BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.54

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
11/01/2024   5A    9 ( 5- 4) Cedar Falls            5A    6 ( 8- 1) WDM Dowling           181.98    2.77  58%   1.69  55%   4.93  65%
11/01/2024   5A    7 ( 5- 4) Southeast Polk         5A    5 ( 7- 2) Pleasant Valley       181.20    4.75  64%   4.63  64%   5.26  66%
11/01/2024   5A   10 ( 6- 3) Waukee                 5A    4 ( 8- 1) Iowa City Liberty     178.42    9.51  77%   7.06  71%   7.02  70%
11/01/2024   5A   11 ( 5- 4) Iowa City West         5A   15 ( 8- 1) Bettendorf            175.45   -1.95  56%  -3.13  59%  -9.44  77%
11/01/2024   5A   12 ( 7- 2) Marion Linn-Mar        5A    8 ( 5- 4) Ankeny                174.76    7.45  72%   9.32  76%  19.35  93%
11/01/2024   5A   16 ( 6- 3) Iowa City High         5A    2 ( 7- 2) Ankeny Centennial     169.12   19.16  93%  13.39  85%   9.30  76%
11/01/2024   5A   18 ( 6- 3) Sioux City East        5A    3 ( 7- 2) WDM Valley            152.60   29.40  99%  25.37  97%  25.05  97%
11/01/2024   5A   20 ( 6- 3) Waterloo West          5A    1 ( 7- 2) Johnston              129.10   40.83 100%  44.50 100%  51.23 100%
11/01/2024   4A   10 ( 6- 3) Western Dubuque        4A    9 ( 7- 2) Eldridge North Scott  162.04    2.19  57%  -0.58  52%   1.24  54%
11/01/2024   4A    7 ( 6- 3) Newton                 4A    3 ( 9- 0) Decorah               159.22    6.34  69%   7.26  71%  10.69  79%
11/01/2024   4A   12 ( 5- 4) Huxley Ballard         4A    2 ( 8- 1) CB Lewis Central      158.77    9.16  76%   7.68  72%   3.87  62%
11/01/2024   4A   13 ( 6- 3) CR Xavier              4A   11 ( 6- 3) Norwalk               158.67    3.18  60%   3.44  60%   9.12  76%
11/01/2024   4A   14 ( 6- 3) Waverly-Shell Rock     4A    6 ( 8- 1) Gilbert               153.86    7.60  72%   8.57  74%  11.06  80%
11/01/2024   4A    4 ( 7- 2) Adel ADM               4A   15 ( 6- 3) Spencer               149.47  -11.88  82% -11.97  82% -10.52  79%
11/01/2024   4A   19 ( 6- 3) Clear Creek-Amana      4A    8 ( 8- 1) Pella                 145.91   16.52  90%  10.56  79%   7.19  71%
11/01/2024   4A   20 ( 7- 2) Fort Dodge             4A    1 ( 9- 0) Alleman North Polk    135.62   25.72  98%  24.25  97%  25.15  97%
11/01/2024   3A    2 ( 7- 2) Williamsburg           3A    4 ( 7- 2) Independence          167.33   -0.93  53%   1.58  55%   1.36  54%
11/01/2024   3A   12 ( 6- 3) Clear Lake             3A    8 ( 8- 1) Humboldt              160.40    5.24  66%   3.29  60%   0.39  51%
11/01/2024   3A    9 ( 7- 2) Solon                  3A   10 ( 7- 2) Van Horne Benton      158.31    0.86  53%  -4.15  62%   5.86  67%
11/01/2024   3A   14 ( 6- 3) Carroll                3A    5 ( 8- 1) Mount Vernon          154.05   11.06  80%   7.72  72%  10.99  80%
11/01/2024   3A   13 ( 6- 3) Bishop Heelan          3A   11 ( 7- 2) Nevada                153.97    4.43  63%   5.71  67%   7.42  72%
11/01/2024   3A   15 ( 6- 3) MOC-Floyd Valley       3A    1 ( 9- 0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  149.11   22.09  95%  13.96  86%  11.24  81%
11/01/2024   3A   16 ( 6- 3) Harlan                 3A    7 ( 8- 1) Algona                144.41   15.85  89%  12.34  83%  11.75  82%
11/01/2024   3A   19 ( 4- 5) Davenport Assumption   3A    3 ( 9- 0) Dubuque Wahlert       125.33   28.70  99%  30.09  99%  32.32  99%
11/01/2024   2A    8 ( 6- 3) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   2A    6 ( 8- 1) Carroll Kuemper       153.19    4.43  63%   1.70  55%   6.45  69%
11/01/2024   2A   16 ( 7- 2) West Marshall          2A    4 ( 8- 1) Van Meter             140.52   20.73  94%  11.73  82%   4.97  65%
11/01/2024   2A   15 ( 4- 5) Cresco Crestwood       2A    5 ( 8- 1) North Fayette Valley  138.29   18.81  93%  14.58  87%  10.14  78%
11/01/2024   2A    9 ( 6- 3) Western Christian      2A    2 ( 9- 0) Inwood West Lyon      136.05   29.84  99%  27.37  98%  21.78  95%
11/01/2024   2A   14 ( 6- 3) Osage                  2A    3 ( 8- 1) Spirit Lake           132.71   27.02  98%  26.29  98%  23.39  96%
11/01/2024   2A   21 ( 5- 4) Mediapolis             2A   12 ( 6- 3) Wellman Mid-Prairie   130.68   11.97  82%  12.04  82%  13.29  85%
11/01/2024   2A   23 ( 8- 1) WB-Notre Dame          2A   11 ( 8- 1) Anamosa               127.98   12.72  84%  13.39  85%  13.09  84%
11/01/2024   2A   20 ( 5- 4) Greene County          2A    1 ( 9- 0) Prairie City-Monroe   119.65   43.54 100%  36.42 100%  31.03  99%
11/01/2024   1A    4 ( 8- 1) Hinton                 1A    5 ( 7- 2) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG   153.00   -0.43  51%  -0.83  53%  -3.50  61%
11/01/2024   1A    6 ( 8- 1) Emmetsburg             1A    7 ( 8- 1) Eldora South Hardin   150.91    0.27  51%  -0.66  52%  -4.42  63%
11/01/2024   1A    8 ( 7- 2) Monona MFL-MarMac      1A    3 ( 8- 1) Wilton                144.21   10.01  78%   6.16  68%   1.73  55%
11/01/2024   1A   15 ( 5- 4) Underwood              1A   12 ( 8- 1) Treynor               136.44    3.60  61%   3.04  59%   6.21  68%
11/01/2024   1A   10 ( 6- 3) SumnerFredericksburg   1A   18 ( 8- 1) Manson NW Webster     128.52   -8.66  75% -11.87  82% -11.42  81%
11/01/2024   1A    9 ( 8- 1) Iowa City Regina       1A   20 ( 8- 1) Woodward-Granger      127.65  -10.79  80% -12.71  84%  -2.80  59%
11/01/2024   1A   21 ( 3- 6) West Branch            1A    1 ( 9- 0) Grundy Center         118.47   42.71 100%  27.23  98%  32.82  99%
11/01/2024   1A   29 ( 5- 4) South Hamilton         1A    2 ( 8- 1) Dike-New Hartford      87.69   55.50 100%  51.80 100%  46.22 100%
11/01/2024    A    9 ( 7- 2) Woodbury Central        A    6 ( 8- 1) LeMars Gehlen         136.43    5.05  65%   2.91  59%   9.76  77%
11/01/2024    A    7 ( 8- 1) Packwood Pekin          A   10 ( 7- 2) Madrid                135.94   -1.11  53%  -1.84  56%   3.52  61%
11/01/2024    A   11 ( 7- 2) Marcus MMCRU            A    4 ( 9- 0) Britt West Hancock    124.31   17.87  91%  12.87  84%  16.74  90%
11/01/2024    A    3 ( 8- 1) Saint Ansgar            A   17 ( 7- 2) Wapsie Valley         120.37  -22.57  96% -15.47  88% -18.40  92%
11/01/2024    A   13 ( 7- 2) Mount Ayr               A    8 ( 9- 0) Guthrie Center GC-AC  120.19   12.27  83%  11.60  81%  12.88  84%
11/01/2024    A   15 ( 7- 2) Oakland Riverside       A    2 ( 8- 1) Neola Tri-Center      116.79   25.44  97%  23.03  96%  29.70  99%
11/01/2024    A   21 ( 6- 3) Nashua-Plainfield       A    5 ( 8- 1) Maquoketa Valley      101.03   31.19  99%  26.91  98%  37.08 100%
11/01/2024    A   23 ( 7- 2) Bellevue                A    1 ( 9- 0) Lisbon                100.80   36.63 100%  27.69  98%  23.40  96%
11/01/2024    8    7 ( 8- 1) Woodbine                8    8 ( 9- 0) Audubon                97.79   -1.76  55% -12.62  83%  -9.97  78%
11/01/2024    8    5 ( 8- 1) Janesville              8    9 ( 9- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg     92.03   -6.70  70%   5.75  67%   2.94  59%
11/01/2024    8   10 ( 8- 1) Bedford                 8   16 ( 9- 1) Montezuma              87.64  -11.47  81%  -9.78  77% -23.78  97%
11/01/2024    8   12 ( 8- 1) Marengo Iowa Valley     8    6 ( 8- 1) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     86.98   16.69  90%  11.00  80%  16.24  89%
11/01/2024    8   18 ( 6- 3) Westside Ar-We-Va       8    2 ( 9- 0) Lenox                  83.67   39.00 100%  12.67  83%  12.12  82%
11/01/2024    8   15 ( 8- 1) Riceville               8    4 ( 9- 0) Algona Garrigan        81.97   22.16  96%  13.64  85%  -4.40  63%
11/01/2024    8   17 ( 8- 1) Wayland WACO            8    3 ( 9- 0) Don Bosco              68.59   33.97 100%  28.78  99%  22.30  96%
11/01/2024    8   19 ( 7- 2) Anita CAM               8    1 ( 9- 0) Remsen St Mary         67.83   45.34 100%  30.23  99%  46.10 100%