C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Harlan
Class: 4A Class Rank: 34 Overall: (3-4) Overall Strength = 77.46
Conference: Hawkeye Ten Record: (3-3) | District: 4A-01 Record: (1-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 11-25-2025 Home L 82.62 38 52 2A 5 ( 8- 0) Treynor 0.40 -9.15 -14.40
2 12-02-2025 Home L * 84.20 31 47 1A 4 ( 9- 0) CB St Albert 1.98 -11.10 -17.98
3 12-04-2025 Home W * 79.82 39 38 3A 26 ( 7- 3) Shenandoah -2.40 -0.55 3.40
4 12-09-2025 Away L * 71.26 27 45 3A 17 ( 5- 2) Carroll Kuemper -10.96 -0.30 -7.04
5 12-12-2025 Away W * * 79.99 70 40 4A 46 ( 0- 9) Denison-Schleswig -2.23 * 31.62 32.23 Team Fink Night
6 12-16-2025 Away L * * 69.40 46 59 4A 28 ( 5- 4) Glenwood -12.82 -1.58 -0.18
7 12-19-2025 Away W * 108.26 79 21 3A 60 ( 4- 7) Red Oak 26.04 * 25.30 31.96
8 01/09/2026 Away * 1A 4 ( 9- 0) CB St Albert -25.59
9 01/13/2026 Home * * 4A 28 ( 5- 4) Glenwood -2.30
10 01/16/2026 Away * 3A 25 ( 6- 5) Atlantic -7.37 VDC Performance
11 01/19/2026 Home * 3A 17 ( 5- 2) Carroll Kuemper -12.53
12 01/20/2026 Away ZZ 45 ( 0- 0) Blair NE -14.55
13 01/24/2026 Home 2A 52 ( 3- 7) Underwood 14.03
14 01/27/2026 Home * * 4A 46 ( 0- 9) Denison-Schleswig 30.93
15 01/29/2026 Away ZZ 52 ( 0- 0) Maryville MO -6.49 CXLCancelled
16 01/30/2026 Away * 3A 44 ( 4- 5) Creston 6.24
17 02/02/2026 Away * 4A 30 ( 5- 4) Winterset -5.13
18 02/05/2026 Home * 3A 30 ( 5- 6) Clarinda -0.41
19 02/06/2026 Away * * 4A 31 ( 3- 7) CB Lewis Central -4.92
20 02/10/2026 Home * 3A 25 ( 6- 5) Atlantic -3.92
Averages 82.22 47.1 43.1
Best game: 108.26 = 58 point win over Red Oak
Worst game: 69.40 = 13 point loss to Glenwood
Team stdev: 12.76