BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.74

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
10/28/2022   5A    7 ( 6- 3) Iowa City High         5A   10 ( 6- 3) Johnston              112.62    1.59  55%  -3.59  61%  -0.90  53%
10/28/2022   5A    9 ( 5- 4) Waukee Northwest       5A   12 ( 7- 2) CR Kennedy            110.64    0.65  52%  -0.82  52%  -0.63  52%
10/28/2022   5A   11 ( 5- 4) WDM Valley             5A    3 ( 9- 0) Pleasant Valley       107.13   19.72  93%  10.55  78%  13.03  83%
10/28/2022   5A    5 ( 8- 2) Sioux City East        5A    4 ( 8- 1) Ankeny                106.86   12.97  83%  13.81  85%  18.87  92%
10/28/2022   5A    8 ( 5- 4) Ankeny Centennial      5A   14 ( 7- 2) Cedar Falls           104.40   -7.98  72%  -5.32  65%  -3.36  60%
10/28/2022   5A    6 ( 6- 3) Marion Linn-Mar        5A   16 ( 6- 3) CR Prairie             99.59   -9.14  75%  -6.51  69%  -5.50  66%
10/28/2022   5A   17 ( 6- 3) Ames                   5A    2 ( 8- 1) Southeast Polk         83.67   36.20 100%  31.03  99%  27.51  98%
10/28/2022   5A   23 ( 7- 2) Davenport West         5A    1 ( 8- 1) WDM Dowling            56.88   51.89 100%  52.77 100%  53.32 100%
10/28/2022   4A    8 ( 6- 3) Webster City           4A    7 ( 8- 1) Iowa City Liberty     110.34    7.67  72%   6.15  68%  -0.27  51%
10/28/2022   4A    9 ( 6- 3) Indianola              4A    6 ( 8- 1) Bondurant-Farrar      102.41   11.29  80%  10.56  78%  12.78  83%
10/28/2022   4A   10 ( 6- 3) Western Dubuque        4A    4 ( 7- 2) Eldridge North Scott  100.40   16.09  89%  12.54  83%  10.97  79%
10/28/2022   4A   14 ( 6- 4) Glenwood               4A   11 ( 7- 2) Spencer                96.62    7.16  70%   5.88  67%   1.56  55%
10/28/2022   4A   15 ( 7- 2) Newton                 4A    5 ( 8- 1) Carlisle               87.01   21.83  95%  20.50  94%   7.77  72%
10/28/2022   4A   16 ( 6- 3) LeMars                 4A    3 (10- 0) CB Lewis Central       85.13   32.40  99%  25.42  97%  20.56  94%
10/28/2022   4A   17 ( 5- 4) CR Washington          4A    1 ( 9- 0) CR Xavier              72.21   42.87 100%  42.51 100%  43.09 100%
10/28/2022   4A   25 ( 7- 2) Fort Madison           4A    2 ( 9- 0) Waverly-Shell Rock     61.20   50.90 100%  46.17 100%  40.16 100%
10/28/2022   3A    7 ( 5- 4) West Delaware          3A    5 ( 7- 2) Solon                 100.17    9.52  76%   8.25  73%   5.93  67%
10/28/2022   3A   14 ( 6- 3) Van Horne Benton       3A   10 ( 9- 1) Independence           95.06    3.82  61%   3.78  61%  12.89  83%
10/28/2022   3A   15 ( 6- 3) Creston COM            3A    4 ( 7- 2) Alleman North Polk     87.41   19.21  92%  18.08  91%  25.25  97%
10/28/2022   3A    8 ( 7- 2) Nevada                 3A   17 ( 5- 4) Sioux Center           87.26   -9.19  75%  -9.69  77%  -3.54  60%
10/28/2022   3A    9 ( 6- 3) MOC-Floyd Valley       3A    1 ( 8- 1) Harlan                 83.78   36.54 100%  30.06  99%  31.07  99%
10/28/2022   3A   19 ( 6- 3) Hampton-Dumont-CAL     3A    6 ( 8- 1) Humboldt               76.79   23.30  96%  22.99  96%  27.80  98%
10/28/2022   3A   20 ( 6- 3) Central Clinton        3A    2 ( 9- 0) Mount Vernon           72.23   40.26 100%  33.01  99%  41.39 100%
10/28/2022   3A   27 ( 5- 4) Grinnell               3A    3 ( 8- 1) Adel ADM               60.02   39.41 100%  38.53 100%  29.23  99%
10/28/2022   2A    6 ( 7- 2) Dubuque Wahlert        2A    3 ( 9- 0) West Marshall         110.23   11.05  80%   0.19  51%   1.00  53%
10/28/2022   2A    8 ( 6- 3) Cresco Crestwood       2A    7 ( 6- 3) Waukon                103.62    2.98  59%   0.33  51%   7.04  70%
10/28/2022   2A   10 ( 8- 1) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG    2A    5 ( 7- 2) Osage                 102.60   10.00  77%   5.58  66%   8.25  73%
10/28/2022   2A    9 ( 7- 2) Inwood West Lyon       2A   12 ( 8- 1) Greene County         101.03    0.60  52%   0.76  52%  -2.66  58%
10/28/2022   2A   13 ( 5- 4) Clear Lake             2A    4 ( 9- 0) Spirit Lake            90.52   17.30  90%  19.19  92%  18.02  91%
10/28/2022   2A   14 ( 6- 3) Clarinda               2A    1 ( 9- 0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   80.23   42.68 100%  30.67  99%  29.25  99%
10/28/2022   2A   22 ( 7- 2) Centerville            2A   17 ( 7- 2) Monticello             73.21    7.48  71%  17.31  90%  22.34  95%
10/28/2022   2A   28 ( 6- 3) Wellman Mid-Prairie    2A    2 ( 9- 0) Williamsburg           61.52   46.73 100%  38.03 100%  40.73 100%
10/28/2022   1A    9 ( 7- 2) Dike-New Hartford      1A    6 ( 8- 1) Monona MFL-MarMac     108.88    3.35  60%   0.96  53%   7.68  72%
10/28/2022   1A    5 ( 8- 1) Carroll Kuemper        1A    4 ( 8- 1) Hawarden West Sioux   104.00    3.59  61%   6.89  70%   5.87  67%
10/28/2022   1A   10 ( 8- 1) Mediapolis             1A   14 ( 7- 2) Sigourney-Keota        99.26   -5.56  66%  -0.34  51%   5.54  66%
10/28/2022   1A    8 ( 8- 1) Pella Christian        1A   11 ( 8- 1) South Hamilton         97.00   -7.69  72%  -6.80  69%  -1.40  54%
10/28/2022   1A   15 ( 7- 2) Western Christian      1A    7 ( 8- 1) Aplington AP           95.01   14.47  86%   8.92  75%   6.46  69%
10/28/2022   1A   12 ( 6- 3) Waterloo Columbus      1A    2 ( 9- 0) West Branch            87.18   21.28  94%  24.83  97%  20.61  94%
10/28/2022   1A   19 ( 6- 3) Woodward-Granger       1A    3 ( 8- 1) Van Meter              72.85   32.92  99%  28.45  98%  31.28  99%
10/28/2022   1A   23 ( 7- 2) Guthrie Center GC-A-   1A    1 ( 9- 1) Underwood              67.06   41.73 100%  32.33  99%  33.76  99%
10/28/2022    A    3 ( 7- 2) Wapsie Valley           A    1 ( 9- 0) Britt West Hancock    103.51    9.92  77%   6.42  68%   6.72  69%
10/28/2022    A   11 ( 8- 1) LeMars Gehlen           A    5 ( 9- 0) Woodbury Central       92.21   11.51  81%   7.59  71%   0.53  52%
10/28/2022    A    7 ( 8- 1) East Buchanan           A   12 ( 8- 1) Alburnett              87.66   -5.53  66%  -9.59  76% -20.90  94%
10/28/2022    A   14 ( 8- 1) Mount Ayr               A    6 ( 9- 0) Lynnville-Sully        84.07   14.24  86%  10.50  78%  12.87  83%
10/28/2022    A   10 ( 8- 1) Columbus Junction       A    2 ( 9- 0) Grundy Center          80.19   16.45  89%  22.80  96%  18.05  91%
10/28/2022    A   16 ( 6- 3) Hinton                  A    8 ( 7- 2) Hartley HMS            77.58   17.85  91%  17.32  90%  16.09  89%
10/28/2022    A   15 ( 8- 1) Mason City Newman       A    9 ( 8- 1) North Linn             77.05   15.87  88%  19.31  93%  22.84  96%
10/28/2022    A   21 ( 7- 2) Southwest Valley        A    4 ( 9- 0) Avoca AHSTW            67.68   27.59  98%  22.26  95%  13.54  84%
10/28/2022    8    8 ( 7- 2) Anita CAM               8    2 ( 9- 0) Lenox                 102.88   15.79  88%   4.25  62%   3.28  60%
10/28/2022    8    6 ( 7- 2) Tabor Fremont-Mills     8   11 ( 9- 1) Southeast Warren       95.91   -5.26  65%  -6.57  69%   2.02  56%
10/28/2022    8    9 ( 8- 1) Newell-Fonda            8    4 ( 8- 0) Don Bosco              93.75   10.25  78%   5.74  67%  -0.94  53%
10/28/2022    8   12 ( 8- 1) Ruthven GTRA            8   13 ( 9- 0) West Harrison          91.67   -1.13  53%  -4.12  62%  -8.42  74%
10/28/2022    8    7 ( 7- 2) West Bend-Mallard       8    1 ( 9- 0) Remsen St Mary         89.33   32.74  99%  25.59  97%  27.98  98%
10/28/2022    8   16 ( 8- 1) Central City            8    5 (10- 0) Wayland WACO           87.24   20.66  94%   7.77  72%  13.56  84%
10/28/2022    8   10 ( 8- 1) Gladbrook-Reinbeck      8   19 ( 7- 1) Turkey Valley          83.19  -12.26  82%  -7.64  72%  -6.48  69%
10/28/2022    8    3 ( 7- 1) Easton Valley           8   29 ( 8- 2) Montezuma              60.47  -36.54 100% -31.26  99% -26.94  98%