BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Wrestling

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Johnston

Class: 3A Class Rank: 49 Conference: (1-9-0) Overall: (2-19-0) Overall Strength =   46.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2010 Away    L *  51.97   6  59   3A   6 (25- 4) WDM Valley              3.12 *  -56.12                      
  2 12/04/2010 Neutral L    45.78  12  33   3A  36 (25-12) CB Jefferson           -3.06    -17.94                      
  3 12/04/2010 Unknown L *  36.17   6  67   3A   9 (25- 7) Indianola             -12.68 *  -48.32                      
  4 12/04/2010 Away    L    73.26  17  61   3A   2 (35- 2) Iowa City West         24.41 *  -68.41                      
  5 12/04/2010 Away    L    30.43  21  35   3A  57 ( 8-15) Newton                -18.42      4.42                      
  6 12/04/2010 Unknown L    56.85  21  52   3A  15 (28- 8) Sioux City North        8.00 *  -39.00                      
  7 12/09/2010 Home    L *  50.91  12  68   3A   5 (16- 2) Mason City              2.06 *  -58.06                      
  8 12/11/2010 Neutral L    35.16  21  50   3A  40 (15-20) Waterloo West         -13.69    -15.31                      
  9 12/11/2010 Neutral L    45.51  27  46   3A  39 (11-11) Knoxville              -3.34    -15.66                      
 10 12/11/2010 Neutral W *  43.13  39  36   3A  54 ( 2-11) Ottumwa                -5.72      8.72                      
 11 12/11/2010 Neutral L    50.33  19  53   2A  13 (19- 9) East Marshall-GMG       1.49 *  -35.49                      
 12 12/16/2010 Away    L *  51.72  30  33   3A  44 ( 8- 9) Des Moines Lincoln      2.87     -5.87                      
 13 01/06/2011 Home    L *  54.19   9  64   3A   4 (25- 2) Southeast Polk          5.34 *  -60.34                      
 14 01/08/2011 Neutral L    58.32  31  46   2A  30 (26- 3) Albia                   9.47    -24.47                      
 15 01/08/2011 Neutral L    40.49  15  57   3A  19 (16- 6) Norwalk                -8.36    -33.64                      
 16 01/08/2011 Away    L *  43.72  25  48   3A  35 (12-19) Marshalltown           -5.13    -17.87                      
 17 01/08/2011 Neutral W    76.60  48  21   2A  73 (11-11) Alleman North Polk     27.75     -0.75                      
 18 01/08/2011 Neutral L    54.21   8  51   3A   8 (26- 4) CR Prairie              5.36 *  -48.36                      
 19 01/13/2011 Away    L *  32.41   3  60   3A  13 (15- 8) Ankeny                -16.44 *  -40.56                      
 20 01/25/2011 Away    L *  36.83  18  57   3A  23 ( 8- 8) WDM Dowling           -12.02    -26.98                      
 21 01/27/2011 Unknown L *  50.17  16  63   3A   9 (25- 7) Indianola               1.32 *  -48.32                      
      Averages              48.48  19.2 50.5

Best game:   76.60 = 27 point win over Alleman North Polk
Worst game:  30.43 = 14 point loss to Newton
Team stdev:  11.94