BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fairfield

Class: 4A Class Rank: 37 Conference: (4-5) Overall: (11-13) Overall Strength =   66.32

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/20/2012 Away    W    81.28  48  31   5A  33 ( 4-18) Ottumwa                14.87      2.13                      
  2 11/26/2012 Away    L    65.05  26  44   4A  14 (18- 5) Oskaloosa              -1.36    -16.64                      
  3 11/30/2012 Home    L *  43.88  38  68   4A  27 (13- 9) Mount Pleasant        -22.54     -7.46                      
  4 12/04/2012 Away    W    56.09  47  45   3A  61 ( 4-18) Albia                 -10.32     12.32                      
  5 12/07/2012 Home    L *  69.29  39  44   4A  24 (14- 8) Washington              2.88     -7.88                      
  6 12/11/2012 Away    W    73.62  49  36   3A  54 (12-11) Bloomfield Davis        7.21      5.79                      
  7 12/14/2012 Home    L    54.10  41  45   2A  47 (17- 6) Keosauqua Van Buren   -12.31      8.31                      
  8 01/04/2013 Away    W *  60.43  40  34   4A  45 ( 4-18) Fort Madison           -5.99     11.99                      
  9 01/05/2013 Away    W    61.76  50  44   1A  45 (12-11) Danville               -4.65     10.65                      
 10 01/08/2013 Home    L    50.47  50  65   2A  34 (16- 8) Eddyville EBF         -15.94      0.94                      
 11 01/11/2013 Away    L *  55.68  33  54   4A  27 (13- 9) Mount Pleasant        -10.73    -10.27                      
 12 01/14/2013 Home    L    62.35  40  55   3A  16 (18- 7) Wellman Mid-Prairie    -4.06    -10.94                      
 13 01/17/2013 Home    W *  78.31  44  41   4A  26 (12-11) Keokuk                 11.89     -8.89                      
 14 01/18/2013 Away    L *  63.10  36  50   4A  24 (14- 8) Washington             -3.31    -10.69                      
 15 01/22/2013 Away    L    63.22  44  66   1A   5 (22- 4) Notre Dame             -3.19    -18.81                      
 16 01/24/2013 Home    L    61.01  50  71   2A  12 (19- 5) Iowa City Regina       -5.40    -15.60                      
 17 01/29/2013 Home    W    80.77  62  28   3A  64 ( 6-16) Centerville            14.36     19.64                      
 18 02/01/2013 Away    L *  66.11  52  64   4A  26 (12-11) Keokuk                 -0.30    -11.70                      
 19 02/02/2013 Away    L    64.67  59  67   4A  32 ( 9-13) Pella                  -1.74     -6.26                      
 20 02/05/2013 Home    W    76.92  56  32   3A  59 ( 9-12) Chariton               10.51     13.49                      
 21 02/08/2013 Home    W *  67.62  53  37   4A  45 ( 4-18) Fort Madison            1.21     14.79                      
 22 02/13/2013 Away    W *  81.68  52  47   4A  27 (13- 9) Mount Pleasant         15.27    -10.27                      
 23 02/16/2013 Away    W    88.05  54  49   4A  14 (18- 5) Oskaloosa              21.64    -16.64                      
 24 02/19/2013 Neutral L    68.40  33  60   4A   5 (21- 3) Van Horne Benton        1.99 *  -28.99                      
      Averages              66.41  45.7 49.0

Best game:   88.05 = 5 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game:  43.88 = 30 point loss to Mount Pleasant
Team stdev:  10.86