BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Ottumwa
Class: 5A Class Rank: 30 Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength = 53.48
Conference: Iowa Alliance Record: (3-0) | District: 5A-01 Record: (1-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2025 Home W 53.50 7 0 4A 32 ( 0- 9) Oskaloosa 1.94 17.50 5.06
2 09-05-2025 Away L 43.61 0 49 5A 16 ( 7- 3) Dallas Center-Grimes -7.95 * -12.69 -41.05
3 09-12-2025 Home W * * 70.88 35 6 5A 36 ( 1- 8) Des Moines East 19.32 2.61 9.68 Senior Night
4 09-19-2025 Home W * 52.97 21 14 5A 33 ( 3- 6) Des Moines Lincoln 1.41 22.73 5.59 Homecoming
5 09-26-2025 Away L * 42.74 6 70 5A 8 ( 6- 5) Southeast Polk -8.82 * -35.49 -55.18
6 10-03-2025 Away L * 48.39 0 70 5A 2 (10- 1) Waukee Northwest -3.17 * -58.22 -66.83
7 10-10-2025 Home L * 61.89 13 38 5A 18 ( 5- 4) Norwalk 10.33 * -25.26 -35.33 Band Lighted Halftime Performance and OYFL Night
8 10-16-2025 Away W * 55.96 20 18 5A 35 ( 2- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt 4.39 13.65 -2.39
9 10-24-2025 Away L * 34.11 14 60 5A 24 ( 2- 7) Iowa City High -17.46 -14.08 -28.54
Averages 51.56 12.9 36.1
Best game: 70.88 = 29 point win over Des Moines East
Worst game: 34.11 = 46 point loss to Iowa City High
Team stdev: 10.96