BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home court advantage =    1.26

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
03/05/2020   5A    4 (21- 2) Johnston               5A    3 (22- 1) Iowa City High        112.75    1.28  55%   4.65  68%   2.74  61%
03/06/2020   5A    1 (21- 2) Waukee                 5A    4 (21- 2) Johnston              111.66   -5.93  72%  -6.84  75%  -5.78  72%
03/02/2020   5A    5 (19- 4) Southeast Polk         5A    4 (21- 2) Johnston              109.36    6.26  73%   3.81  65%  11.84  88%
03/02/2020   5A    9 (19- 4) Waterloo West          5A    7 (19- 4) Cedar Falls           103.99    3.55  64%   4.71  68%   6.33  73%
03/02/2020   5A    8 (20- 3) Cedar Rapids Prairie   5A    3 (22- 1) Iowa City High        101.88    9.05  81%  11.90  88%  16.80  95%
03/05/2020   5A    9 (19- 4) Waterloo West          5A    1 (21- 2) Waukee                 98.55   16.73  95%  15.58  94%  17.26  96%
03/02/2020   5A   12 (16- 7) Sioux City East        5A    1 (21- 2) Waukee                 93.96   20.02  98%  18.64  97%  19.42  97%
03/05/2020   4A    3 (24- 0) Glenwood               4A    5 (19- 5) CB Lewis Central       99.70   -4.76  68%  -3.80  65%   3.01  62%
03/03/2020   4A    5 (19- 5) CB Lewis Central       4A    2 (22- 1) Huxley Ballard         99.53    7.61  77%   4.14  66%  -3.05  62%
03/07/2020   4A    5 (19- 5) CB Lewis Central       4A    1 (23- 0) Eldridge North Scott   98.31    8.89  81%   6.58  74%   6.21  73%
03/03/2020   4A    4 (20- 2) Waverly-Shell Rock     4A    8 (21- 2) Center Point-Urbana    97.48   -5.89  72%  -3.30  63%  -5.52  71%
03/05/2020   4A    1 (23- 0) Eldridge North Scott   4A    8 (21- 2) Center Point-Urbana    94.61  -11.25  87%  -9.04  81% -11.28  87%
03/03/2020   4A   10 (19- 3) Gilbert                4A    3 (24- 0) Glenwood               86.04   11.46  87%  12.91  90%   8.64  80%
03/03/2020   4A   15 (19- 4) Clear Creek-Amana      4A    1 (23- 0) Eldridge North Scott   81.36   19.67  97%  17.88  96%  13.18  90%
03/05/2020   3A    2 (19- 4) Sioux City Heelan      3A    4 (22- 2) Clear Lake             98.83   -7.13  76%  -4.75  68%   0.68  53%
03/05/2020   3A    7 (19- 5) Alleman North Polk     3A    1 (22- 1) Dike-New Hartford      95.81   11.28  87%   3.77  64%   6.07  72%
03/06/2020   3A    2 (19- 4) Sioux City Heelan      3A    7 (19- 5) Alleman North Polk     93.57  -10.98  86%  -8.26  79%  -4.72  68%
03/02/2020   3A    7 (19- 5) Alleman North Polk     3A    6 (21- 3) Red Oak                92.10    1.06  54%  -3.73  64%  -4.76  68%
03/02/2020   3A    9 (16- 7) Davenport Assumption   3A    4 (22- 2) Clear Lake             88.18    6.90  75%   8.68  80%   9.45  82%
03/02/2020   3A   16 (20- 4) Jesup                  3A    1 (22- 1) Dike-New Hartford      77.48   19.08  97%  15.99  94%  16.09  94%
03/03/2020   3A   26 (22- 2) Des Moines Christian   3A    2 (19- 4) Sioux City Heelan      68.69   23.91  99%  24.84  99%  29.37 100%
03/03/2020   2A    3 (17- 7) Western Christian      2A    5 (22- 2) North Linn            100.14   -2.17  58%   0.58  52%  -0.56  52%
03/06/2020   2A    5 (22- 2) North Linn             2A    2 (24- 1) Britt West Hancock     99.28    7.20  76%   3.47  63%   3.58  64%
03/03/2020   2A    6 (21- 3) West Branch            2A   11 (22- 2) Osage                  89.33   -9.91  84%  -6.53  74% -12.17  88%
03/07/2020   2A    5 (22- 2) North Linn             2A   11 (22- 2) Osage                  88.39  -10.79  86%  -8.42  80%  -2.66  60%
03/06/2020   2A   11 (22- 2) Osage                  2A    1 (25- 0) Cascade W Dubuque      88.23   20.01  98%   8.74  80%   4.14  66%
03/03/2020   2A   15 (17- 8) Denver                 2A    1 (25- 0) Cascade W Dubuque      72.37   24.83  99%  19.31  97%  14.81  93%
03/03/2020   2A   10 (21- 3) Logan-Magnolia         2A    2 (24- 1) Britt West Hancock     72.15   17.43  96%  21.55  98%  20.10  98%
03/07/2020   1A    2 (23- 1) Algona Garrigan        1A    1 (24- 0) Newell-Fonda           98.35   17.25  96%  11.56  87%  14.05  92%
03/04/2020   1A   13 (21- 2) Saint Ansgar           1A    3 (23- 1) Montezuma              73.29   16.48  95%  11.11  86%  16.91  95%
03/06/2020   1A    2 (23- 1) Algona Garrigan        1A    6 (23- 1) Bellevue Marquette     71.90  -18.13  96% -21.49  98% -22.31  99%
03/04/2020   1A   23 (15- 9) LeMars Gehlen          1A    6 (23- 1) Bellevue Marquette     70.12   11.75  88%   8.35  79%  -4.65  68%
03/04/2020   1A    7 (13-11) CB St Albert           1A    1 (24- 0) Newell-Fonda           67.19   36.57 100%  32.33 100%  35.88 100%
03/06/2020   1A   13 (21- 2) Saint Ansgar           1A    1 (24- 0) Newell-Fonda           60.42   41.21 100%  36.85 100%  39.98 100%
03/04/2020   1A   22 (18- 8) Martensdale M-SM       1A    2 (23- 1) Algona Garrigan        55.69   29.53 100%  32.29 100%  28.00 100%