BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Carlisle

Class: 4A Class Rank: 16 Conference: Raccoon River Record: (7-12-0) Overall: (23-26-0) Overall Strength =   78.05

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/27/2021 Home    L *    54.04   3  26   3A 17 (27-24- 0) Winterset             -24.61      1.61                      
 2 09/03/2021 Away    L      52.91  22  70   4A  2 (50-12- 0) CB Lewis Central      -25.74    -22.26                      
 3 09/10/2021 Away    W      99.68  62   8   3A 33 ( 9-36- 0) Knoxville              21.03     32.97                      
 4 09/17/2021 Home    W      71.80  35   6   5A 33 (13-32- 0) Des Moines Lincoln     -6.86     35.86                      
 5 09/24/2021 Away    L * *  77.16  29  39   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar       -1.49     -8.51                      
 6 10/01/2021 Home    W *    76.42  41  18   4A 28 (10-34- 0) Boone                  -2.23     25.23                      
 7 10/08/2021 Home    L      62.73  14  38   5A 10 (33-18- 0) Indianola             -15.92     -8.08                      
 8 10/15/2021 Away    W      92.06  21  14   5A 18 (27-21- 0) Norwalk                13.41     -6.41                      
 9 10/22/2021 Home    W      92.05  70   6   3A 35 ( 5-40- 0) Perry                  13.40     50.60                      
10 10/29/2021 Away    L      50.54   0  41   5A 10 (33-18- 0) Indianola             -28.11    -12.89                      
11 08/26/2022 Away    W *    98.85  35  18   3A 17 (27-24- 0) Winterset              20.20     -3.20                      
12 09/02/2022 Home    L      89.10  21  28   4A  2 (50-12- 0) CB Lewis Central       10.45    -17.45                      
13 09/09/2022 Home    W      89.87  49   0   3A 33 ( 9-36- 0) Knoxville              11.22     37.78                      
14 09/16/2022 Away    W      86.60  53  14   5A 33 (13-32- 0) Des Moines Lincoln      7.95     31.05                      
15 09/23/2022 Home    W * *  98.36  36  20   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar       19.70     -3.70                      
16 09/30/2022 Away    W *   100.23  42   0   4A 28 (10-34- 0) Boone                  21.58     20.42                      
17 10/07/2022 Away    W     112.54  42  21   5A 10 (33-18- 0) Indianola              33.89    -12.89                      
18 10/14/2022 Home    W     101.25  49  28   5A 18 (27-21- 0) Norwalk                22.60     -1.60                      
19 10/21/2022 Away    W      78.05   1   0   3A 35 ( 5-40- 0) Perry                   0.00 X   45.79  pre-game forfeit    
20 10/28/2022 Home    W     100.85  48  28   4A 11 (34-17- 0) Newton                 22.19     -2.19                      
21 11/04/2022 Away    W     120.23  56  28   5A  9 (37-17- 0) Iowa City Liberty      41.58    -13.58                      
22 11/10/2022 Neutral L      77.51  21  42   4A  2 (50-12- 0) CB Lewis Central       -1.14    -19.86                      
23 08/25/2023 Home    L      60.25  32  52   5A 18 (27-21- 0) Norwalk               -18.40     -1.60                      
24 09/01/2023 Away    L * *  59.05   7  43   4A  4 (41-15- 0) Alleman North Polk    -19.61    -16.39                      
25 09/08/2023 Away    L *    64.85  11  28   3A 17 (27-24- 0) Winterset             -13.80     -3.20                      
26 09/15/2023 Home    W      97.73  17   6   5A 10 (33-18- 0) Indianola              19.08     -8.08                      
27 09/22/2023 Away    L      64.26  14  38   4A  9 (35-19- 0) Pella                 -14.40     -9.60                      
28 09/29/2023 Away    L * *  75.81  29  32 1 4A 17 (26-23- 0) Gilbert                -2.85     -0.15                      
29 10/06/2023 Home    L      42.85   6  44   4A 11 (34-17- 0) Newton                -35.81     -2.19                      
30 10/13/2023 Home    W      73.77  51   6   ZZ 19 ( 2-34- 0) Des Moines Hoover      -4.89     49.89                      
31 10/20/2023 Away    L * *  52.16   7  42   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar      -26.49     -8.51                      
32 08/30/2024 Away    L      57.06   7  35   5A 18 (27-21- 0) Norwalk               -21.59     -6.41                      
33 09/06/2024 Home    L * *  76.24  27  41   4A  4 (41-15- 0) Alleman North Polk     -2.41    -11.59                      
34 09/13/2024 Home    L *    75.04  26  28   3A 17 (27-24- 0) Winterset              -3.61      1.61                      
35 09/20/2024 Away    L      70.54   7  28   5A 10 (33-18- 0) Indianola              -8.11    -12.89                      
36 09/27/2024 Home    L      70.45  21  34   4A  9 (35-19- 0) Pella                  -8.21     -4.79                      
37 10/04/2024 Home    L * *  43.00  10  41   4A 17 (26-23- 0) Gilbert               -35.65      4.65                      
38 10/11/2024 Away    L      51.66  11  45   4A 11 (34-17- 0) Newton                -27.00     -7.00                      
39 10/18/2024 Away    W      70.57  43   6   ZZ 19 ( 2-34- 0) Des Moines Hoover      -8.08     45.08                      
40 10/25/2024 Home    W * *  89.36  21  14   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar       10.70     -3.70                      
41 08/29/2025 Away    L      78.66  42  49   4A 11 (34-17- 0) Newton                  0.00     -7.00                      
42 09/05/2025 Home    L      76.73   3  13   5A 10 (33-18- 0) Indianola              -1.92     -8.08  Hero's Night        
43 09/12/2025 Home    W     101.90  56  21   4A 20 (27-20- 0) Grinnell               23.25     11.75  Little Cheer Night  
44 09/19/2025 Away    L *    77.85  23  27   3A 17 (27-24- 0) Winterset              -0.80     -3.20                      
45 09/26/2025 Home    W   *  87.22  53   0   4A 35 ( 9-37- 0) Des Moines North        8.56     44.44  Homecoming          
46 10/03/2025 Away    L * *  77.81  13  14   4A 17 (26-23- 0) Gilbert                -0.85     -0.15  Homecoming          
47 10/10/2025 Home    W * * 106.36  36  12   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar       27.70     -3.70  Senior Night        
48 10/17/2025 Away    L * *  93.05  36  38   4A  4 (41-15- 0) Alleman North Polk     14.39    -16.39  Football/Cheer Senior Night
49 10/24/2025 Away    W * *  91.49  42  35   4A 13 (21-28- 0) Huxley Ballard         12.84     -5.84                      
      Averages              78.05  28.6 25.8

Best game:  120.23 = 28 point win over Iowa City Liberty
Worst game:  42.85 = 38 point loss to Newton
Team stdev:  18.63