BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Alta-Aurelia

Class: 2A Class Rank: 118 Conference: (2-14) Overall: (4-19) Overall Strength =   48.59

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/22/2011 Away    L    45.07  33  50   2A  93 ( 7-15) South O'Brien          -0.71    -16.29                      
  2 11/28/2011 Home    W    58.64  39  36   2A 100 ( 6-15) Ridge View             12.85     -9.85                      
  3 12/06/2011 Home    L *  46.45  18  52   2A  29 (20- 4) Sioux Central           0.67 *  -34.67                      
  4 12/09/2011 Home    L *  41.89  25  39   2A  99 ( 6-16) Pocahontas PA-P-P      -3.89    -10.11                      
  5 12/10/2011 Away    L    33.17  32  78   2A  37 (16- 9) Woodbury Central      -12.61 *  -33.39                      
  6 12/13/2011 Away    L *  34.23  29  38   1A 105 ( 2-19) Laurens-Marathon      -11.56      2.56                      
  7 12/16/2011 Away    L *  54.94  22  35   2A  66 (13- 8) Prairie Valley          9.16    -22.16                      
  8 12/17/2011 Home    L    46.00  25  40   2A  86 (12-11) Hartley HMS             0.22    -15.22                      
  9 12/20/2011 Away    L *  45.27  38  83   1A   3 (19- 6) Newell-Fonda           -0.51 *  -44.49                      
 10 01/06/2012 Home    W *  69.50  56  30   1A  82 ( 7-17) Southeast Webster      23.72      2.28                      
 11 01/10/2012 Home    L *  37.28  41  55   1A  56 (10-13) Storm Lake St Mary     -8.50     -5.50                      
 12 01/12/2012 Home    L    52.35  35  53   1A  19 (19- 8) River Valley            6.57    -24.57                      
 13 01/13/2012 Away    L *  56.20  25  35   2A  77 (10-12) South Central          10.42    -20.42                      
 14 01/17/2012 Home    W    40.03  40  31   1A 121 ( 2-20) Kingsley-Pierson       -5.75     14.75                      
 15 01/19/2012 Away    L    42.68  32  67   2A  35 ( 9-14) Cherokee Washington    -3.10 *  -31.90                      
 16 01/20/2012 Home    L *  49.72  27  58   2A  41 (18- 6) Lake View East Sac      3.94 *  -34.94                      
 17 01/24/2012 Away    L *  56.44  27  54   2A  29 (20- 4) Sioux Central          10.65 *  -37.65                      
 18 01/27/2012 Away    L *  36.90  34  83   2A  21 (18- 5) Northwest Webster      -8.89 *  -40.11                      
 19 01/31/2012 Home    W *  62.24  44  22   1A 105 ( 2-19) Laurens-Marathon       16.46      5.54                      
 20 02/03/2012 Home    L *  43.28  41  85   1A   3 (19- 6) Newell-Fonda           -2.50 *  -41.50                      
 21 02/04/2012 Home    L *  49.72  27  58   2A  41 (18- 6) Lake View East Sac      3.94 *  -34.94                      
 22 02/07/2012 Away    L *  33.27  43  64   1A  56 (10-13) Storm Lake St Mary    -12.51     -8.49                      
 23 02/11/2012 Away    L *  17.71  24  90   2A  41 (18- 6) Lake View East Sac    -28.07 *  -37.93                      
      Averages              45.78  32.9 53.7

Best game:   69.50 = 26 point win over Burnside Southeast Webster
Worst game:  17.71 = 66 point loss to Lake View East Sac
Team stdev:  11.35