BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.97

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
11/14/2025   5A    3 ( 9- 2) WDM Valley             5A    1 (10- 1) WDM Dowling           109.06    9.05  76%   8.13  74%  10.79  81%
11/14/2025   5A    4 (10- 1) Iowa City Liberty      5A    2 (10- 1) Waukee Northwest      101.89    9.96  79%   9.69  78%  11.08  81%
11/13/2025   4A    3 (10- 1) Newton                 4A    1 (11- 0) CR Xavier              92.46   20.79  95%  15.91  90%  15.74  90%
11/13/2025   4A    7 (10- 1) Pella                  4A    2 (10- 1) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   90.93   13.16  85%  10.79  81%  17.06  91%
11/15/2025   3A    4 ( 9- 2) Dubuque Wahlert        3A    2 ( 9- 2) Bishop Heelan          95.89    3.88  62%   2.78  59%   2.03  56%
11/15/2025   3A    5 ( 9- 2) Nevada                 3A    3 (11- 0) Solon                  89.55    4.05  63%   8.03  74%   1.69  55%
11/15/2025   2A    5 ( 9- 2) Van Meter              2A   11 (11- 0) Osage                  79.67   -7.01  71%  -3.94  62%  -4.38  64%
11/15/2025   2A    7 ( 9- 2) Wilton                 2A    1 (11- 0) Carroll Kuemper        64.71   22.54  96%  27.43  99%  19.50  94%
11/14/2025   1A    2 (11- 0) Iowa City Regina       1A    3 (11- 0) Grundy Center          89.34   -1.51  55%   2.03  56%   9.27  77%
11/14/2025   1A    5 (10- 1) Eldora South Hardin    1A    1 (11- 0) Inwood West Lyon       71.14   25.27  98%  26.79  98%  18.67  93%
11/13/2025    A    3 (10- 1) Hawarden West Sioux     A    1 (11- 0) Marcus MMCRU           88.26   11.54  82%   4.49  64%   9.68  78%
11/13/2025    A    5 (11- 0) Wapsie Valley           A    2 (11- 0) Saint Ansgar           76.39   15.23  89%   7.80  73%   7.42  72%
11/12/2025    8    4 (11- 0) Audubon                 8    3 (11- 0) Algona Garrigan       126.41    3.91  62%   1.24  54%  -6.08  69%
11/12/2025    8    2 (11- 0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck      8    1 (10- 0) Woodbine              111.82    2.49  58%   9.91  79%  10.40  80%