BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.76

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
11/08/2024   5A    7 ( 6- 4) Ankeny                 5A    4 ( 9- 1) Iowa City Liberty     187.97    4.51  63%   1.00  53%  -4.04  62%
11/08/2024   5A    1 ( 8- 2) Johnston               5A    3 ( 8- 2) WDM Valley            186.95   -2.65  58%  -4.18  63% -11.13  80%
11/08/2024   5A    2 ( 8- 2) Ankeny Centennial      5A    5 ( 9- 1) WDM Dowling           186.31   -5.22  66%  -1.55  55%  -0.68  52%
11/08/2024   5A    9 ( 6- 4) Iowa City West         5A    8 ( 6- 4) Southeast Polk        176.62    7.64  72%   6.29  68%  -6.39  69%
11/08/2024   4A    2 ( 8- 2) Adel ADM               4A    3 ( 9- 1) CB Lewis Central      168.47    1.54  55%   1.81  56%  -3.03  59%
11/08/2024   4A    9 ( 9- 1) Gilbert                4A    6 ( 9- 1) Pella                 164.26    2.99  59%  -0.91  53%  -6.92  70%
11/08/2024   4A    5 ( 8- 2) Eldridge North Scott   4A    4 (10- 0) Decorah               160.95    3.59  61%   6.26  68%   3.68  61%
11/08/2024   4A   10 ( 7- 3) CR Xavier              4A    1 (10- 0) Alleman North Polk    159.38    9.81  77%   9.37  76%  17.73  91%
11/08/2024   3A    6 ( 8- 2) Independence           3A    3 (10- 0) Dubuque Wahlert       168.06    4.18  63%   3.35  60%   3.65  61%
11/08/2024   3A    9 ( 8- 2) Solon                  3A    8 ( 9- 1) Humboldt              166.08    2.48  58%   0.46  51%   5.99  68%
11/08/2024   3A    2 ( 9- 1) Mount Vernon           3A    4 ( 9- 1) Algona                165.99   -0.19  51%  -1.35  54%   3.38  60%
11/08/2024   3A   12 ( 8- 2) Nevada                 3A    1 (10- 0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  155.97   16.56  90%   9.27  76%   9.44  76%
11/08/2024   2A    5 ( 9- 1) North Fayette Valley   2A    3 ( 9- 1) Spirit Lake           153.02    9.08  76%  13.38  85%  19.55  93%
11/08/2024   2A    6 ( 9- 1) Carroll Kuemper        2A    2 (10- 0) Inwood West Lyon      144.83   25.37  97%  22.40  96%  25.12  97%
11/08/2024   2A   11 ( 9- 1) Anamosa                2A    4 ( 9- 1) Van Meter             141.84   21.98  95%  14.32  86%   7.43  72%
11/08/2024   2A   12 ( 7- 3) Wellman Mid-Prairie    2A    1 (10- 0) Prairie City-Monroe   135.87   33.63  99%  26.29  98%  20.91  95%
11/08/2024   1A    3 ( 9- 1) Wilton                 1A    8 ( 9- 1) Iowa City Regina      148.38   -8.47  74%  -4.24  63%  -1.32  54%
11/08/2024   1A    7 ( 9- 1) Eldora South Hardin    1A    2 ( 9- 1) Dike-New Hartford     145.04   22.26  96%  12.68  83%  18.44  92%
11/08/2024   1A    9 ( 7- 3) SumnerFredericksburg   1A    1 (10- 0) Grundy Center         139.22   28.32  98%  14.49  87%   7.37  71%
11/08/2024   1A   13 ( 6- 4) Underwood              1A    4 ( 9- 1) Hinton                131.96   14.65  87%  17.27  91%  21.74  95%
11/08/2024    A    9 ( 8- 2) Woodbury Central        A    4 (10- 0) Britt West Hancock    138.95    6.71  70%   3.40  60%  14.48  87%
11/08/2024    A    7 ( 8- 2) Madrid                  A    2 (10- 0) Lisbon                138.16    9.83  77%   3.20  60%  -0.59  52%
11/08/2024    A    5 ( 9- 1) Maquoketa Valley        A    3 ( 9- 1) Saint Ansgar          135.13    5.58  67%   7.18  71%   1.57  55%
11/08/2024    A    1 ( 9- 1) Neola Tri-Center        A    8 (10- 0) Guthrie Center GC-AC  133.82  -11.81  82% -13.44  85% -16.50  90%
11/07/2024    8    4 (10- 0) Audubon                 8    3 (10- 0) Remsen St Mary        102.27    9.05  76%   6.44  69%  17.10  90%
11/07/2024    8    7 (10- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg      8    5 (10- 0) Algona Garrigan        98.90    9.70  77%   3.46  60%   0.53  52%
11/07/2024    8    6 ( 9- 1) Gladbrook-Reinbeck      8    2 (10- 0) Don Bosco              98.09   12.53  83%   9.88  78%  10.66  79%
11/07/2024    8   15 (10- 1) Montezuma               8    1 (10- 0) Lenox                  85.80   34.77 100%  12.33  83%  24.61  97%