BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ottumwa

Class: 5A Class Rank: 33 Conference: (3-13) Overall: (4-18) Overall Strength =   61.73

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/20/2012 Home    L    48.01  31  48   4A  37 (11-13) Fairfield             -14.87     -2.13                      
  2 11/24/2012 Away    L    58.10  22  41   4A  24 (14- 8) Washington             -4.78    -14.22                      
  3 11/27/2012 Home    L *  47.80  13  70   5A   6 (20- 5) Ankeny                -15.07 *  -41.93                      
  4 11/30/2012 Away    L *  55.91  27  81   5A   3 (21- 5) Southeast Polk         -6.96 *  -47.04                      
  5 12/07/2012 Home    W *  68.76  45  39   5A  36 ( 4-18) Des Moines Lincoln      5.88      0.12                      
  6 12/08/2012 Home    W    52.62  32  31 1 4A  45 ( 4-18) Fort Madison          -10.26     11.26                      
  7 12/11/2012 Home    L *  68.79  27  31   4A  29 (10-14) Des Moines Hoover       5.92     -9.92                      
  8 12/14/2012 Away    L *  69.10  27  47   4A   7 (16- 8) Indianola               6.22 *  -26.22                      
  9 12/18/2012 Home    L *  53.08  23  73   5A   5 (21- 3) Des Moines East        -9.80 *  -40.20                      
 10 01/04/2013 Away    L    58.11  35  55   4A  26 (12-11) Keokuk                 -4.76    -15.24                      
 11 01/08/2013 Away    L *  64.38  34  52   5A  27 (11-12) Des Moines Roosevelt    1.51    -19.51                      
 12 01/15/2013 Home    L *  64.93  27  62   5A  11 (14- 8) WDM Valley              2.05 *  -37.05                      
 13 01/18/2013 Away    L *  63.56  38  40   5A  36 ( 4-18) Des Moines Lincoln      0.69     -2.69                      
 14 01/19/2013 Away    W *  81.71  57   9   5A  39 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       18.84 *   29.16                      
 15 01/22/2013 Away    L *  71.60  33  37   4A  29 (10-14) Des Moines Hoover       8.72    -12.72                      
 16 01/25/2013 Home    L *  55.29  17  48   4A   7 (16- 8) Indianola              -7.58    -23.42                      
 17 01/29/2013 Away    L *  62.89  14  57   5A   5 (21- 3) Des Moines East         0.01 *  -43.01                      
 18 02/01/2013 Home    W *  85.91  69  14   5A  39 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       23.03 *   31.97                      
 19 02/04/2013 Away    L    68.68  44  52   4A  27 (13- 9) Mount Pleasant          5.81    -13.81                      
 20 02/05/2013 Away    L *  59.49  13  56   5A  12 (17- 8) Ames                   -3.38 *  -39.62                      
 21 02/08/2013 Home    L *  64.58  34  49   5A  27 (11-12) Des Moines Roosevelt    1.70    -16.70                      
 22 02/13/2013 Away    L    59.96  33  44   5A  29 (10-12) Burlington             -2.91     -8.09                      
      Averages              62.88  31.6 47.1

Best game:   85.91 = 55 point win over Des Moines North
Worst game:  47.80 = 57 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:   9.60