BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home court advantage =    1.50

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
03/05/2026   5A    3 (17- 4) Waukee Northwest       5A    2 (20- 3) WDM Dowling           127.34    6.37  73%   1.43  56%  -4.65  68%
03/02/2026   5A    6 (18- 4) CR Washington          5A    7 (15- 8) Ankeny                111.68   -0.13  50%  -0.55  52% -10.79  86%
03/02/2026   5A    5 (13-10) WDM Valley             5A    2 (20- 3) WDM Dowling           111.07   19.02  97%  12.27  89%  13.71  91%
03/05/2026   5A    7 (15- 8) Ankeny                 5A    1 (24- 0) Johnston              101.54   20.16  98%  20.82  98%  20.65  98%
03/02/2026   5A    8 (17- 7) Iowa City West         5A    3 (17- 4) Waukee Northwest      101.25   14.24  92%  17.87  96%  17.24  95%
03/02/2026   5A   11 (12-11) Ankeny Centennial      5A    1 (24- 0) Johnston               87.92   29.23 100%  29.90 100%  24.72  99%
03/05/2026   4A    2 (21- 2) Norwalk                4A    3 (21- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes  114.63   -2.31  59%   0.01  50%   8.26  79%
03/03/2026   4A    5 (22- 1) Waverly-Shell Rock     4A    3 (21- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes  111.17    3.14  62%   2.32  59%  10.79  86%
03/03/2026   4A    4 (20- 2) Clear Creek-Amana      4A    6 (23- 1) Carlisle              108.30   -1.48  56%  -2.43  59%  11.64  87%
03/05/2026   4A    6 (23- 1) Carlisle               4A    1 (23- 0) Sioux City Heelan     106.90   11.23  86%   5.22  70%   1.33  55%
03/03/2026   4A    7 (23- 1) Central Clinton        4A    2 (21- 2) Norwalk               104.14    8.13  79%   7.00  75%  -3.78  64%
03/03/2026   4A   10 (20- 3) Alleman North Polk     4A    1 (23- 0) Sioux City Heelan      88.63   24.86  99%  17.40  96%  14.86  93%
03/05/2026   3A    4 (18- 5) Dubuque Wahlert        3A    1 (22- 2) Mount Vernon          107.10    1.37  55%   0.82  53%   7.47  77%
03/05/2026   3A    5 (22- 3) Des Moines Christian   3A    2 (21- 3) Maquoketa             106.17    1.62  56%   1.05  54%  -2.48  60%
03/02/2026   3A    3 (20- 5) Williamsburg           3A    4 (18- 5) Dubuque Wahlert       105.60   -0.08  50%   1.27  55%  -1.37  55%
03/03/2026   3A    6 (22- 3) Forest City            3A    5 (22- 3) Des Moines Christian  101.56    3.17  62%   3.42  63%  10.38  85%
03/02/2026   3A    7 (20- 3) Cherokee Washington    3A    1 (22- 2) Mount Vernon           97.72    6.65  74%   7.08  76%  10.86  86%
03/02/2026   3A   10 (24- 0) Mediapolis             3A    2 (21- 3) Maquoketa              85.55   12.86  90%  14.79  93%  15.86  94%
03/03/2026   2A    3 (23- 2) Emmetsburg             2A    4 (22- 2) Denver                 97.01   -0.81  53%   0.62  52%   7.02  75%
03/04/2026   2A    5 (21- 2) Treynor                2A    7 (19- 4) Central Lyon           94.09   -1.96  58%   2.43  59%   0.22  51%
03/06/2026   2A    4 (22- 2) Denver                 2A    1 (20- 1) Hinton                 90.16    7.73  78%  15.54  94%   1.51  56%
03/04/2026   2A   10 (19- 5) Iowa City Regina       2A    2 (22- 2) Rock Valley            89.79   11.77  88%   9.26  82%   2.05  58%
03/03/2026   2A    6 (17- 7) Inwood West Lyon       2A    1 (20- 1) Hinton                 83.24   10.43  85%  20.16  98%  13.45  91%
03/04/2026   1A    8 (22- 2) Dunkerton              1A    5 (24- 0) Lynnville-Sully        88.02    1.27  55%  -5.09  69%  -1.36  55%
03/04/2026   1A    4 (22- 1) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    1A    3 (21- 3) CB St Albert           87.02    4.17  66%   9.41  82%  15.19  93%
03/04/2026   1A   11 (20- 4) Saint Ansgar           1A    2 (22- 2) Newell-Fonda           76.89   15.22  93%  18.30  96%  23.92  99%
03/04/2026   1A   18 (17- 7) Lansing Kee            1A    1 (22- 2) Algona Garrigan        61.61   29.05 100%  36.13 100%  33.69 100%