BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Aurelia

Class: 2 Class Rank: 169 Conference: Iowa Record: (26-24-0) Overall: (29-31-0) Overall Strength =   49.45

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09-04-1981 Away    L   *  50.89  13  20    2  95 ( 45- 33-  0) Laurens-Marathon        1.03     -8.03                      
 2 09-11-1981 Home    L * *  50.72   0   9    2  67 ( 44- 15-  0) Sutherland              0.86     -9.86                      
 3 09-18-1981 Away    W * *  55.87  14   7    2 194 ( 24- 32-  0) Hartley-Melvin          6.01      0.99                      
 4 09-25-1981 Away    W * *  57.66  20  14 2  2 161 ( 26- 27-  0) Milford                 7.80     -1.80                      
 5 10-02-1981 Home    L * *  20.64   0  30    2 158 ( 41- 20-  0) Paullina              -29.22     -0.78                      
 6 10-09-1981 Home    W * *  69.82  28   6    2 187 ( 32- 23-  0) Primghar               19.96      2.04                      
 7 10-16-1981 Away    W * *  75.48  33   6    2 200 ( 29- 32-  0) Sanborn                25.62      1.38                      
 8 10-23-1981 Home    W * *  56.70  23   0    2 376 ( 10- 46-  0) Alta                    6.84     16.16                      
 9 10-30-1981 Home           49.45   0   0   ZZ 109 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X    4.65                      
10 09-03-1982 Home    L   *  55.22   6   7    2  95 ( 45- 33-  0) Laurens-Marathon        5.36     -6.36                      
11 09-10-1982 Home    L * *  14.20   0  33    2 194 ( 24- 32-  0) Hartley-Melvin        -35.66      2.66                      
12 09-17-1982 Home    L * *  21.99   3  31    2 161 ( 26- 27-  0) Milford               -27.87     -0.13                      
13 09-24-1982 Away    L * *  39.31   6  19    2 158 ( 41- 20-  0) Paullina              -10.55     -2.45                      
14 10-01-1982 Away    L * *  36.49   6  19    2 187 ( 32- 23-  0) Primghar              -13.37      0.37                      
15 10-08-1982 Home    W * *  63.81  17   0    2 200 ( 29- 32-  0) Sanborn                13.95      3.05                      
16 10-15-1982 Away    W * *  42.37  13   6    2 376 ( 10- 46-  0) Alta                   -7.49     14.49                      
17 10-22-1982 Away    L * *  28.39  23  56    2  67 ( 44- 15-  0) Sutherland            -21.47    -11.53                      
18 10-29-1982 Home           49.45   0   0   ZZ 109 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X    4.65                      
19 09-02-1983 Away    L   *  39.89   8  26    2  95 ( 45- 33-  0) Laurens-Marathon       -9.97     -8.03                      
20 09-09-1983 Away    L * *  44.87   8  12    2 194 ( 24- 32-  0) Hartley-Melvin         -4.99      0.99                      
21 09-16-1983 Away    L * *  43.66   6  14    2 161 ( 26- 27-  0) Milford                -6.20     -1.80                      
22 09-23-1983 Home    L * *  44.64   8  14    2 158 ( 41- 20-  0) Paullina               -5.22     -0.78                      
23 09-30-1983 Home    L * *  30.82   0  17    2 187 ( 32- 23-  0) Primghar              -19.04      2.04                      
24 10-07-1983 Away    W * *  68.48  20   0    2 200 ( 29- 32-  0) Sanborn                18.62      1.38                      
25 10-14-1983 Home    W * *  39.70  12   6    2 376 ( 10- 46-  0) Alta                  -10.16     16.16                      
26 10-21-1983 Home    L * *  29.72   0  30    2  67 ( 44- 15-  0) Sutherland            -20.14     -9.86                      
27 10-28-1983 Home           49.45   0   0   ZZ 109 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X    4.65                      
28 09-07-1984 Home    L   *  44.22   0  12    2  95 ( 45- 33-  0) Laurens-Marathon       -5.64     -6.36                      
29 09-14-1984 Home    L * *  47.99   6   8    2 161 ( 26- 27-  0) Milford                -1.87     -0.13                      
30 09-21-1984 Away    L * *  48.31   8  12    2 158 ( 41- 20-  0) Paullina               -1.55     -2.45                      
31 09-28-1984 Away    L * *  29.49   0  20    2 187 ( 32- 23-  0) Primghar              -20.37      0.37                      
32 10-05-1984 Home    W * *  52.81   6   0    2 200 ( 29- 32-  0) Sanborn                 2.95      3.05  homecoming          
33 10-12-1984 Away    W * *  37.37  24  22    2 376 ( 10- 46-  0) Alta                  -12.49     14.49                      
34 10-19-1984 Away    L * *  46.39   6  21    2  67 ( 44- 15-  0) Sutherland             -3.47    -11.53                      
35 10-26-1984 Home    L * *  46.20  22  23    2 194 ( 24- 32-  0) Hartley-Melvin         -3.66      2.66                      
36 11-02-1984 Home           49.45   0   0   ZZ 109 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X    4.65                      
37 09-06-1985 Away    L   *  49.89  22  30    2  95 ( 45- 33-  0) Laurens-Marathon        0.03     -8.03                      
38 09-13-1985 Away    W * *  67.66  16   0    2 161 ( 26- 27-  0) Milford                17.80     -1.80                      
39 09-20-1985 Home    L * *  44.64   6  12    2 158 ( 41- 20-  0) Paullina               -5.22     -0.78                      
40 09-27-1985 Home    W * *  82.82  35   0    2 187 ( 32- 23-  0) Primghar               32.96      2.04  homecoming          
41 10-04-1985 Away    L * *  31.48   7  24    2 200 ( 29- 32-  0) Sanborn               -18.38      1.38                      
42 10-11-1985 Home    W * *  45.70  18   6    2 376 ( 10- 46-  0) Alta                   -4.16     16.16                      
43 10-18-1985 Home    W * *  62.72   9   6    2  67 ( 44- 15-  0) Sutherland             12.86     -9.86                      
44 10-25-1985 Away    W * *  55.87  14   7    2 194 ( 24- 32-  0) Hartley-Melvin          6.01      0.99                      
45 11-01-1985 Home           49.45   0   0   ZZ 109 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X    4.65                      
46 09-05-1986 Home    W   *  75.22  19   0    2  95 ( 45- 33-  0) Laurens-Marathon       25.36     -6.36                      
47 09-12-1986 Away    W * *  73.31  27   6    2 158 ( 41- 20-  0) Paullina               23.45     -2.45                      
48 09-19-1986 Away    W * *  77.49  34   6    2 187 ( 32- 23-  0) Primghar               27.63      0.37                      
49 09-26-1986 Home    W * *  52.81   6   0    2 200 ( 29- 32-  0) Sanborn                 2.95      3.05  homecoming          
50 10-03-1986 Away    W * *  59.37  30   6    2 376 ( 10- 46-  0) Alta                    9.51     14.49  homecoming          
51 10-10-1986 Away    W * *  81.39  28   8    2  67 ( 44- 15-  0) Sutherland             31.53    -11.53                      
52 10-17-1986 Home    W * *  59.20  34  22    2 194 ( 24- 32-  0) Hartley-Melvin          9.34      2.66                      
53 10-24-1986 Home    W * *  63.99  14   0    2 161 ( 26- 27-  0) Milford                14.13     -0.13                      
54 10-29-1986 Away    W * *  65.63  21   0    2 298 ( 38- 16-  0) Schaller               15.77      5.23                      
55 10-31-1986 Home           49.45   0   0   ZZ 109 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X    4.65                      
56 11-03-1986 Home    W   *  60.45  17  15    2  70 ( 79- 20-  0) Schleswig              10.59     -8.59                      
57 11-08-1986 Away    W   *  52.42  18  14    2 219 ( 67- 26-  0) Malvern                 2.55      1.45                      
58 11-15-1986 Neutral L   *  42.52   0   6    2 212 ( 42- 15-  0) Paton-Churdan          -7.35      1.35                      
59 09-04-1987 Away    L   *  49.89  16  24    2  95 ( 45- 33-  0) Laurens-Marathon        0.03     -8.03                      
60 09-11-1987 Home    W * *  71.64  27   6    2 158 ( 41- 20-  0) Paullina               21.78     -0.78                      
61 09-18-1987 Home    L * *  44.82  12  15    2 187 ( 32- 23-  0) Primghar               -5.04      2.04  homecoming          
62 09-25-1987 Away    L * *  35.48  14  27    2 200 ( 29- 32-  0) Sanborn               -14.38      1.38  homecoming          
63 10-02-1987 Home    W * *  70.70  43   6    2 376 ( 10- 46-  0) Alta                   20.84     16.16                      
64 10-09-1987 Home    L * *  31.72   0  28    2  67 ( 44- 15-  0) Sutherland            -18.14     -9.86                      
65 10-16-1987 Away    L * *  30.87  14  32    2 194 ( 24- 32-  0) Hartley-Melvin        -18.99      0.99                      
66 10-23-1987 Away    L * *  21.66   0  30    2 161 ( 26- 27-  0) Milford               -28.20     -1.80                      
67 10-30-1987 Home           49.45   0   0   ZZ 109 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X    4.65                      
68 09-09-1988 Away      * *  49.45   0   0    2 187 ( 32- 23-  0) Primghar                0.00 X    0.37  cancel AND Paullina played with Primghar in 1988
69 10-21-1988 Home      * *  49.45   0   0    2 158 ( 41- 20-  0) Paullina                0.00 X   -0.78  cancel AND Paullina played with Primghar in 1988
      Averages              49.45  12.2 12.1

Best game:   82.82 = 35 point win over Primghar
Worst game:  14.20 = 33 point loss to Hartley-Melvin
Team stdev:  15.13