BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ottumwa

Class: 5A Class Rank: 29 Overall: (2-6) Overall Strength =   62.06
Conference: Iowa Alliance Record: (1-2) | District: 5A-01 Record: (1-3)
                                                                                       pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk (W-L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08-28-2026 Away    W      67.91  31  12   4A 33 (0-8) Oskaloosa               2.94      3.28   16.06                      
 2 09-04-2026 Home    L      50.10   0  54   5A  9 (6-2) Dallas Center-Grimes  -14.86 *  -19.23  -39.14  Band Halftime Performance/Youth Cheer Performance
 3 09-11-2026 Away    W * *  69.14  20  13   5A 31 (1-7) Des Moines East         4.18     -1.48    2.82                      
 4 09-18-2026 Away    L *    54.24   8  29   5A 24 (4-4) Des Moines Lincoln    -10.72     11.87  -10.28  Homecoming          
 5 09-25-2026 Home    L   *  91.98  13  35   5A  3 (7-1) Southeast Polk         27.02 *  -64.73  -49.02  OCSD 6-12 Band Night Performance
 6 10-02-2026 Home    L   *  67.29   0  49   5A  4 (5-3) Waukee Northwest        2.33 *  -52.08  -51.33                      
 7 10-09-2026 Away    L   *  59.28   0  27   5A 21 (4-4) Norwalk                -5.69    -21.19  -21.31                      
 8 10-16-2026 Home    L *    59.75   7  28   5A 22 (5-3) Des Moines Roosevelt   -5.21    -16.24  -15.79  Homecoming          
 9 10/23/2026 Home        *                  5A 17 (3-5) Iowa City High                          -29.64  Senior Night/Lighted Band Show
      Averages              64.96   9.9 30.9

Best game:   91.98 = 22 point loss to Pleasant Hill Southeast Polk
Worst game:  50.10 = 54 point loss to Grimes Dallas Center-Grimes
Team stdev:  12.86