BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Johnston
Class: 4A Class Rank: 24 Conference: (7-14) Overall: (8-15) Overall Strength = 86.41
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/22/2011 Home W * 76.24 52 21 4A 46 ( 1-21) Des Moines North -10.39 * 41.39
2 11/25/2011 Away L * 85.53 36 52 4A 11 (16- 8) Ames -1.11 -14.89
3 11/26/2011 Home L 101.71 34 39 4A 6 (19- 6) Cedar Rapids Xavier 15.07 -20.07
4 11/29/2011 Home L * 84.03 44 63 4A 9 (14- 9) WDM Valley -2.61 -16.39
5 12/02/2011 Away L * 85.06 32 56 4A 4 (21- 3) Mason City -1.57 -22.43
6 12/06/2011 Home W * 76.59 49 44 4A 36 ( 4-18) Des Moines Lincoln -10.05 15.05
7 12/09/2011 Away L * 85.32 32 64 4A 2 (24- 2) Southeast Polk -1.32 * -30.68
8 12/13/2011 Away L * 85.33 37 45 4A 20 (16- 7) Des Moines East -1.30 -6.70
9 12/16/2011 Home L * 107.57 42 47 4A 3 (23- 5) Ankeny 20.94 * -25.94
10 12/22/2011 Away L * 83.99 33 34 4A 29 ( 7-15) Urbandale -2.65 1.65
11 01/03/2012 Home W * 92.26 55 31 4A 38 ( 4-18) Marshalltown 5.63 18.37
12 01/06/2012 Home W * 88.92 45 42 4A 22 (11-12) Indianola 2.28 0.72
13 01/10/2012 Away L * 82.67 31 51 4A 10 (14- 9) WDM Dowling -3.97 -16.03
14 01/13/2012 Home L * 110.33 37 41 4A 2 (24- 2) Southeast Polk 23.70 * -27.70
15 01/17/2012 Away L * 87.63 40 60 4A 7 (20- 6) Waukee 0.99 -20.99
16 01/20/2012 Away L * 81.56 24 58 4A 3 (23- 5) Ankeny -5.07 * -28.93
17 01/27/2012 Home L * 74.00 31 39 4A 29 ( 7-15) Urbandale -12.64 4.64
18 01/31/2012 Away L * 73.86 42 44 4A 33 (10-12) Des Moines Hoover -12.78 10.78
19 02/03/2012 Away W * 91.91 31 28 4A 22 (11-12) Indianola 5.27 -2.27
20 02/07/2012 Home W * 68.48 39 26 4A 45 ( 0-21) Fort Dodge -18.16 * 31.16
21 02/10/2012 Home W * 102.68 32 29 4A 10 (14- 9) WDM Dowling 16.04 -13.04
22 02/15/2012 Home W 85.64 47 22 4A 42 ( 6-15) Newton -1.00 * 26.00
23 02/18/2012 Away L * 81.32 26 62 4A 2 (24- 2) Southeast Polk -5.32 * -30.68
Averages 86.64 37.9 43.4
Best game: 110.33 = 4 point loss to Pleasant Hill Southeast Polk
Worst game: 68.48 = 13 point win over Fort Dodge
Team stdev: 10.67