BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Audubon

Class: 1A Class Rank: 52 Conference: 1A-8 Record: (5-23-0) Overall: (33-57-0) Overall Strength =   43.54

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    L    29.66   0  47   ZZ  39 ( 76- 21-  0) Lake City Southern C  -14.00    -33.00                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    L    24.06   0  55   ZZ  34 ( 60- 14-  0) Manning               -19.59    -35.41                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W *  57.02  19  18   1A  29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold               13.36    -12.36                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    L    28.32   6  34    A  23 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside     -15.34    -12.66                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    L    27.38   6  35    A  17 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford               -16.28    -12.72                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W    45.20  34  27    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               1.54      5.46                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W    41.02  14   7   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -2.64      9.64                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    L    13.08   7  36    A  39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -30.58      1.58                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    53.81  14   8   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama        10.16     -4.16                      
 10 09/06/2002 Home    W    92.60  42  23   ZZ  39 ( 76- 21-  0) Lake City Southern C   48.94    -29.94                      
 11 09/13/2002 Home    L *  52.82  12  26   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia          9.16    -23.16                      
 12 09/20/2002 Away    L    31.82   6  42   2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -11.84    -24.16                      
 13 09/27/2002 Home    L    29.55   6  25   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -14.11     -4.89                      
 14 10/04/2002 Home    W    34.89  22  20 2 2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -8.77     10.77                      
 15 10/11/2002 Away    W    84.45  46  14   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        40.79     -8.79                      
 16 10/18/2002 Home    W    68.50  42  27   1A  33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr              24.85     -9.85                      
 17 10/25/2002 Away    W    61.55  18   6   1A  44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  17.89     -5.89                      
 18 11/01/2002 Home    W    47.96  24   7   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     4.30     12.70                      
 19 09/05/2003 Away    W    89.66  28  15   ZZ  39 ( 76- 21-  0) Lake City Southern C   46.00    -33.00                      
 20 09/12/2003 Away    W *  87.87  25   7   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia         44.21    -26.21                      
 21 09/19/2003 Home    L    31.76   0  33   2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -11.90    -21.10                      
 22 09/26/2003 Away    L    24.60   7  34   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -19.06     -7.94                      
 23 10/03/2003 Away    W    48.94  34  21   2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah              5.28      7.72                      
 24 10/10/2003 Home    L    28.39   0  21   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley       -15.27     -5.73                      
 25 10/17/2003 Away    W    59.56  32  29   1A  33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr              15.90    -12.90                      
 26 10/24/2003 Home    W    64.49  26   8   1A  44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  20.83     -2.83                      
 27 10/31/2003 Away    W    77.02  49   6   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    33.36      9.64                      
 28 09/03/2004 Home    L    37.82   8  24   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -5.84    -10.16                      
 29 09/10/2004 Away    W    85.54  27   8   2A  22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             41.88    -22.88                      
 30 09/17/2004 Home    L    26.26   6  33    A  23 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside     -17.40     -9.60                      
 31 09/24/2004 Away    L *  49.87   0  20   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia          6.21    -26.21                      
 32 10/01/2004 Away    W *  63.33  21   6   1A  48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center       19.68     -4.68                      
 33 10/08/2004 Home    L *  52.82  13  41   1A   5 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert            9.16    -37.16                      
 34 10/15/2004 Away    W    57.12  27  13   1A  53 ( 23- 67-  0) Onawa West Monona      13.46      0.54                      
 35 10/22/2004 Home    L *  41.55   8  27   1A  22 ( 59- 38-  1) Underwood              -2.10    -16.90                      
 36 10/29/2004 Home    L *  42.02   6  20   1A  29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold               -1.64    -12.36                      
 37 09/02/2005 Away    L    17.87   6  45   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -25.79    -13.21                      
 38 09/09/2005 Home    L    43.48  28  48   2A  22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             -0.18    -19.82                      
 39 09/16/2005 Away    L    28.32  14  42    A  23 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside     -15.34    -12.66                      
 40 09/23/2005 Home    L *  47.82  20  39   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia          4.16    -23.16                      
 41 09/30/2005 Home    L *  17.28  14  42   1A  48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center      -26.38     -1.62                      
 42 10/07/2005 Away    L *  69.88  14  28   1A   5 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert           26.22    -40.22                      
 43 10/14/2005 Home    W    75.06  41   6   1A  53 ( 23- 67-  0) Onawa West Monona      31.40      3.60                      
 44 10/21/2005 Away    L *  59.61  27  31   1A  22 ( 59- 38-  1) Underwood              15.95    -19.95                      
 45 10/28/2005 Away    L *  10.08  21  70   1A  29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold              -33.58    -15.42                      
 46 09/01/2006 Away    W    42.02  30  22   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -1.64      9.64                      
 47 09/08/2006 Away    L    33.45   7  26   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley       -10.21     -8.79                      
 48 09/15/2006 Away    W    56.08  14   0    A  39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                12.42      1.58                      
 49 09/22/2006 Home    W    54.81   7   0   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama        11.16     -4.16                      
 50 09/29/2006 Home    L *  32.82   0  48   1A   5 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert          -10.84    -37.16                      
 51 10/06/2006 Away    L *  18.08  14  55   1A  29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold              -25.58    -15.42                      
 52 10/13/2006 Home    L *  15.82   0  51   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia        -27.84    -23.16                      
 53 10/20/2006 Away    L    21.32   6  41    A  23 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside     -22.34    -12.66                      
 54 10/27/2006 Home    L *  36.55   0  24   1A  22 ( 59- 38-  1) Underwood              -7.10    -16.90                      
 55 08/31/2007 Home    L    26.96   8  12   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley   -16.70     12.70                      
 56 09/07/2007 Home    L    41.39   6  14   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        -2.27     -5.73                      
 57 09/14/2007 Home    W    58.02  19   0    A  39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                14.37      4.63                      
 58 09/21/2007 Away    W    61.87  19   8   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama        18.21     -7.21                      
 59 09/28/2007 Away    L *  45.88   0  38   1A   5 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert            2.22    -40.22                      
 60 10/05/2007 Home    L *  48.02  21  29   1A  29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold                4.36    -12.36                      
 61 10/12/2007 Away    L *  28.87   6  47   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia        -14.79    -26.21                      
 62 10/19/2007 Home    W    68.26  31  16    A  23 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside      24.60     -9.60                      
 63 10/26/2007 Away    L *  33.61   7  37   1A  22 ( 59- 38-  1) Underwood             -10.05    -19.95                      
 64 08/29/2008 Home    L    32.76   7  48   1A   6 ( 28-  8-  0) IKM-Manning           -10.90    -30.10  non-district        
 65 09/05/2008 Away    L    33.85  10  39   2A  30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     -9.81    -19.19  non-district        
 66 09/12/2008 Away    L    29.88   6  44    A   9 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center        -13.78    -24.22                      
 67 09/19/2008 Home    L    21.96  12  21   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley   -21.70     12.70                      
 68 09/26/2008 Away    L    29.22   7  41   1A  23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley        -14.44    -19.56                      
 69 10/03/2008 Home    W    49.49  10   7 2 1A  44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                   5.83     -2.83                      
 70 10/10/2008 Away    L    42.48  13  29   1A  30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      -1.18    -14.82                      
 71 10/17/2008 Home    L    27.81  27  47   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama       -15.84     -4.16                      
 72 10/24/2008 Away    L     6.81   0  42   1A  46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger      -36.85     -5.15                      
 73 08/28/2009 Away    L    35.81   0  41   1A   6 ( 28-  8-  0) IKM-Manning            -7.85    -33.15  nd                  
 74 09/04/2009 Home    L    31.80   6  34   2A  30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk    -11.86    -16.14  nd                  
 75 09/11/2009 Home    L    37.83   6  33    A   9 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center         -5.83    -21.17                      
 76 09/18/2009 Away    L    32.02  12  14   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley   -11.64      9.64                      
 77 09/25/2009 Home    L    41.16  19  38   1A  23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley         -2.50    -16.50                      
 78 10/02/2009 Away    W    56.55  20  13   1A  44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  12.89     -5.89                      
 79 10/09/2009 Home    L     5.42   7  57   1A  30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster     -38.24    -11.76                      
 80 10/16/2009 Away    W    51.87  15  14   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama         8.21     -7.21                      
 81 10/23/2009 Home    L    36.75  13  22   1A  46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger       -6.90     -2.10                      
 82 08/27/2010 Away    W    71.70  41  16   ZZ  70 ( 10-  9-  0) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimba   28.04     -3.04  ND                  
 83 09/03/2010 Home    W    70.83  26  20 2  A   9 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center         27.17    -21.17  ND                  
 84 09/10/2010 Away    L *  21.87  12  60   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia        -21.79    -26.21                      
 85 09/17/2010 Home    W *  43.69  27   0   1A  63 ( 10- 64-  0) Clarinda Academy        0.03     26.97                      
 86 09/24/2010 Away    W *  55.33  20  13   1A  48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center       11.68     -4.68                      
 87 10/01/2010 Home    L *  17.55  15  58   1A  22 ( 59- 38-  1) Underwood             -26.10    -16.90                      
 88 10/08/2010 Away    L *  33.08  48  74   1A  29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold              -10.58    -15.42                      
 89 10/15/2010 Home    L *  54.82  12  38   1A   5 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert           11.16    -37.16                      
 90 10/22/2010 Home    L *  61.05  26  34   1A  14 ( 71- 32-  0) Treynor                17.39    -25.39                      
      Averages              43.54  15.9 28.2

Best game:   92.60 = 19 point win over Lake City Southern Cal
Worst game:   5.42 = 50 point loss to Manson Northwest Webster
Team stdev:  19.65