BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 22 Conference: (16-4) Overall: (19-5) Overall Strength =   84.62

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/22/2011 Away    W    86.17  35  29   3A  35 (11-11) Norwalk                 1.04      4.96                      
  2 11/29/2011 Away    W    76.63  49  36   4A  42 ( 6-15) Newton                 -8.51     21.51                      
  3 12/02/2011 Away    W *  87.54  45  32   3A  44 ( 9-13) Carlisle                2.40     10.60                      
  4 12/06/2011 Home    L *  87.90  40  49   3A   8 (22- 4) Bondurant-Farrar        2.77    -11.77                      
  5 12/09/2011 Home    W *  91.48  53  47   3A  19 (18- 6) Dallas Center-Grimes    6.34     -0.34                      
  6 12/13/2011 Away    L *  86.28  48  51   3A  15 (19- 7) Huxley Ballard          1.15     -4.15                      
  7 12/16/2011 Home    L *  74.62  51  57   3A  26 (14- 9) Carroll               -10.51      4.51                      
  8 12/19/2011 Away    W    74.74  41  30   2A  92 ( 9-13) Van Meter             -10.39     21.39                      
  9 12/20/2011 Home    W *  80.21  53  47   3A  39 (11-11) Perry                  -4.92     10.92                      
 10 01/03/2012 Home    W *  89.55  52  34   3A  44 ( 9-13) Carlisle                4.42     13.58                      
 11 01/06/2012 Away    W *  76.28  43  40 1 4A  37 ( 8-15) Boone                  -8.85     11.85                      
 12 01/10/2012 Home    W *  98.05  66  20   3A  61 ( 1-21) Saydel                 12.91 *   33.09                      
 13 01/13/2012 Home    W *  85.07  50  31   3A  51 ( 5-18) Adel ADM               -0.06     19.06                      
 14 01/17/2012 Away    L *  87.89  46  58   3A   8 (22- 4) Bondurant-Farrar        2.75    -14.75                      
 15 01/20/2012 Away    W *  98.47  48  38   3A  19 (18- 6) Dallas Center-Grimes   13.33     -3.33                      
 16 01/24/2012 Home    W *  92.30  55  49 2 3A  15 (19- 7) Huxley Ballard          7.16     -1.16                      
 17 01/27/2012 Away    W *  87.61  54  50   3A  26 (14- 9) Carroll                 2.48      1.52                      
 18 01/31/2012 Away    W *  83.20  48  42   3A  39 (11-11) Perry                  -1.93      7.93                      
 19 02/03/2012 Home    W *  78.30  47  39   4A  37 ( 8-15) Boone                  -6.84     14.84                      
 20 02/10/2012 Away    W *  79.06  50  40   3A  51 ( 5-18) Adel ADM               -6.07     16.07                      
 21 02/11/2012 Neutral W *  83.54  52  22   3A  61 ( 1-21) Saydel                 -1.59 *   31.59                      
 22 02/15/2012 Home    W *  86.07  58  38   3A  51 ( 5-18) Adel ADM                0.94     19.06                      
 23 02/18/2012 Neutral W *  93.97  56  49 1 3A  19 (18- 6) Dallas Center-Grimes    8.84     -1.84                      
 24 02/21/2012 Neutral L    78.28  46  71   3A   4 (22- 2) Glenwood               -6.85    -18.15                      
      Averages              85.13  49.4 41.6

Best game:   98.47 = 10 point win over Dallas Center-Grimes
Worst game:  74.62 = 6 point loss to Carroll
Team stdev:   6.90