BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Wrestling

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Ottumwa

Class: 3A Class Rank: 54 Conference: (2-8-0) Overall: (2-11-0) Overall Strength =   40.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2010 Away    L    59.95  33  46   2A  32 (14- 4) Davis County           19.82    -32.82                      
  2 12/02/2010 Home    L *  33.39  14  60   3A  20 ( 9- 9) Urbandale              -6.74 *  -39.26                      
  3 12/08/2010 Unknown L *  20.21  15  60   3A  35 (12-19) Marshalltown          -19.92    -25.08                      
  4 12/09/2010 Home    L *  18.70  15  60   3A  35 (12-19) Marshalltown          -21.43    -23.57                      
  5 12/11/2010 Neutral L *  17.99   6  74   3A  17 (22- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt  -22.14 *  -45.86                      
  6 12/11/2010 Neutral L *  45.85  36  39   3A  49 ( 2-19) Johnston                5.72     -8.72                      
  7 12/11/2010 Neutral L    54.51  36  46   3A  39 (11-11) Knoxville              14.38    -24.38                      
  8 12/11/2010 Neutral L *  50.70  10  70   3A   4 (25- 2) Southeast Polk         10.57 *  -70.57                      
  9 12/11/2010 Away    L    28.72  21  51   3A  41 ( 6-15) Oskaloosa             -11.41    -18.59                      
 10 01/06/2011 Away    L *  39.50  18  66   3A  17 (22- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   -0.63 *  -47.37                      
 11 01/13/2011 Home    W *  34.86  39  37   3A  60 ( 0-23) Des Moines East        -5.27      7.27                      
 12 01/20/2011 Away    W *  62.22  44  29   3A  58 ( 5-22) DM North-Hoover        22.09     -7.09                      
 13 01/31/2011 Away    L *  38.72  29  45   3A  44 ( 8- 9) Des Moines Lincoln     -1.41    -14.59                      
      Averages              38.87  24.3 52.5

Best game:   62.22 = 15 point win over Des Moines North-Hoover
Worst game:  17.99 = 68 point loss to Des Moines Roosevelt
Team stdev:  15.17