BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Ottumwa

Class: 5A Class Rank: 27 Conference: 5A-5 Record: (1-3) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =   71.49

 N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-26-2022 Away    W    72.17  21  20   4A 29 ( 1- 8) Oskaloosa               0.68      0.32                      
 2 09-02-2022 Home    W    80.41  22  16   3A 28 ( 4- 5) Fairfield               8.92     -2.92                      
 3 09-09-2022 Away    L    67.21  14  34   5A 23 ( 3- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   -4.28    -15.72                      
 4 09-16-2022 Home    L    47.14   7  42   4A 23 ( 5- 4) Burlington            -24.35    -10.65                      
 5 09-23-2022 Away    L *  68.51  14  49   5A 15 ( 7- 4) CR Prairie             -2.98    -32.02                      
 6 09-30-2022 Away    W *  94.07  54   6   5A 36 ( 0- 9) CR Jefferson           22.58     25.42                      
 7 10-07-2022 Home    L *  75.58   7  35   5A 12 ( 6- 4) Marion Linn-Mar         4.09    -32.09                      
 8 10-14-2022 Home    W    80.07  32  20   5A 26 ( 4- 6) Des Moines North        8.58      3.42                      
 9 10-21-2022 Away    L *  58.24  34  42   5A 30 ( 3- 6) Waterloo West         -13.25      5.25                      
      Averages              71.49  22.8 29.3

Best game:   94.07 = 48 point win over Cedar Rapids Jefferson
Worst game:  47.14 = 35 point loss to Burlington
Team stdev:  13.58