BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.97

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
10/29/2021   5A    9 ( 7- 2) Marion Linn-Mar        5A    6 ( 6- 3) WDM Dowling           171.12    8.21  71%   8.93  73%  13.97  83%
10/29/2021   5A   12 ( 4- 5) Ankeny Centennial      5A    8 ( 7- 2) WDM Valley            169.88    7.88  71%   7.49  70%   9.03  73%
10/29/2021   5A   11 ( 5- 4) Waukee Northwest       5A    1 ( 7- 2) Ankeny                166.76   20.13  92%  17.27  88%  19.87  92%
10/29/2021   5A   13 ( 6- 3) Cedar Falls            5A    5 ( 7- 2) Pleasant Valley       163.72   14.35  84%  12.64  81%  24.50  95%
10/29/2021   5A   10 ( 7- 2) Urbandale              5A    4 ( 8- 1) Iowa City High        163.23    9.51  74%  18.00  89%  23.40  95%
10/29/2021   5A   15 ( 5- 4) Dubuque Senior         5A    7 ( 9- 0) CR Kennedy            161.53   13.93  83%  12.67  81%  10.83  77%
10/29/2021   5A   14 ( 5- 4) Bettendorf             5A    3 ( 7- 2) CR Prairie            155.40   21.94  94%  22.67  94%   5.83  66%
10/29/2021   5A   19 ( 4- 5) Johnston               5A    2 ( 8- 1) Southeast Polk        139.52   36.83  99%  33.35  99%  34.45  99%
10/29/2021   4A    9 ( 7- 2) Spencer                4A    2 ( 7- 2) CB Lewis Central      166.82   14.24  84%   9.23  74%   1.58  54%
10/29/2021   4A   10 ( 6- 3) Norwalk                4A    8 ( 7- 2) Webster City          158.01   11.47  79%  12.53  81%  16.32  87%
10/29/2021   4A   13 ( 6- 3) Decorah                4A    3 ( 9- 0) Eldridge North Scott  157.05   21.15  93%  16.36  87%   6.15  66%
10/29/2021   4A   14 ( 7- 2) Fort Dodge             4A    6 ( 8- 1) Bondurant-Farrar      153.05   18.66  90%  16.24  87%  13.06  82%
10/29/2021   4A   15 ( 5- 4) Carlisle               4A    4 ( 8- 1) Indianola             149.02   24.49  95%  21.36  93%  10.29  76%
10/29/2021   4A   16 ( 6- 3) Clear Creek-Amana      4A    7 ( 7- 2) Winterset             147.85   22.60  94%  18.11  89%  11.11  78%
10/29/2021   4A   17 ( 5- 4) CR Washington          4A    1 ( 8- 1) Waverly-Shell Rock    146.87   33.21  99%  24.70  96%  19.51  91%
10/29/2021   4A   23 ( 7- 2) Burlington             4A    5 ( 8- 1) CR Xavier             136.21   30.41  98%  28.75  98%  28.44  98%
10/29/2021   3A    9 ( 7- 2) Adel ADM               3A    5 ( 8- 1) Nevada                157.47   17.22  88%  18.21  90%  15.85  86%
10/29/2021   3A   12 ( 5- 4) Algona                 3A    7 ( 7- 2) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  155.02   13.19  82%  12.65  81%  11.30  78%
10/29/2021   3A   11 ( 5- 4) Huxley Ballard         3A    2 ( 9- 0) Harlan                150.86   32.81  99%  25.86  96%  18.07  89%
10/29/2021   3A    8 ( 8- 1) Independence           3A   17 ( 8- 1) Van Horne Benton      150.67  -12.33  80% -12.69  81% -14.60  84%
10/29/2021   3A   13 ( 5- 4) Sioux Center           3A    1 ( 9- 0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley  145.07   35.66  99%  31.84  99%  30.58  98%
10/29/2021   3A   16 ( 6- 3) Davenport Assumption   3A    6 ( 9- 0) Solon                 144.73   22.74  94%  20.69  92%  15.88  86%
10/29/2021   3A   14 ( 5- 4) Hampton-Dumont-CAL     3A    3 ( 9- 0) Humboldt              142.36   32.52  99%  26.44  97%  22.71  94%
10/29/2021   3A   19 ( 6- 3) Grinnell               3A    4 ( 8- 1) West Delaware         135.96   35.56  99%  31.63  99%  29.91  98%
10/29/2021   2A    4 ( 7- 2) Spirit Lake            2A    9 ( 7- 2) Inwood West Lyon      166.40   -5.33  64%  -5.70  65%  -3.74  60%
10/29/2021   2A    7 ( 8- 1) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG    2A    6 ( 8- 1) Greene County         161.65    4.57  62%   7.14  69%   5.01  64%
10/29/2021   2A   16 ( 5- 4) Prairie City-Monroe    2A    8 ( 6- 3) Williamsburg          140.59   20.49  92%  15.35  86%  16.09  87%
10/29/2021   2A   19 ( 8- 1) North Fayette Valley   2A   12 ( 7- 2) Monticello            140.49    6.12  66%   7.14  69%   2.94  58%
10/29/2021   2A   11 ( 6- 3) Wellman Mid-Prairie    2A    5 ( 8- 1) West Marshall         138.48   22.91  94%  19.89  92%  19.76  91%
10/29/2021   2A   15 ( 6- 3) Iowa Falls-Alden       2A    2 ( 8- 1) Southeast Valley      132.75   29.56  98%  29.67  98%  32.89  99%
10/29/2021   2A   18 ( 6- 3) Clear Lake             2A    1 ( 6- 3) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  127.39   35.70  99%  35.24  99%  39.86 100%
10/29/2021   2A   26 ( 6- 3) Camanche               2A   10 ( 8- 1) Waukon                126.14   28.95  98%  24.30  95%  23.45  95%
10/29/2021   1A   10 ( 7- 2) Waterloo Columbus      1A    9 ( 9- 0) Sigourney-Keota       163.07    2.09  56%   2.26  56%  17.35  89%
10/29/2021   1A    7 ( 8- 1) Pella Christian        1A    3 ( 9- 0) Dike-New Hartford     160.76   10.07  76%   7.72  70%   4.20  61%
10/29/2021   1A   12 ( 7- 2) Monona MFL-MarMac      1A   11 ( 9- 0) Iowa City Regina      153.36    7.10  69%   8.74  73%  10.50  77%
10/29/2021   1A    6 ( 8- 1) Guthrie Center GC-A-   1A   14 ( 8- 1) South Cent Calhoun    149.01  -13.74  83% -15.43  86%  -9.93  75%
10/29/2021   1A   13 ( 4- 5) Western Christian      1A    2 ( 9- 0) Underwood             144.29   31.59  99%  23.03  94%  28.77  98%
10/29/2021   1A   15 ( 7- 2) West Branch            1A    5 ( 9- 0) Dyersville Beckman    141.80   21.61  93%  18.45  90%  17.42  89%
10/29/2021   1A   16 ( 6- 3) Holstein Ridge View    1A    4 ( 8- 1) Hawarden West Sioux   135.59   27.24  97%  24.56  96%  17.61  89%
10/29/2021   1A   28 ( 6- 3) Woodward-Granger       1A    1 ( 9- 0) Van Meter             112.59   55.39 100%  53.21 100%  57.96 100%
10/29/2021    A    9 ( 6- 3) Earlham                 A    2 ( 8- 1) Grundy Center         147.67   24.30  95%  10.58  77%  13.90  83%
10/29/2021    A   11 ( 8- 1) East Buchanan           A   14 ( 8- 1) Lisbon                143.78    0.74  52%   0.72  52%  -5.25  64%
10/29/2021    A   13 ( 7- 2) Traer North Tama        A   17 ( 8- 1) Lynnville-Sully       142.33    0.16  50%  -0.08  50%  10.39  76%
10/29/2021    A    4 ( 8- 1) Logan-Magnolia          A   12 ( 7- 2) Mount Ayr             138.95  -15.84  86% -13.26  82%  -5.24  64%
10/29/2021    A    8 ( 8- 1) Greene North Butler     A    6 ( 7- 2) Hartley HMS           138.79    9.18  74%  13.31  82%  15.72  86%
10/29/2021    A   16 ( 7- 2) Wapsie Valley           A    5 ( 9- 0) North Linn            132.81   20.63  92%  17.79  89%   9.97  75%
10/29/2021    A   10 ( 7- 2) South O'Brien           A    1 ( 9- 0) Britt West Hancock    131.89   26.28  97%  23.39  95%  28.91  98%
10/29/2021    A   20 ( 7- 2) Southwest Valley        A    3 ( 8- 1) Woodbury Central      114.37   28.69  98%  33.64  99%  30.23  98%
10/29/2021    8    6 ( 8- 1) Newell-Fonda            8    4 ( 9- 0) Lenox                 110.69    9.82  75%   4.13  61%  -7.00  69%
10/29/2021    8    7 ( 8- 1) Ruthven GTRA            8   15 ( 7- 2) Don Bosco             100.66   -9.50  74%  -6.29  67% -14.91  85%
10/29/2021    8    9 ( 5- 4) Kingsley-Pierson        8    2 ( 9- 0) Remsen St Mary         94.75   32.91  99%  20.97  93%  21.02  93%
10/29/2021    8   16 ( 8- 1) Lansing Kee             8   12 ( 9- 0) Turkey Valley          90.18    9.63  75%   9.38  74%   5.44  65%
10/29/2021    8   13 ( 9- 0) Wayland WACO            8   28 ( 7- 2) Martensdale-St Marys   86.14  -13.79  83%  -5.82  66% -25.49  96%
10/29/2021    8    8 ( 6- 3) Tabor Fremont-Mills     8    1 ( 9- 0) Anita CAM              85.77   39.58 100%  43.13 100%  45.16 100%
10/29/2021    8    3 ( 8- 1) Audubon                 8   10 (10- 0) Montezuma              82.20  -25.81  96% -30.46  98% -40.48 100%
10/29/2021    8   23 ( 7- 1) English Valleys         8    5 ( 9- 0) Easton Valley          75.89   38.67 100%  28.12  97%  17.87  89%