BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    0.77

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
10/16/2020   4A   33 ( 0- 7) CR Jefferson           4A   32 ( 1- 4) Ames                   41.46   10.75  73%  13.38  77%  12.14  75%
10/16/2020   4A   34 ( 0- 6) Ottumwa                4A   24 ( 1- 3) Iowa City High         39.80   22.79  90%  21.93  89%  24.02  91%
10/16/2020   4A   37 ( 0- 7) Sioux City West        4A   39 ( 1- 5) CB Jefferson           29.18   -2.86  56%   2.45  55%   3.29  57%
10/16/2020   4A   38 ( 0- 7) Davenport West         4A   31 ( 1- 6) Davenport Central      23.53   38.88  99%  27.14  94%  31.90  96%
10/16/2020   3A   25 ( 2- 3) Mason City             3A   30 ( 4- 2) Gilbert                78.36    0.06  50%  -0.95  52%  -3.26  57%
10/16/2020   3A   29 ( 4- 3) Waverly-Shell Rock     3A   19 ( 4- 3) Western Dubuque        77.85    6.36  64%   5.94  63%   6.47  64%
10/16/2020   3A   31 ( 2- 4) Adel ADM               3A   17 ( 4- 3) Bondurant-Farrar       63.57   16.74  83%  16.17  82%  15.41  81%
10/16/2020   3A   32 ( 2- 4) Marion                 3A   27 ( 4- 3) Clear Creek-Amana      62.11   11.52  74%  12.12  75%  15.37  81%
10/16/2020   3A   38 ( 1- 5) LeMars                 3A   34 ( 2- 5) Storm Lake             62.03    5.19  62%   4.37  60%   6.85  65%
10/16/2020   3A   40 ( 1- 6) Alleman North Polk     3A   28 ( 5- 2) Winterset              57.63   18.97  86%  13.36  77%  13.19  77%
10/16/2020   3A   42 ( 3- 4) Van Horne Benton       3A   46 ( 3- 3) Mount Pleasant         56.23   -3.30  57%   0.92  52%  -0.59  51%
10/16/2020   3A   35 ( 1- 5) Norwalk                3A   21 ( 5- 2) Glenwood               56.16   17.34  84%  18.59  85%  14.00  78%
10/16/2020   3A   37 ( 1- 6) Sioux City Heelan      3A   13 ( 4- 3) Humboldt               51.70   25.11  92%  25.11  92%  29.37  95%
10/16/2020   3A   39 ( 1- 6) Creston COM            3A    5 ( 5- 1) CB Lewis Central       48.96   36.90  98%  31.28  96%  31.97  96%
10/16/2020   3A   43 ( 1- 5) Denison-Schleswig      3A   24 ( 3- 4) Carroll                47.65   25.92  93%  20.74  88%  23.09  90%
10/16/2020   3A    3 ( 6- 1) Huxley Ballard         3A   41 ( 0- 7) Boone                  40.50  -44.76  99% -39.67  99% -39.54  99%
10/16/2020   3A   47 ( 2- 5) Oskaloosa              3A   20 ( 4- 3) Carlisle               33.62   32.86  97%  34.81  97%  33.37  97%
10/16/2020   3A   49 ( 0- 7) Newton                 3A   23 ( 5- 2) Grinnell               28.44   43.25  99%  39.43  99%  37.55  98%
10/16/2020   3A   44 ( 1- 6) Waterloo East          3A    2 ( 7- 1) West Delaware          26.47   56.39 100%  54.26 100%  50.77 100%
10/16/2020   3A   52 ( 1- 6) Fairfield              3A   45 ( 3- 3) Keokuk                 24.87   21.46  89%  17.50  84%  18.39  85%
10/16/2020   3A   48 ( 0- 5) Charles City           3A   26 ( 4- 2) Dubuque Wahlert        24.12   38.37  98%  38.59  99%  40.27  99%
10/16/2020   3A   50 ( 1- 6) Knoxville              3A   33 ( 6- 1) Fort Madison           23.43   32.06  96%  32.48  97%  35.49  98%
10/16/2020   3A   53 ( 0- 6) Clinton                3A   36 ( 4- 3) Central Clinton        22.92   37.68  98%  31.21  96%  38.18  98%
10/16/2020   3A   51 ( 1- 5) Burlington             3A   14 ( 4- 1) Eldridge North Scott   -0.42   56.05 100%  59.68 100%  59.94 100%
10/16/2020   3A   54 ( 0- 7) Perry                  3A   22 ( 5- 2) Nevada                -29.13   88.76 100%  76.94 100%  68.03 100%
10/16/2020   2A   20 ( 3- 2) West Liberty           2A   21 ( 2- 3) Maquoketa              64.13    0.74  52%   0.74  52%   0.74  52%
10/16/2020   2A   26 ( 2- 5) Clear Lake             2A   24 ( 3- 4) Garner GHV             61.35    2.05  55%   2.79  56%   6.20  64%
10/16/2020   2A   34 ( 2- 5) New Hampton            2A   28 ( 3- 2) Forest City            58.32    4.47  60%   1.21  53%  -0.87  52%
10/16/2020   2A   18 ( 2- 5) Sheldon                2A    8 ( 4- 3) Unity Christian        58.09   19.92  87%  19.01  86%  18.13  85%
10/16/2020   2A   31 ( 2- 5) North Fayette Valley   2A   17 ( 3- 3) Cresco Crestwood       55.60   12.53  76%  10.60  72%  15.92  81%
10/16/2020   2A   37 ( 2- 5) Oelwein                2A   36 ( 3- 4) Tama South Tama        50.86    1.27  53%   3.32  57%   1.13  53%
10/16/2020   2A   30 ( 2- 5) Vinton-Shellsburg      2A   14 ( 6- 1) Mount Vernon           50.78   16.34  82%  16.50  82%  11.63  74%
10/16/2020   2A   33 ( 2- 5) Anamosa                2A   22 ( 3- 4) Center Point-Urbana    47.26    7.84  67%  11.85  75%  15.80  81%
10/16/2020   2A   39 ( 3- 4) Hampton-Dumont-CAL     2A   32 ( 3- 4) Iowa Falls-Alden       45.22    8.30  68%   9.08  70%   7.86  67%
10/16/2020   2A   38 ( 0- 7) MOC-Floyd Valley       2A    9 ( 5- 2) Sioux Center           44.31   33.31  97%  27.28  94%  26.47  93%
10/16/2020   2A   35 ( 3- 4) WB-Notre Dame          2A   46 ( 3- 3) Davis County           29.51  -17.06  83% -15.02  80% -15.09  80%
10/16/2020   2A   44 ( 3- 4) Shenandoah             2A   27 ( 3- 4) Clarinda               27.03   22.57  90%  22.78  90%  25.64  93%
10/16/2020   2A   42 ( 0- 7) LaPorte City Union     2A   16 ( 4- 1) Monticello             23.45   34.35  97%  34.08  97%  33.41  97%
10/16/2020   2A   47 ( 3- 2) Des Moines Christian   2A   50 ( 3- 4) Albia                  21.96   -7.64  67%  -8.70  69%  -9.40  70%
10/16/2020   2A   41 ( 3- 3) Eddyville EBF          2A   25 ( 3- 3) Tipton                 21.27   20.33  87%  28.52  95%  28.36  94%
10/16/2020   2A   43 ( 0- 6) Roland-Story           2A   12 ( 4- 1) Independence           18.45   36.90  98%  39.11  99%  40.93  99%
10/16/2020   2A   45 ( 1- 6) Milford Okoboji        2A    6 ( 5- 1) Estherville LC         14.13   49.99 100%  49.09 100%  45.61  99%
10/16/2020   2A   53 ( 1- 6) Osceola Clarke         2A   49 ( 3- 4) Saydel                  5.14   20.97  88%  12.73  76%   9.98  71%
10/16/2020   2A   48 ( 1- 3) Cherokee Washington    2A   15 ( 3- 3) Algona                  3.86   44.13  99%  47.21 100%  47.03 100%
10/16/2020   2A   51 ( 0- 7) Red Oak                2A   29 ( 5- 2) Greene County          -3.15   44.86  99%  42.17  99%  44.07  99%
10/16/2020   2A   52 ( 0- 7) Central Lee            2A   23 ( 3- 3) Wellman Mid-Prairie    -9.21   51.76 100%  52.40 100%  49.38 100%
10/16/2020   2A   54 ( 0- 7) Chariton               2A   40 ( 4- 3) Centerville           -12.91   45.62  99%  37.31  98%  36.66  98%
10/16/2020   1A   31 ( 1- 6) Carroll Kuemper        1A   16 ( 5- 2) Pocahontas Area        51.70   15.00  80%   5.96  63%   6.50  64%
10/16/2020   1A   27 ( 2- 5) Aplington AP           1A   32 ( 2- 4) Osage                  47.56   -3.93  59%  -3.93  59%  -5.57  62%
10/16/2020   1A   18 ( 3- 4) Guthrie Center GC-A-   1A   28 ( 5- 2) Pleasantville          45.22  -10.14  72% -12.32  76% -14.34  79%
10/16/2020   1A   36 ( 2- 5) Hudson                 1A   34 ( 4- 3) Pella Christian        42.31    5.82  63%   2.37  55%   4.61  60%
10/16/2020   1A   30 ( 2- 5) Sioux Central          1A    9 ( 5- 1) South Cent Calhoun     36.36   30.32  96%  28.88  95%  37.95  98%
10/16/2020   1A   37 ( 1- 4) Hinton                 1A   19 ( 4- 2) Sibley-Ocheyedan       34.56   18.88  86%  18.07  85%  15.90  81%
10/16/2020   1A   38 ( 2- 5) Wilton                 1A   21 ( 5- 2) Cascade                31.05   19.92  87%  18.39  85%  18.85  86%
10/16/2020   1A   44 ( 1- 6) Clarion CGD            1A   23 ( 3- 3) Belmond-Klemme         30.70   25.82  93%  17.99  84%  12.50  76%
10/16/2020   1A   42 ( 3- 4) SumnerFredericksburg   1A   24 ( 4- 3) Denver                 27.67   19.38  86%  20.26  87%  23.18  90%
10/16/2020   1A   40 ( 4- 3) Eldon Cardinal         1A   43 ( 3- 3) Packwood Pekin         26.26   -4.04  59% -11.73  75%  -7.13  66%
10/16/2020   1A   39 ( 2- 5) Jesup                  1A   12 ( 5- 2) Dike-New Hartford      21.76   30.09  95%  32.78  97%  40.34  99%
10/16/2020   1A   45 ( 2- 5) Leon Central Decatur   1A   35 ( 5- 2) Truro Interstate-35    18.90   16.94  83%  18.79  85%  21.17  88%
10/16/2020   1A   46 ( 1- 6) Missouri Valley        1A   33 ( 2- 5) Lake View East Sac     17.48   22.09  89%  23.16  90%  26.59  93%
10/16/2020   1A   41 ( 2- 5) East Marshall          1A   10 ( 5- 2) Panora Panorama        15.12   41.24  99%  40.79  99%  48.04 100%
10/16/2020   1A   47 ( 2- 5) Manly Central Spring   1A   17 ( 5- 2) Eldora South Hardin     0.51   40.65  99%  42.04  99%  42.71  99%
10/15/2020   1A   48 ( 1- 6) Louisa-Muscatine       1A   29 ( 3- 3) Durant                 -3.53   35.05  98%  38.00  98%  36.09  98%
10/16/2020   1A   51 ( 1- 4) Goose Lake Northeast   1A   26 ( 4- 2) Dyersville Beckman     -5.39   45.86 100%  38.67  99%  41.35  99%
10/16/2020   1A   53 ( 0- 7) Mapleton MV-A-O-CO-U   1A   25 ( 4- 3) Treynor               -12.86   49.20 100%  49.98 100%  48.93 100%
10/16/2020   1A   50 ( 1- 5) Keosauqua Van Buren    1A   20 ( 5- 2) Mediapolis            -14.56   50.93 100%  49.51 100%  55.13 100%
10/16/2020   1A   49 ( 1- 6) West Central Valley    1A    3 ( 6- 1) Underwood             -16.57   82.15 100%  69.62 100%  58.60 100%
10/16/2020   1A   54 ( 0- 7) Colfax-Mingo           1A   11 ( 5- 2) Woodward-Granger      -30.26   74.31 100%  66.33 100%  58.69 100%
10/16/2020   1A   52 ( 0- 5) Eagle Grove            1A    8 ( 5- 1) Emmetsburg            -40.62   73.68 100%  80.46 100%  82.28 100%
10/16/2020    A   24 ( 2- 4) LeMars Gehlen           A   22 ( 4- 3) Alta-Aurelia           53.01    1.18  53%   1.82  54%   1.22  53%
10/16/2020    A   18 ( 2- 4) Neola Tri-Center        A   23 ( 4- 2) Lawton-Bronson         51.13   -5.12  61%  -5.34  62%  -1.33  53%
10/16/2020    A   29 ( 2- 2) Avoca AHSTW             A   14 ( 6- 1) Oakland Riverside      39.56   16.49  82%  17.34  84%  17.09  83%
10/16/2020    A   32 ( 2- 5) IKM-Manning             A   21 ( 6- 2) Southwest Valley       39.15   10.83  73%  11.88  75%  10.90  73%
10/16/2020    A   35 ( 2- 5) East Buchanan           A   30 ( 3- 2) Bellevue               39.00    5.33  62%   7.06  65%   7.89  67%
10/16/2020    A   36 ( 1- 6) Maquoketa Valley        A   39 ( 2- 5) Traer North Tama       38.64   -1.73  54%  -0.63  51%   2.94  57%
10/16/2020    A   43 ( 2- 3) Madrid                  A   28 ( 5- 2) Fort Dodge St Edmond   35.71   14.53  79%   8.77  69%   6.75  65%
10/16/2020    A   40 ( 2- 5) North Linn              A   45 ( 2- 5) Guttenberg CR          34.34   -2.65  56%  -1.52  53%   1.26  53%
10/16/2020    A   41 ( 3- 4) Greene North Butler     A   27 ( 5- 2) Mason City Newman      29.87   15.77  81%  14.87  80%  17.15  83%
10/16/2020    A   46 ( 1- 6) Conrad BCLUW            A   37 ( 3- 2) Ogden                  29.82    8.89  69%   5.77  63%   4.25  59%
10/16/2020    A   42 ( 1- 6) North Union             A   26 ( 4- 2) Sheffield West Fork    23.23   17.34  84%  20.57  88%  20.94  88%
10/16/2020    A   38 ( 1- 6) Arlington Starmont      A    9 ( 6- 1) Wapsie Valley          22.18   30.17  96%  31.30  96%  30.94  96%
10/16/2020    A   47 ( 2- 4) Sloan Westwood          A   20 ( 4- 3) South O'Brien          21.97   27.05  94%  22.19  89%  28.56  95%
10/16/2020    A   44 ( 2- 5) Algona Garrigan         A   12 ( 4- 3) Lake Mills             21.76   32.07  96%  28.42  95%  31.77  96%
10/16/2020    A   31 ( 2- 5) Nodaway Valley          A   48 ( 3- 4) North Mahaska          21.06  -17.26  83% -19.22  86% -12.91  77%
10/16/2020    A   34 ( 3- 4) West Monona             A   11 ( 4- 3) Woodbury Central       16.22   22.63  90%  35.34  98%  34.78  97%
10/16/2020    A   49 ( 2- 5) Akron-Westfield         A   19 ( 4- 2) Holstein Ridge View    12.23   31.57  96%  28.44  95%  33.94  97%
10/16/2020    A   51 ( 1- 5) Riverside Highland      A   25 ( 4- 2) Alburnett               9.40   29.16  95%  29.11  95%  28.08  94%
10/16/2020    A   53 ( 1- 4) Lynnville-Sully         A   17 ( 5- 2) Belle Plaine            6.56   38.73  99%  34.07  97%  35.25  98%
10/16/2020    A   50 ( 0- 7) Sidney                  A    7 ( 4- 2) CB St Albert            1.17   47.33 100%  47.06 100%  46.12 100%
10/16/2020    A   52 ( 1- 6) Nashua-Plainfield       A    8 ( 6- 1) South Winneshiek        0.87   46.49 100%  44.91  99%  44.75  99%
10/16/2020    A   56 ( 2- 5) Columbus Junction       A   33 ( 3- 3) Wapello                -0.10   29.61  95%  34.09  97%  33.40  97%
10/16/2020    A   54 ( 0- 6) Manson NW Webster       A    6 ( 6- 1) Britt West Hancock     -8.21   57.75 100%  54.96 100%  58.84 100%
10/16/2020    A   55 ( 1- 6) Marcus MMCRU            A   13 ( 5- 2) Hartley HMS           -13.28   48.54 100%  52.58 100%  54.30 100%
10/16/2020    A   58 ( 0- 5) Corydon Wayne           A   10 ( 4- 1) Earlham               -21.38   66.93 100%  56.70 100%  56.70 100%
10/16/2020    A   57 ( 1- 5) Stanwood North Cedar    A   16 ( 5- 2) Lisbon                -23.31   52.17 100%  58.07 100%  59.99 100%
10/16/2020    A   59 ( 0- 7) Postville               A    3 ( 6- 1) Monona MFL-MarMac     -26.03   79.34 100%  63.87 100%  59.55 100%
10/16/2020    8   20 ( 4- 3) East Mills              8   21 ( 4- 1) Lenox                 119.23   -0.80  52%   6.60  64%  11.73  75%
10/16/2020    8   27 ( 4- 3) Northwood-Kensett       8   26 ( 4- 2) North Iowa            116.74    2.45  55%  -1.88  54%  -5.25  62%
10/16/2020    8   30 ( 3- 3) Wyoming Midland         8   13 ( 5- 2) Springville           115.06   21.38  89%  16.46  82%  13.62  78%
10/16/2020    8   33 ( 2- 4) Turkey Valley           8   23 ( 4- 3) Lansing Kee           112.92   10.33  72%   3.60  58%   5.80  63%
10/16/2020    8   36 ( 3- 3) Stanton-Essex           8   35 ( 4- 3) Murray                110.16    0.83  52%   1.78  54%   9.72  71%
10/16/2020    8   29 ( 3- 3) Lone Tree               8   34 ( 4- 3) Winfield-Mt Union     105.06   -8.27  68%  -8.43  68%  -8.55  68%
10/16/2020    8   31 ( 3- 4) Westside Ar-We-Va       8   19 ( 3- 4) Kingsley-Pierson      103.47   14.67  80%  13.79  78%  14.28  79%
10/16/2020    8   39 ( 2- 5) Dunlap Boyer Valley     8   38 ( 3- 4) West Harrison          99.66    1.51  53%   4.10  59%  17.31  84%
10/16/2020    8   43 ( 3- 4) Baxter                  8   40 ( 3- 4) Marengo Iowa Valley    98.85    3.42  58%   5.15  61%  -6.39  64%
10/16/2020    8   44 ( 4- 3) Tama Meskwaki           8   28 ( 4- 3) Ackley AGWSR           96.12   16.78  83%  15.15  80%  14.26  79%
10/16/2020    8   48 ( 1- 5) River Valley            8   22 ( 4- 2) Harris-Lake Park       95.81   25.02  92%  17.93  84%  24.54  92%
10/16/2020    8   42 ( 2- 4) Wayland WACO            8   12 ( 5- 1) New London             93.60   35.15  98%  23.61  91%  33.28  97%
10/16/2020    8   41 ( 2- 5) Rockford                8    7 ( 5- 1) Tripoli                87.29   48.21 100%  38.55  98%  46.23 100%
10/16/2020    8   37 ( 2- 2) Dunkerton               8    5 ( 6- 1) Easton Valley          83.02   46.63 100%  50.89 100%  52.26 100%
10/16/2020    8   50 ( 2- 5) Colo NESCO              8   24 ( 4- 3) Victor HLV             80.65   27.32  94%  26.67  93%  27.65  94%
10/16/2020    8   45 ( 2- 5) Glidden-Ralston         8   17 ( 5- 1) Woodbine               77.23   30.00  95%  34.89  98%  30.60  96%
10/16/2020    8   54 ( 1- 6) Moravia                 8   18 ( 6- 1) English Valleys        77.20   37.82  98%  29.31  95%  35.31  98%
10/16/2020    8   47 ( 2- 5) Riceville               8    3 ( 6- 1) Janesville             76.70   62.20 100%  47.56 100%  58.59 100%
10/16/2020    8   52 ( 2- 5) Collins-Maxwell         8   55 ( 3- 4) Mormon Trail           75.91   -2.84  56% -14.39  79% -13.04  77%
10/16/2020    8   46 ( 1- 6) West Bend-Mallard       8    8 ( 6- 1) Newell-Fonda           74.61   52.72 100%  45.15  99%  54.26 100%
10/16/2020    8   53 ( 1- 5) Ruthven GTRA            8    2 ( 6- 0) Remsen St Mary         68.00   68.95 100%  53.92 100%  55.43 100%
10/16/2020    8   49 ( 0- 5) Bedford                 8    4 ( 5- 0) Audubon                66.06   60.60 100%  60.03 100%  67.45 100%
10/16/2020    8   61 ( 0- 6) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb     8   10 ( 3- 1) Tabor Fremont-Mills    60.22   69.46 100%  53.82 100%  62.05 100%
10/16/2020    8   65 ( 0- 6) Maynard West Central    8   15 ( 7- 0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     54.83   66.06 100%  48.98 100%  55.47 100%
10/16/2020    8   62 ( 0- 5) Griswold                8   11 ( 6- 0) Anita CAM              48.04   64.97 100%  59.44 100%  63.57 100%
10/16/2020    8   59 ( 0- 7) Garwin GMG              8    1 ( 5- 0) Don Bosco              42.26  102.10 100%  84.15 100%  90.07 100%
10/16/2020    8   63 ( 1- 6) Grand View Christian    8   32 ( 5- 2) Lamoni                 40.48   40.64  99%  50.89 100%  51.78 100%
10/16/2020    8   66 ( 1- 4) Thornburg Tri-County    8   16 ( 6- 1) Brooklyn BGM           35.39   67.51 100%  61.72 100%  63.03 100%
10/16/2020    8   68 ( 0- 7) Seymour SMU             8   25 ( 6- 1) Southeast Warren       18.23   81.31 100%  68.41 100%  64.72 100%