BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 19 Conference: (13-6) Overall: (15-8) Overall Strength = 91.49
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/22/2011 Away L * 92.56 33 56 4A 3 (23- 5) Ankeny -0.17 -22.83
2 11/26/2011 Home L * 97.68 50 52 1 4A 10 (14- 9) WDM Dowling 4.95 -6.95
3 11/29/2011 Home L 78.31 52 55 3A 30 (12- 9) Mount Pleasant -14.42 11.42
4 12/02/2011 Home L * 83.33 45 76 4A 2 (24- 2) Southeast Polk -9.40 -21.60
5 12/03/2011 Away W 85.67 68 51 3A 52 ( 8-15) Fairfield -7.06 24.06
6 12/06/2011 Away W * 95.91 45 38 4A 22 (11-12) Indianola 3.18 3.82
7 12/09/2011 Home W * 82.59 49 38 4A 36 ( 4-18) Des Moines Lincoln -10.14 21.14
8 12/13/2011 Away L * 79.01 45 72 4A 9 (14- 9) WDM Valley -13.71 -13.29
9 12/16/2011 Away W * 104.23 67 11 4A 46 ( 1-21) Des Moines North 11.50 * 44.50
10 12/20/2011 Away W * 87.87 60 51 4A 34 ( 6-16) Des Moines Roosevelt -4.86 13.86
11 01/03/2012 Home W 105.18 60 40 3A 18 (18- 5) Washington 12.45 7.55
12 01/06/2012 Home W * 89.87 58 41 4A 33 (10-12) Des Moines Hoover -2.86 19.86
13 01/10/2012 Home W * 98.34 41 33 4A 20 (16- 7) Des Moines East 5.62 2.38
14 01/13/2012 Away W * 86.58 72 60 4A 36 ( 4-18) Des Moines Lincoln -6.15 18.15
15 01/17/2012 Home W * 98.00 50 34 4A 29 ( 7-15) Urbandale 5.27 10.73
16 01/20/2012 Home W * 107.24 83 21 4A 46 ( 1-21) Des Moines North 14.51 * 47.49
17 01/27/2012 Home W * 103.88 58 30 4A 34 ( 6-16) Des Moines Roosevelt 11.15 16.85
18 01/31/2012 Away W * 109.25 76 38 4A 38 ( 4-18) Marshalltown 16.52 21.48
19 02/03/2012 Away W * 110.86 65 30 4A 33 (10-12) Des Moines Hoover 18.13 16.87
20 02/07/2012 Away L 67.53 46 68 3A 16 (17- 7) Keokuk -25.20 3.20
21 02/10/2012 Away L * 78.33 36 51 4A 20 (16- 7) Des Moines East -14.40 -0.60
22 02/15/2012 Home W * 89.88 68 54 4A 34 ( 6-16) Des Moines Roosevelt -2.85 16.85
23 02/18/2012 Away L * 100.67 35 37 4A 10 (14- 9) WDM Dowling 7.94 -9.94
Averages 92.73 54.9 45.1
Best game: 110.86 = 35 point win over Des Moines Hoover
Worst game: 67.53 = 22 point loss to Keokuk
Team stdev: 11.56