BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Wrestling

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ottumwa

Class: 3A Class Rank: 48 Conference: (2-3-0) Overall: (5-7-0) Overall Strength =   58.95

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2011 Unknown L    20.66  18  63   2A  51 (17- 6) Davis County          -39.45     -5.55                      
  2 12/01/2011 Away    L *  58.84  18  61   3A  12 ( 9- 8) Urbandale              -1.27 *  -41.73                      
  3 12/06/2011 Away    W    65.70  66  18   1A 101 ( 4- 9) Moravia                 5.59 *   42.41                      
  4 12/06/2011 Neutral W    66.25  72  12   1A  93 ( 1-15) Victor HLV              6.14 *   53.86                      
  5 12/08/2011 Away    L *  48.75  28  52   3A  39 (10-14) Marshalltown          -11.36    -12.64                      
  6 12/10/2011 Unknown L    58.64  36  41   2A  52 (10-16) East Marshall-GMG      -1.47     -3.53                      
  7 12/10/2011 Away    L    52.14  25  52   2A  35 (12-10) Huxley Ballard         -7.97    -19.03                      
  8 12/10/2011 Away    L    88.41  39  40   3A  23 (12- 6) Knoxville              28.30    -29.30                      
  9 12/10/2011 Away    W    82.96  43  32   3A  41 ( 4-15) Oskaloosa              22.85    -11.85                      
 10 01/05/2012 Home    L *  51.14  21  49   3A  33 (11-11) Des Moines Roosevelt   -8.97    -19.03                      
 11 01/12/2012 Away    W *  65.54  45  34   3A  51 ( 4-15) Des Moines East         5.43      5.57                      
 12 01/19/2012 Unknown W *  62.29  57  22   3A  64 ( 2-20) DM North-Hoover         2.18     32.82                      
      Averages              60.11  39.0 39.7

Best game:   88.41 = 1 point loss to Knoxville
Worst game:  20.66 = 45 point loss to Bloomfield Davis County
Team stdev:  17.21