BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.86

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
11/11/2022   5A    6 ( 8- 3) Johnston               5A    2 (10- 1) Southeast Polk        107.64   17.99  91%  14.92  86%   7.66  71%
11/11/2022   5A    7 ( 7- 4) WDM Valley             5A    1 (10- 1) WDM Dowling           103.87   23.27  96%  20.34  93%  22.39  95%
11/10/2022   4A    4 (10- 1) Carlisle               4A    2 (12- 0) CB Lewis Central      116.46    7.30  71%   5.47  66%  18.81  92%
11/10/2022   4A    5 ( 9- 2) Eldridge North Scott   4A    1 (11- 0) CR Xavier             110.68   12.10  81%  13.78  85%   9.72  76%
11/12/2022   3A    3 (10- 1) Adel ADM               3A    1 (10- 1) Harlan                113.88   16.08  88%  10.27  78%  20.19  93%
11/12/2022   3A    5 (10- 1) Humboldt               3A    2 (11- 0) Mount Vernon          104.52   13.45  84%   7.87  72%  12.47  82%
11/12/2022   2A    5 ( 9- 2) Dubuque Wahlert        2A    2 (11- 0) Williamsburg          106.48   11.05  79%   6.24  68%  -5.53  66%
11/12/2022   2A    6 (10- 1) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG    2A    1 (11- 0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  100.26   25.35  97%  16.64  89%  11.73  81%
11/11/2022   1A    4 (11- 0) West Branch            1A    1 (10- 1) Van Meter             115.07    9.10  75%  -0.77  52%  13.43  84%
11/11/2022   1A    3 (11- 1) Underwood              1A    2 (10- 1) Hawarden West Sioux   113.53    0.73  52%   2.20  56%   6.28  68%
11/10/2022    A    3 (11- 0) Woodbury Central        A    2 (11- 0) Grundy Center         100.22    2.72  58%   6.76  69%  10.48  78%
11/10/2022    A    5 (11- 0) Lynnville-Sully         A    1 (11- 0) Britt West Hancock     93.36   10.16  77%  11.65  81%   7.22  70%
11/09/2022    8    2 (11- 0) Lenox                   8    1 (11- 0) Remsen St Mary        102.46   20.22  93%  18.41  91%  15.78  88%
11/09/2022    8    4 (10- 1) Newell-Fonda            8    3 (12- 0) Wayland WACO          101.06   11.44  80%   0.64  52%   5.87  67%