/2020   3A   35 ( 1- 5) Norwalk                3A   21 ( 5- 2) Glenwood               56.17   17.34  84%  18.59  85%  14.00  78%
10/16/2020   3A   37 ( 1- 6) Sioux City Heelan      3A   13 ( 4- 3) Humboldt               51.71   25.11  92%  25.11  92%  29.37  95%
10/16/2020   3A   39 ( 1- 6) Creston COM            3A    5 ( 5- 1) CB Lewis Central       48.97   36.89  98%  31.27  96%  31.97  96%
10/16/2020   3A   43 ( 1- 5) Denison-Schleswig      3A   24 ( 3- 4) Carroll                47.66   25.92  93%  20.73  88%  23.09  90%
10/16/2020   3A    3 ( 6- 1) Huxley Ballard         3A   41 ( 0- 7) Boone                  40.50  -44.77  99% -39.67  99% -39.54  99%
10/16/2020   3A   47 ( 2- 5) Oskaloosa              3A   20 ( 4- 3) Carlisle               33.64   32.86  97%  34.81  97%  33.36  97%
10/16/2020   3A   49 ( 0- 7) Newton                 3A   23 ( 5- 2) Grinnell               28.46   43.24  99%  39.42  99%  37.55  98%
10/16/2020   3A   44 ( 1- 6) Waterloo East          3A    2 ( 7- 1) West Delaware          26.48   56.39 100%  54.26 100%  50.76 100%
10/16/2020   3A   52 ( 1- 6) Fairfield              3A   45 ( 3- 3) Keokuk                 24.89   21.45  89%  17.49  84%  18.39  85%
10/16/2020   3A   48 ( 0- 5) Charles City           3A   26 ( 4- 2) Dubuque Wahlert        24.13   38.37  98%  38.59  99%  40.27  99%
10/16/2020   3A   50 ( 1- 6) Knoxville              3A   33 ( 6- 1) Fort Madison           23.44   32.06  96%  32.48  97%  35.49  98%
10/16/2020   3A   53 ( 0- 6) Clinton                3A   36 ( 4- 3) Central Clinton        22.94   37.68  98%  31.20  96%  38.17  98%
10/16/2020   3A   51 ( 1- 5) Burlington             3A   14 ( 4- 1) Eldridge North Scott   -0.40   56.04 100%  59.67 100%  59.93 100%
10/16/2020   3A   54 ( 0- 7) Perry                  3A   22 ( 5- 2) Nevada                -29.12   88.76 100%  76.94 100%  68.03 100%
10/16/2020   2A   20 ( 3- 2) West Liberty           2A   21 ( 2- 3) Maquoketa              64.18    0.73  52%   0.73  52%   0.73  52%
10/16/2020   2A   26 ( 2- 5) Clear Lake             2A   24 ( 3- 4) Garner GHV             61.37    2.03  55%   2.77  56%   6.19  64%
10/16/2020   2A   34 ( 2- 5) New Hampton            2A   28 ( 3- 2) Forest City            58.35    4.45  60%   1.18  53%  -0.89  52%
10/16/2020   2A   18 ( 2- 5) Sheldon                2A    8 ( 4- 3) Unity Christian        58.09   19.92  87%  19.01  86%  18.12  85%
10/16/2020   2A   31 ( 2- 5) North Fayette Valley   2A   17 ( 3- 3) Cresco Crestwood       55.61   12.54  76%  10.60  72%  15.91  81%
10/16/2020   2A   37 ( 2- 5) Oelwein                2A   36 ( 3- 4) Tama South Tama        50.88    1.27  53%   3.31  57%   1.13  53%
10/16/2020   2A   30 ( 2- 5) Vinton-Shellsburg      2A   14 ( 6- 1) Mount Vernon           50.79   16.34  82%  16.50  82%  11.62  74%
10/16/2020   2A   33 ( 2- 5) Anamosa                2A   22 ( 3- 4) Center Point-Urbana    47.30    7.82  67%  11.82  75%  15.78  81%
10/16/2020   2A   39 ( 3- 4) Hampton-Dumont-CAL     2A   32 ( 3- 4) Iowa Falls-Alden       45.21    8.31  68%   9.08  70%   7.86  67%
10/16/2020   2A   38 ( 0- 7) MOC-Floyd Valley       2A    9 ( 5- 2) Sioux Center           44.31   33.31  97%  27.28  94%  26.47  93%
10/16/2020   2A   35 ( 3- 4) WB-Notre Dame          2A   46 ( 3- 3) Davis County           29.52  -17.07  83% -15.03  80% -15.10  80%
10/16/2020   2A   44 ( 3- 4) Shenandoah             2A   27 ( 3- 4) Clarinda               27.04   22.57  90%  22.78  90%  25.64  93%
10/16/2020   2A   42 ( 0- 7) LaPorte City Union     2A   16 ( 4- 1) Monticello             23.44   34.39  97%  34.12  97%  33.45  97%
10/16/2020   2A   47 ( 3- 2) Des Moines Christian   2A   50 ( 3- 4) Albia                  21.97   -7.64  67%  -8.70  69%  -9.40  70%
10/16/2020   2A   41 ( 3- 3) Eddyville EBF          2A   25 ( 3- 3) Tipton                 21.28   20.35  87%  28.54  95%  28.37  94%
10/16/2020   2A   43 ( 0- 6) Roland-Story           2A   12 ( 4- 1) Independence           18.45   36.92  98%  39.12  99%  40.93  99%
10/16/2020   2A   45 ( 1- 6) Milford Okoboji        2A    6 ( 5- 1) Estherville LC         14.13   49.99 100%  49.09 100%  45.61  99%
10/16/2020   2A   53 ( 1- 6) Osceola Clarke         2A   49 ( 3- 4) Saydel                  5.15   20.97  88%  12.72  76%   9.98  71%
10/16/2020   2A   48 ( 1- 3) Cherokee Washington    2A   15 ( 3- 3) Algona                  3.86   44.12  99%  47.21 100%  47.03 100%
10/16/2020   2A   51 ( 0- 7) Red Oak                2A   29 ( 5- 2) Greene County          -3.14   44.85  99%  42.16  99%  44.07  99%
10/16/2020   2A   52 ( 0- 7) Central Lee            2A   23 ( 3- 3) Wellman Mid-Prairie    -9.19   51.75 100%  52.40 100%  49.37 100%
10/16/2020   2A   54 ( 0- 7) Chariton               2A   40 ( 4- 3) Centerville           -12.89   45.62  99%  37.31  98%  36.66  98%
10/16/2020   1A   31 ( 1- 6) Carroll Kuemper        1A   16 ( 5- 2) Pocahontas Area        51.71   14.99  80%   5.95  63%   6.49  64%
10/16/2020   1A   27 ( 2- 5) Aplington AP           1A   32 ( 2- 4) Osage                  47.50   -3.97  59%  -3.97  59%  -5.61  62%
10/16/2020   1A   18 ( 3- 4) Guthrie Center GC-A-   1A   28 ( 5- 2) Pleasantville          45.24  -10.13  72% -12.32  76% -14.34  79%
10/16/2020   1A   36 ( 2- 5) Hudson                 1A   34 ( 4- 3) Pella Christian        42.30    5.83  63%   2.38  55%   4.62  60%
10/16/2020   1A   30 ( 2- 5) Sioux Central          1A    9 ( 5- 1) South Cent Calhoun     36.36   30.32  96%  28.88  95%  37.94  98%
10/16/2020   1A   37 ( 1- 4) Hinton                 1A   19 ( 4- 2) Sibley-Ocheyedan       34.56   18.87  86%  18.07  85%  15.90  81%
10/16/2020   1A   38 ( 2- 5) Wilton                 1A   21 ( 5- 2) Cascade                31.10   19.93  87%  18.40  85%  18.84  86%
10/16/2020   1A   44 ( 1- 6) Clarion CGD            1A   23 ( 3- 3) Belmond-Klemme         30.70   25.81  93%  17.98  84%  12.49  76%
10/16/2020   1A   42 ( 3- 4) SumnerFredericksburg   1A   24 ( 4- 3) Denver                 27.57   19.38  86%  20.31  87%  23.17  90%
10/16/2020   1A   40 ( 4- 3) Eldon Cardinal         1A   43 ( 3- 3) Packwood Pekin         26.28   -4.04  59% -11.74  75%  -7.14  66%
10/16/2020   1A   39 ( 2- 5) Jesup                  1A   12 ( 5- 2) Dike-New Hartford      21.74   30.10  95%  32.80  97%  40.38  99%
10/16/2020   1A   45 ( 2- 5) Leon Central Decatur   1A   35 ( 5- 2) Truro Interstate-35    18.91   16.94  83%  18.78  85%  21.17  88%
10/16/2020   1A   46 ( 1- 6) Missouri Valley        1A   33 ( 2- 5) Lake View East Sac     17.48   22.09  89%  23.16  90%  26.58  93%
10/16/2020   1A   41 ( 2- 5) East Marshall          1A   10 ( 5- 2) Panora Panorama        15.12   41.24  99%  40.79  99%  48.05 100%
10/16/2020   1A   47 ( 2- 5) Manly Central Spring   1A   17 ( 5- 2) Eldora South Hardin     0.45   40.69  99%  42.07  99%  42.74  99%
10/16/2020   1A   48 ( 1- 6) Louisa-Muscatine       1A   29 ( 3- 3) Durant                 -3.50   35.08  98%  38.02  98%  36.12  98%
10/16/2020   1A   51 ( 1- 4) Goose Lake Northeast   1A   26 ( 4- 2) Dyersville Beckman     -5.33   45.86 100%  38.66  99%  41.35  99%
10/16/2020   1A   53 ( 0- 7) Mapleton MV-A-O-CO-U   1A   25 ( 4- 3) Treynor               -12.86   49.20 100%  49.97 100%  48.93 100%
10/16/2020   1A   50 ( 1- 5) Keosauqua Van Buren    1A   20 ( 5- 2) Mediapolis            -14.53   50.93 100%  49.51 100%  55.13 100%
10/16/2020   1A   49 ( 1- 6) West Central Valley    1A    3 ( 6- 1) Underwood             -16.56   82.15 100%  69.61 100%  58.60 100%
10/16/2020   1A   54 ( 0- 7) Colfax-Mingo           1A   11 ( 5- 2) Woodward-Granger      -30.24   74.30 100%  66.31 100%  58.68 100%
10/16/2020   1A   52 ( 0- 5) Eagle Grove            1A    8 ( 5- 1) Emmetsburg            -40.61   73.67 100%  80.46 100%  82.28 100%
10/16/2020    A   24 ( 2- 4) LeMars Gehlen           A   22 ( 4- 3) Alta-Aurelia           53.01    1.18  53%   1.81  54%   1.22  53%
10/16/2020    A   17 ( 2- 4) Neola Tri-Center        A   23 ( 4- 2) Lawton-Bronson         51.12   -5.13  61%  -5.35  62%  -1.34  53%
10/16/2020    A   29 ( 2- 2) Avoca AHSTW             A   14 ( 6- 1) Oakland Riverside      39.56   16.50  82%  17.34  84%  17.09  83%
10/16/2020    A   32 ( 2- 5) IKM-Manning             A   21 ( 6- 2) Southwest Valley       39.15   10.84  73%  11.88  75%  10.90  73%
10/16/2020    A   35 ( 2- 5) East Buchanan           A   30 ( 3- 2) Bellevue               39.11    5.31  62%   7.03  65%   7.85  67%
10/16/2020    A   36 ( 1- 6) Maquoketa Valley        A   39 ( 2- 5) Traer North Tama       38.63   -1.78  54%  -0.74  52%   2.85  56%
10/16/2020    A   43 ( 2- 3) Madrid                  A   28 ( 5- 2) Fort Dodge St Edmond   35.72   14.52  79%   8.76  69%   6.74  65%
10/16/2020    A   40 ( 2- 5) North Linn              A   45 ( 2- 5) Guttenberg CR          34.39   -2.78  56%  -1.55  53%   1.19  53%
10/16/2020    A   46 ( 1- 6) Conrad BCLUW            A   37 ( 3- 2) Ogden                  29.84    8.87  69%   5.75  63%   4.22  59%
10/16/2020    A   41 ( 3- 4) Greene North Butler     A   27 ( 5- 2) Mason City Newman      29.83   15.77  81%  14.87  80%  17.15  83%
10/16/2020    A   42 ( 1- 6) North Union             A   26 ( 4- 2) Sheffield West Fork    23.23   17.32  84%  20.54  88%  20.89  88%
10/16/2020    A   38 ( 1- 6) Arlington Starmont      A    9 ( 6- 1) Wapsie Valley          22.26   30.23  96%  31.29  96%  30.94  96%
10/16/2020    A   47 ( 2- 4) Sloan Westwood          A   20 ( 4- 3) South O'Brien          21.97   27.04  94%  22.18  89%  28.56  95%
10/16/2020    A   44 ( 2- 5) Algona Garrigan         A   12 ( 4- 3) Lake Mills             21.76   32.05  96%  28.39  94%  31.72  96%
10/16/2020    A   31 ( 2- 5) Nodaway Valley          A   48 ( 3- 4) North Mahaska          21.09  -17.26  83% -19.21  86% -12.90  77%
10/16/2020    A   34 ( 3- 4) West Monona             A   11 ( 4- 3) Woodbury Central       16.23   22.62  90%  35.33  98%  34.78  97%
10/16/2020    A   49 ( 2- 5) Akron-Westfield         A   19 ( 4- 2) Holstein Ridge View    12.23   31.57  96%  28.43  95%  33.93  97%
10/16/2020    A   51 ( 1- 5) Riverside Highland      A   25 ( 4- 2) Alburnett               9.38   29.28  95%  29.23  95%  28.23  94%
10/16/2020    A   53 ( 1- 4) Lynnville-Sully         A   18 ( 5- 2) Belle Plaine            6.58   36.67  98%  34.07  97%  35.25  98%
10/16/2020    A   50 ( 0- 7) Sidney                  A    7 ( 4- 2) CB St Albert            1.17   47.33 100%  47.06 100%  46.12 100%
10/16/2020    A   52 ( 1- 6) Nashua-Plainfield       A    8 ( 6- 1) South Winneshiek        0.72   46.75 100%  45.05  99%  44.85  99%
10/16/2020    A   56 ( 2- 5) Columbus Junction       A   33 ( 3- 3) Wapello                -0.06   29.61  95%  34.09  97%  33.40  97%
10/16/2020    A   54 ( 0- 6) Manson NW Webster       A    6 ( 6- 1) Britt West Hancock     -8.22   57.75 100%  54.95 100%  58.84 100%
10/16/2020    A   55 ( 1- 6) Marcus MMCRU            A   13 ( 5- 2) Hartley HMS           -13.28   48.54 100%  52.57 100%  54.30 100%
10/16/2020    A   58 ( 0- 5) Corydon Wayne           A   10 ( 4- 1) Earlham               -21.36   66.92 100%  56.69 100%  56.69 100%
10/16/2020    A   57 ( 1- 5) Stanwood North Cedar    A   16 ( 5- 2) Lisbon                -23.26   52.16 100%  58.06 100%  59.99 100%
10/16/2020    A   59 ( 0- 6) Postville               A    3 ( 5- 1) Monona MFL-MarMac     -26.82   79.43 100%  64.72 100%  63.21 100%
10/16/2020    8   20 ( 4- 3) East Mills              8   21 ( 4- 1) Lenox                 119.24   -0.80  52%   6.59  64%  11.73  75%
10/16/2020    8   27 ( 4- 3) Northwood-Kensett       8   26 ( 4- 2) North Iowa            116.74    2.44  55%  -1.88  54%  -5.26  62%
10/16/2020    8   30 ( 3- 3) Wyoming Midland         8   13 ( 5- 2) Springville           115.07   21.37  89%  16.46  82%  13.61  78%
10/16/2020    8   33 ( 2- 4) Turkey Valley           8   23 ( 4- 3) Lansing Kee           112.94   10.32  72%   3.59  58%   5.80  63%
10/16/2020    8   36 ( 3- 3) Stanton-Essex           8   35 ( 4- 3) Murray                110.17    0.83  52%   1.78  54%   9.72  71%
10/16/2020    8   29 ( 3- 3) Lone Tree               8   34 ( 4- 3) Winfield-Mt Union     105.07   -8.27  68%  -8.43  68%  -8.56  68%
10/16/2020    8   31 ( 3- 4) Westside Ar-We-Va       8   19 ( 3- 4) Kingsley-Pierson      103.48   14.66  80%  13.79  78%  14.28  79%
10/16/2020    8   39 ( 2- 5) Dunlap Boyer Valley     8   38 ( 3- 4) West Harrison          99.67    1.50  53%   4.09  59%  17.30  83%
10/16/2020    8   43 ( 3- 4) Baxter                  8   40 ( 3- 4) Marengo Iowa Valley    98.86    3.42  58%   5.15  61%  -6.40  64%
10/16/2020    8   44 ( 4- 3) Tama Meskwaki           8   28 ( 4- 3) Ackley AGWSR           96.12   16.78  83%  15.15  80%  14.25  79%
10/16/2020    8   48 ( 1- 5) River Valley            8   22 ( 4- 2) Harris-Lake Park       95.81   25.02  92%  17.93  84%  24.54  92%
10/16/2020    8   42 ( 2- 4) Wayland WACO            8   12 ( 5- 1) New London             93.61   35.15  98%  23.60  91%  33.28  97%
10/16/2020    8   41 ( 2- 5) Rockford                8    7 ( 5- 1) Tripoli                87.30   48.21 100%  38.55  98%  46.23 100%
10/16/2020    8   37 ( 2- 2) Dunkerton               8    5 ( 6- 1) Easton Valley          83.04   46.62 100%  50.89 100%  52.25 100%
10/16/2020    8   50 ( 2- 5) Colo NESCO              8   24 ( 4- 3) Victor HLV             80.66   27.31  94%  26.67  93%  27.65  94%
10/16/2020    8   45 ( 2- 5) Glidden-Ralston         8   17 ( 5- 1) Woodbine               77.24   30.00  95%  34.89  98%  30.60  96%
10/16/2020    8   54 ( 1- 6) Moravia                 8   18 ( 6- 1) English Valleys        77.21   37.82  98%  29.30  95%  35.31  98%
10/16/2020    8   47 ( 2- 5) Riceville               8    3 ( 6- 1) Janesville             76.71   62.19 100%  47.56 100%  58.58 100%
10/16/2020    8   52 ( 2- 5) Collins-Maxwell         8   55 ( 3- 4) Mormon Trail           75.91   -2.84  56% -14.39  79% -13.05  77%
10/16/2020    8   46 ( 1- 6) West Bend-Mallard       8    8 ( 6- 1) Newell-Fonda           74.62   52.72 100%  45.15  99%  54.25 100%
10/16/2020    8   53 ( 1- 5) Ruthven GTRA            8    2 ( 6- 0) Remsen St Mary         68.01   68.95 100%  53.92 100%  55.42 100%
10/16/2020    8   49 ( 0- 5) Bedford                 8    4 ( 5- 0) Audubon                66.07   60.59 100%  60.03 100%  67.44 100%
10/16/2020    8   61 ( 0- 6) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb     8   10 ( 3- 1) Tabor Fremont-Mills    60.23   69.45 100%  53.82 100%  62.05 100%
10/16/2020    8   65 ( 0- 6) Maynard West Central    8   15 ( 7- 0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     54.83   66.05 100%  48.98 100%  55.47 100%
10/16/2020    8   62 ( 0- 5) Griswold                8   11 ( 6- 0) Anita CAM              48.05   64.97 100%  59.44 100%  63.57 100%
10/16/2020    8   59 ( 0- 7) Garwin GMG              8    1 ( 5- 0) Don Bosco              42.27  102.09 100%  84.15 100%  90.06 100%
10/16/2020    8   63 ( 1- 6) Grand View Christian    8   32 ( 5- 2) Lamoni                 40.49   40.63  99%  50.89 100%  51.78 100%
10/16/2020    8   66 ( 1- 4) Thornburg Tri-County    8   16 ( 6- 1) Brooklyn BGM           35.40   67.51 100%  61.72 100%  63.03 100%
10/16/2020    8   68 ( 0- 7) Seymour SMU             8   25 ( 6- 1) Southeast Warren       18.24   81.31 100%  68.41 100%  64.72 100%